Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $69.5918 (0.52%) ($69.0598 - $69.8627) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $69.5918(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    IVW(73%)    IWF(73%)    XLK(71%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $69.75
5 Day Moving Average   $69.44(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.98(-0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.75(-0.23%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2017	66.12	69.75	69.98	69.44			69.59(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-21	2.59	56%	0.11	88.7	1.19%	0	-0.2	47	0
2	Jan_5_2017	66.05	69.71	70.03	69.56			69.23(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-4	-10	1.51	56%	0.11	96	1.19%	0	-0.7	54	0
3	Jan_4_2017	65.98	69.63	70.13	69.74			69.64(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-2	1.94	56%	0.11	95.1	1.19%	0	0	50	0
4	Jan_3_2017	65.91	69.5	70.13	70.09			69.42(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-6	23	2.87	56%	0.17	78.9	1.19%	0	-0.1	58	0
5	Dec_30_2016	65.8	69.35	70.17	70.35			69.3(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-6	37	1.52	58%	0.11	49.5	1.19%	0	-0	55	0

6	Dec_29_2016	65.73	69.15	70.25	70.58			70.19(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	1	56	1.27	61%	0.14	34.6	1.2%	0	0.6	57	0
7	Dec_28_2016	65.64	69.05	70.15	70.58			70.17(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	0	58	1.93	61%	0.12	33	1.2%	0	0.7	59	0
8	Dec_27_2016	65.56	68.95	70.1	70.55			71.35(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	77	1.28	66%	0.21	35.1	1.18%	0	1.5	73	0
9	Dec_23_2016	65.42	68.81	69.82	70.28			70.75(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	81	0.52	66%	0.15	37	1.19%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Dec_22_2016	65.32	68.7	69.62	69.96			70.42(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	2	85	0.76	66%	0.15	38	1.2%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Dec_21_2016	65.22	68.6	69.49	69.89			70.07(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	5	114	2.03	66%	0.15	44.7	1.2%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Dec_20_2016	65.12	68.52	69.35	69.67			70.13(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	2	109	1.17	66%	0.14	51.1	1.21%	0	1.2	57	0
13	Dec_19_2016	65.03	68.4	69.09	69.59			70.03(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	7	103	1.72	66%	0.14	62.3	1.21%	0	1.3	55	0
14	Dec_16_2016	64.94	68.27	68.76	69.29			69.17(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	2	78	3.49	65%	0.14	64.8	1.21%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Dec_15_2016	64.85	68.17	68.46	69.21			70.07(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	5	60	5.98	69%	0.12	74.6	1.19%	0	1.6	54	0

16	Dec_14_2016	64.77	67.99	67.97	69.02			68.97(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	1	27	3.16	68%	0.12	78.9	1.22%	0	0.8	51	0
17	Dec_13_2016	64.69	67.86	67.87	68.97			69.72(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	11	26	3.81	68%	0.15	76.8	1.21%	0	1.6	53	0
18	Dec_12_2016	64.59	67.63	67.71	68.51			68.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	9	9	3.85	68%	0.14	60.8	1.2%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Dec_9_2016	64.5	67.5	67.7	68.14			68.79(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	14	4	3.41	62%	0.16	58	1.22%	0	1	57	0
20	Dec_8_2016	64.4	67.28	67.68	67.58			69.14(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	-10000	19	-5	2.53	62%	0.16	41.7	1.31%	0	1.3	60	0

21	Dec_7_2016	64.3	67.09	67.6	66.74			68.73(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	3	-32	3.46	62%	0.16	29.1	1.31%	0	1.1	61	0
22	Dec_6_2016	64.2	66.95	67.58	66.63			67.39(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-5	-24	2.68	60%	0.12	31.3	1.29%	0	0.3	59	0
23	Dec_5_2016	64.12	66.87	67.63	66.83			66.66(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-9	-1	2.65	60%	0.16	36.5	1.28%	0	-0.1	62	0
24	Dec_2_2016	64.02	66.75	67.73	67.23			65.99(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-13	24	3.8	60%	0.13	37.5	1.29%	0	-0.5	54	0
25	Dec_1_2016	63.94	66.68	67.87	67.8			64.95(-4.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	3	-10000	-17	64	11.05	58%		42.6	1.27%	0	-1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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