Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $29.4300 (1.62%) ($28.8600 - $29.5200) on Tue. May. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $29.4300(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 13.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.53(3.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.44(11.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.49(20.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 10.7% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2016	23	24.49	26.44	28.53			29.43(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	-10000	15	240	0.33	60%	0.57	40.3	3.43%	0	1.9	76	0
2	May_27_2016	22.87	24.18	25.78	27.81			28.96(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	-10000	16	218	0.24	65%	0.35	33.1	3.52%	0	2.1	77	0
3	May_26_2016	22.79	23.87	25.07	27.06			28.44(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	66	-10000	23	193	0.29	65%	0.26	20.7	3.54%	0	2.2	76	0
4	May_25_2016	22.73	23.67	24.38	26			28.16(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	-10000	21	147	0.71	65%	0.13	4.7	3.55%	0	2.3	75	0
5	May_24_2016	22.7	23.58	23.82	25.08			27.67(7.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	-10000	24	118	0.66	65%	0.09	-6.6	3.57%	0	2.3	75	0

6	May_23_2016	22.68	23.48	23.31	24.04			25.8(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	14	75	0.43	61%	0.13	-22.6	3.5%	0	1.5	64	0
7	May_20_2016	22.65	23.44	22.94	23.46			25.25(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	16	41	0.61	61%	-0.04	-35.3	3.57%	0	1.1	56	0
8	May_19_2016	22.66	23.45	22.62	22.79			23.1(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	8	5	0.36	55%	-0.22	-47.1	3.41%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	May_18_2016	22.71	23.58	22.53	22.5			23.56(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	4	-29	0.7	55%	-0.26	-53.2	3.4%	0	-0	40	0
10	May_17_2016	22.77	23.7	22.38	22.36			22.47(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.31	57%	-0.22	-58.4	3.37%	0	-0.7	27	0

11	May_16_2016	22.82	23.85	22.41	22.47			22.92(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	3	-90	0.56	63%	0	-57.2	3.46%	0	-0.5	34	0
12	May_13_2016	22.82	24.02	22.47	22.34			21.9(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-2	-105	0.4	60%	-0.31	-57.4	3.65%	0	-1.1	35	0
13	May_12_2016	22.89	24.25	22.6	22.42			21.64(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-3	-118	0.56	64%	-0.26	-55.5	3.68%	0	-1.4	32	0
14	May_11_2016	22.95	24.53	22.93	22.54			22.85(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	4	-116	0.5	69%	-0.22	-50.8	3.68%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	May_10_2016	23	24.77	23.34	22.39			23.06(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	1	-117	0.33	69%	-0.17	-52.6	3.69%	0	-0.9	35	0

16	May_9_2016	23.04	24.93	23.66	22.35			22.23(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-7	-116	0.23	67%	-0.17	-55	3.69%	0	-1.5	36	0
17	May_6_2016	23.08	25.14	23.98	22.64			22.33(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-4	-108	0.23	60%	-0.17	-55.9	3.82%	0	-1.6	32	0
18	May_5_2016	23.12	25.34	24.34	22.82			22.24(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-13	-109	0.37	53%	-0.26	-61.5	3.85%	0	-1.9	32	0
19	May_4_2016	23.18	25.54	24.71	23.39			22.07(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-21	-97	0.32	55%	-0.22	-60.9	4.07%	0	-2.3	29	0
20	May_3_2016	23.23	25.8	25.15	24.45			22.89(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-10000	-14	-71	0.29	55%	-0.17	-52.5	4.08%	0	-2.3	29	0

21	May_2_2016	23.27	25.99	25.44	25.16			23.68(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-7	-50	0.3	50%	-0.13	-45.4	4.05%	0	-2.2	43	0
22	Apr_29_2016	23.3	26.15	25.73	25.52			23.2(-7.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-17	-10000	-10	-38	0.7	56%	-0.21	-36.1	4.22%	0	-3	40	0
23	Apr_28_2016	23.35	26.38	26.08	26.07			25.13(-8.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.59	60%	-0.13	-17.7	4.41%	0	-1.8	47	0
24	Apr_27_2016	23.38	26.38	26.29	26.2			27.33(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	4	-5	0.47	65%	-0.04	-5.1	4.28%	0	1.3	59	0
25	Apr_26_2016	23.39	26.48	26.32	25.98			26.48(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	3	-8	0.35	65%		-10.6	4.3%	0	0	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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