Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $90.2739 (0.93%) ($89.3784 - $90.3417) on Fri. Sep. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $90.2739(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IWF(73%)    IVW(72%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.46(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.65(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.46(3.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2017	83.7	87.46	88.65	88.46			90.27(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	8	53	3.78	59%	0.12	63.2	1.01%	0	1.7	70	0
2	Sep_28_2017	83.6	87.23	88.42	88.12			89.44(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	5	59	2.97	61%	0.12	68.2	1.05%	0	1.5	73	0
3	Sep_27_2017	83.5	87	88.17	87.88			88.87(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	2	57	4	56%	0.13	69.6	1.06%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Sep_26_2017	83.39	86.76	87.95	87.78			86.91(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-11	56	2.14	53%	0.11	66.7	1.09%	0	0.1	61	0
5	Sep_25_2017	83.3	86.61	87.94	88.31			86.8(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-10000	-10	86	3.77	53%	0.11	74.9	1.09%	0	0.1	62	0

6	Sep_22_2017	83.21	86.45	87.92	88.82			88.58(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	2	116	1.33	57%	0.13	79.6	1.06%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Sep_21_2017	83.1	86.21	87.55	88.73			88.22(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	5	110	9.63	58%	0.12	81.7	1.06%	0	1.1	64	0
8	Sep_20_2017	83	85.98	87.3	88.48			88.39(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	8	107	4.6	56%	0.13	75.8	1.07%	0	1.3	67	0
9	Sep_19_2017	82.89	85.73	87	88.12			89.58(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	13	108	2.27	60%	0.14	70.3	1.06%	0	2.1	78	0
10	Sep_18_2017	82.77	85.36	86.52	87.52			89.35(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	34	-10000	13	95	3.74	60%	0.16	61	1.08%	0	2.3	79	0

11	Sep_15_2017	82.64	85.02	86.17	86.9			88.12(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	-10000	15	92	4.62	59%	0.12	58.1	1.07%	0	2	77	0
12	Sep_14_2017	82.54	84.73	85.91	86.21			86.97(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	78	4.3	57%	0.11	52.4	1.07%	0	1.6	71	0
13	Sep_13_2017	82.45	84.6	85.71	85.95			86.59(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	77	2.94	57%	0.11	53.2	1.08%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Sep_12_2017	82.36	84.47	85.44	85.69			86.57(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	72	2.44	57%	0.12	52.1	1.08%	0	1.7	71	0
15	Sep_11_2017	82.26	84.33	85.15	85.38			86.24(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	1	67	2.72	57%	0.12	48.5	1.08%	0	1.7	75	0

16	Sep_8_2017	82.16	84.14	84.87	85.35			84.7(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	65	2.47	50%	0.11	47	1.16%	0	0.5	66	0
17	Sep_7_2017	82.07	84	84.77	85.54			85.63(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	83	1.32	50%	0.12	44.1	1.16%	0	1.3	75	0
18	Sep_6_2017	81.97	83.9	84.57	85.42			85.3(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	6	76	1.61	50%	0.13	47.8	1.17%	0	1.2	53	0
19	Sep_5_2017	81.86	83.83	84.39	85.13			85(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	6	63	4.42	50%	0.13	46.2	1.17%	0	1.1	53	0
20	Sep_1_2017	81.75	83.79	84.14	84.85			86.1(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	11	48	1.5	52%	0.15	45.7	1.15%	0	2.1	62	0

21	Aug_31_2017	81.63	83.62	83.79	84.31			85.69(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	9	31	2.4	52%	0.15	33	1.15%	0	2.2	69	0
22	Aug_30_2017	81.51	83.46	83.46	83.9			85.02(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	6	21	2.33	52%	0.12	17.8	1.14%	0	1.9	70	0
23	Aug_29_2017	81.41	83.35	83.38	83.63			83.85(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	2	13	2.51	50%	0.1	-2.2	1.13%	0	0.7	49	0
24	Aug_28_2017	81.33	83.33	83.41	83.55			83.62(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	5	13	2.1	50%	0.09	-8.9	1.14%	0	0.4	47	0
25	Aug_25_2017	81.26	83.3	83.44	83.3			83.38(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	2	2.01	50%		-26.7	1.14%	0	0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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