Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 30, 2019

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $116.2700 (0.93%) ($115.2100 - $116.5100) on Tue. Apr. 30, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $116.2700(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(75%)    QQQ(73%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    XLK(69%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-17%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-8%)    VIXM(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.82(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.12(-0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $114.77(1.31%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2019	100.64	114.77	117.12	116.82			116.27(0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	77	4.78	82%	0.29	92.3	1.25%	0	0.5	68	0.9
2	Apr_29_2019	100.35	114.42	116.85	117.28			115.2(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-6	87	2.96	82%	0.28	95.9	1.3%	0	0.3	60	1
3	Apr_26_2019	100.07	114.01	116.77	117.77			115.81(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-5	104	11.04	82%	0.26	88.6	1.33%	0	0.5	63	1.3
4	Apr_25_2019	99.81	113.49	116.48	118.15			117.28(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-1	119	8.33	82%	0.18	75	1.33%	0	0.9	70	0.9
5	Apr_24_2019	99.63	112.89	116.02	118.2			119.52(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	9	133	5.88	90%	0.3	69.6	1.31%	0	1.6	81	1.1

6	Apr_23_2019	99.33	112.22	115.22	117.47			118.57(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	13	116	3.69	90%	0.23	66.1	1.48%	0	1.5	84	1.6
7	Apr_22_2019	99.1	111.56	114.62	116.37			117.65(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	9	107	3.1	82%	0.3	59.5	1.48%	0	1.5	83	1.6
8	Apr_18_2019	98.8	111	114.09	115.62			117.74(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	12	112	3.43	84%	0.25	58.7	1.54%	0	1.7	87	1.9
9	Apr_17_2019	98.55	110.58	113.47	114.54			117.5(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	11	115	7.3	84%	0.28	62.9	1.56%	0	1.9	88	1.8
10	Apr_16_2019	98.27	109.99	112.84	113.53			115.87(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	10	119	5.64	84%	0.27	64.3	1.56%	0	1.8	86	2.1

11	Apr_15_2019	98.01	109.53	112.16	112.67			113.1(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	1	111	3.72	82%	0.26	66.7	1.55%	0	1.2	73	2.1
12	Apr_12_2019	97.76	109.17	111.76	112.61			113.91(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	3	125	3.54	82%	0.17	72.6	1.55%	0	1.6	78	2.4
13	Apr_11_2019	97.59	108.77	111.03	112.33			112.34(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	2	120	3.95	82%	0.25	78.8	1.56%	0	1.2	68	1.6
14	Apr_10_2019	97.35	108.33	110.3	112.2			112.45(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	104	5.48	82%	0.25	82.4	1.56%	0	1.4	55	1.3
15	Apr_9_2019	97.11	107.91	109.56	112.03			111.54(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	6	100	4.39	84%	0.25	85.9	1.56%	0	1.2	63	0.6

16	Apr_8_2019	96.87	107.51	109.05	111.53			112.79(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	9	90	3.54	84%	0.22	81.3	1.57%	0	1.8	62	1.2
17	Apr_5_2019	96.66	107.02	108.3	110.76			112.53(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	14	77	4.2	84%	0.21	72.8	1.58%	0	1.8	64	1.3
18	Apr_4_2019	96.46	106.44	107.68	109.52			111.71(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	16	55	6.18	86%	0.22	58.2	1.59%	0	1.8	62	1.2
19	Apr_3_2019	96.25	105.9	107.43	108.1			111.57(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	15	46	7.96	74%	0.23	43.2	1.68%	0	2.1	67	1
20	Apr_2_2019	96.03	105.41	106.85	106.75			109.03(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	5	22	3.22	73%	0.22	31.4	1.85%	0	1.5	62	1.2

21	Apr_1_2019	95.82	105.14	106.63	106.22			108.94(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	7	24	5.54	73%	0.17	26	1.85%	0	1.7	63	1.2
22	Mar_29_2019	95.66	104.89	106.31	105.51			106.33(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10000	-1	17	5.17	71%	0.12	17.7	1.83%	0	0.7	60	1
23	Mar_28_2019	95.55	104.78	106.3	105.59			104.62(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-11	30	5.75	71%	0.1	19.2	1.84%	0	-0.1	62	0.7
24	Mar_27_2019	95.45	104.72	106.23	106.65			104.83(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-3	60	7.34	71%	0.1	34.5	1.84%	0	0.1	63	0.2
25	Mar_26_2019	95.35	104.65	106.19	106.93			106.38(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-2	73	4.55	75%		38.5	1.82%	0	0.8	63	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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