Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 8, 2018

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $93.4554 (-3.98%) ($93.4161 - $97.9589) on Thu. Feb. 8, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $93.4554(-3.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(74%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

Resistance Level   $102.18
5 Day Moving Average   $97.63(-4.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.94(-7.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.18(-8.54%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2018	97.46	102.18	100.94	97.63			93.46(-3.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-56	-10000	-26	-144	14.91	39%	0.05	-27.5	1.63%	0	-2.5	33	-2.5
2	Feb_7_2018	97.41	102.54	101.93	99.71			97.33(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-10000	-18	-113	10.28	42%	0.08	-14.2	1.56%	0	-1.8	37	-1.8
3	Feb_6_2018	97.33	102.75	102.67	101.15			99.97(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-9	-83	13.12	46%	0.11	3.5	1.52%	0	-1	43	-2
4	Feb_5_2018	97.22	102.86	103.32	101.88			96.42(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-33	-10000	-24	-58	11.47	41%	0.09	21.4	1.46%	0	-2.5	45	-2.9
5	Feb_2_2018	97.13	102.86	104.31	103.73			100.97(-2.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-9	-10000	-14	6	13.01	47%	0.14	59.2	1.35%	0	-1	55	-2.2

6	Feb_1_2018	96.99	103.14	104.73	104.72			103.87(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	4	58	4.18	50%	0.19	79.9	1.3%	0	0.3	64	-0.5
7	Jan_31_2018	96.81	102.95	104.82	104.47			104.5(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	1	73	3.76	52%	0.19	81.7	1.29%	0	0.7	67	-1.6
8	Jan_30_2018	96.63	102.66	104.77	104.43			103.63(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-8	83	5.42	52%	0.19	79.2	1.3%	0	0.4	60	-1.9
9	Jan_29_2018	96.45	102.31	104.55	105			105.7(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	-0	102	4.07	54%	0.23	82.9	1.27%	0	1.4	62	-2.1
10	Jan_26_2018	96.23	101.87	104.05	105.02			105.9(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	3	103	3.95	56%	0.22	73.3	1.29%	0	1.4	64	136.8

11	Jan_25_2018	96.02	101.41	103.47	104.79			102.63(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-6	99	6.99	51%	0.19	68.2	1.23%	0	0.4	60	137.4
12	Jan_24_2018	95.84	101.1	103.2	105.2			104.32(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	1	114	7.12	53%	0.21	66.3	1.22%	0	1.1	68	-1.4
13	Jan_23_2018	95.64	100.75	102.85	105.12			106.48(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	18	135	3.68	56%	0.12	65.9	1.19%	0	1.8	81	0.1
14	Jan_22_2018	95.53	100.27	102.34	104			105.79(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	18	133	2.4	56%	0.21	65.4	1.19%	0	1.9	84	0.9
15	Jan_19_2018	95.33	99.87	101.83	102.92			104.76(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	16	123	3.28	56%	0.21	66.7	1.19%	0	1.8	77	1

16	Jan_18_2018	95.13	99.5	101.37	101.95			104.66(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	42	-10000	17	117	3.55	56%	0.22	68	1.19%	0	2.1	78	0
17	Jan_17_2018	94.92	99.13	100.87	100.91			103.89(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	34	-10000	10	104	6.14	56%	0.22	70.2	1.19%	0	2.2	77	0
18	Jan_16_2018	94.71	98.72	100.31	100.29			100.88(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	21	-10000	-3	94	3.81	52%	0.31	76.6	1.13%	0	1.2	65	0
19	Jan_12_2018	94.42	98.41	99.86	100.45			100.42(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	23	-10000	-2	97	1.9	52%	0.18	77.8	1.12%	0	1.1	64	0
20	Jan_11_2018	94.25	98.12	99.52	100.58			99.91(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-2	96	2.58	52%	0.18	75.1	1.12%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Jan_10_2018	94.08	97.86	99.2	100.67			99.44(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-2	95	3.98	52%	0.18	73.4	1.13%	0	0.8	58	0
22	Jan_9_2018	93.91	97.66	98.9	100.76			100.77(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	8	98	3.9	54%	0.2	75	1.11%	0	1.4	63	0
23	Jan_8_2018	93.72	97.35	98.55	100.3			101.73(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	21	97	1.38	54%	0.2	68.8	1.11%	0	2.1	73	0
24	Jan_5_2018	93.53	97.01	98.07	99.15			101.03(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	30	-10000	15	75	1.79	54%	0.2	55.3	1.1%	0	2.1	76	0
25	Jan_4_2018	93.34	96.67	97.76	98.31			100.38(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	-10000	14	69	3.35	54%		43.5	1.1%	0	2.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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