Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $73.3645 (0.42%) ($73.0356 - $73.5569) on Tue. Feb. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $73.3645(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.03(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.91(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.93(1.99%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2017	67.97	71.93	72.91	73.03			73.36(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	62	1.43	62%	0.15	73.3	1.2%	0	1.2	63	0
2	Feb_6_2017	67.87	71.78	72.78	72.76			73.06(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	0	62	0.96	62%	0.13	71.9	1.25%	0	1.1	67	0
3	Feb_3_2017	67.78	71.61	72.57	72.75			73.14(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-1	62	1.65	62%	0.15	68.1	1.25%	0	1.3	61	0
4	Feb_2_2017	67.68	71.42	72.39	72.8			72.82(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	2	77	1.15	62%	0.16	63.2	1.25%	0	1.1	65	0
5	Feb_1_2017	67.57	71.26	72.19	72.72			72.75(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-1	72	1.71	62%	0.16	56.3	1.26%	0	1.2	57	0

6	Jan_31_2017	67.46	71.09	72.04	72.77			72.01(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	-0	80	2.18	62%	0.15	53.4	1.26%	0	0.7	56	0
7	Jan_30_2017	67.36	70.96	71.86	72.79			73.03(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	10	85	1.78	65%	0.18	49.4	1.25%	0	1.7	62	0
8	Jan_27_2017	67.24	70.81	71.63	72.34			73.37(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	9	76	1.69	65%	0.15	41.5	1.25%	0	2.1	67	0
9	Jan_26_2017	67.14	70.64	71.27	71.93			72.45(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	8	66	2.62	64%	0.13	37.6	1.24%	0	1.7	66	0
10	Jan_25_2017	67.05	70.57	71.11	71.58			73.01(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	8	62	2.74	64%	0.13	37.5	1.24%	0	2.5	65	0

11	Jan_24_2017	66.96	70.44	70.86	71.22			72.12(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	10	59	4.12	65%	0.09	43.2	1.23%	0	2.2	64	0
12	Jan_23_2017	66.9	70.35	70.67	70.8			70.73(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	46	1.66	63%	0.1	33.7	1.22%	0	0.6	59	0
13	Jan_20_2017	66.83	70.31	70.57	70.82			71.36(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	7	47	2.72	63%	0.1	41.8	1.21%	0	1.5	56	0
14	Jan_19_2017	66.76	70.25	70.36	70.5			70.68(-0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-1	27	1.07	61%	0.12	35.2	1.21%	0	0.7	53	0
15	Jan_18_2017	66.68	70.21	70.26	70.56			71.23(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	21	2	62%	0.12	48.9	1.21%	0	1.6	47	0

16	Jan_17_2017	66.6	70.21	70.07	70.45			69.99(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-2	6	1.57	60%	0.15	51.8	1.2%	0	-0.2	45	0
17	Jan_13_2017	66.5	70.11	70.01	70.53			70.82(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	6	5	1.13	58%	0.11	60.9	1.19%	0	1.2	52	0
18	Jan_12_2017	66.43	70.11	69.94	70.28			69.79(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	1	-10000	3	-5	3.92	56%	0.12	53.6	1.18%	0	-0.4	49	0
19	Jan_11_2017	66.35	70.02	69.98	70.17			70.97(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	6	-9	2.21	56%	0.11	62.2	1.16%	0	1.5	56	0
20	Jan_10_2017	66.28	69.9	69.99	69.91			70.67(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	6	-11	1.77	56%	0.12	67.4	1.19%	0	1.3	55	0

21	Jan_9_2017	66.2	69.81	69.99	69.66			70.39(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	5	-11	2.35	56%	0.12	70.5	1.2%	0	0.9	61	0
22	Jan_6_2017	66.12	69.75	69.98	69.44			69.59(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-21	2.59	56%	0.11	88.7	1.19%	0	-0.2	47	0
23	Jan_5_2017	66.05	69.71	70.03	69.56			69.23(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-4	-10	1.51	56%	0.11	96	1.19%	0	-0.7	54	0
24	Jan_4_2017	65.98	69.63	70.13	69.74			69.64(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-2	1.94	56%	0.11	95.1	1.19%	0	0	50	0
25	Jan_3_2017	65.91	69.5	70.17	70.09			69.42(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-6	23	2.87	56%		78.9	1.19%	0	-0.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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