Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Oct. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $66.8094 (0.07%) ($66.2240 - $66.9437) on Sat. Oct. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $66.8094(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.39(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.81(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.78(3.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2016	59.54	64.78	65.81	66.39			66.81(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	1	88	2.1	84%	0.27	51	1.07%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Oct_6_2016	59.38	64.5	65.55	66.36			66.76(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	6	94	2.48	84%	0.29	44.4	1.07%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Oct_5_2016	59.21	64.33	65.37	66.14			66.38(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	9	96	4.03	79%	0.29	43.6	1.07%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Oct_4_2016	59.04	64.18	65.2	65.82			65.87(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	6	99	3.62	79%	0.27	40.6	1.09%	0	1.2	73	0
5	Oct_3_2016	58.88	64.08	65	65.6			66.15(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	14	109	2.2	79%	0.29	38.3	1.1%	0	1.5	77	0

6	Sep_30_2016	58.71	63.97	64.79	65.11			66.67(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	13	100	3.32	80%	0.31	32.3	1.1%	0	2.2	73	0
7	Sep_29_2016	58.53	63.82	64.5	64.63			65.62(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	3	97	6.75	80%	0.26	29.6	1.1%	0	1.7	75	0
8	Sep_28_2016	58.38	63.71	64.31	64.52			64.82(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	1	94	1.6	81%	0.26	32.3	1.12%	0	1.1	56	0
9	Sep_27_2016	58.23	63.64	64.07	64.5			64.74(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	83	4.05	73%	0.26	33.1	1.16%	0	1.1	54	0
10	Sep_26_2016	58.08	63.58	63.79	64.32			63.69(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-2	55	1.75	72%	0.26	32.4	1.22%	0	0.1	48	0

11	Sep_23_2016	57.93	63.56	63.68	64.4			64.29(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	2	42	2.11	63%	0.24	36.6	1.43%	0	0.8	50	0
12	Sep_22_2016	57.79	63.5	63.39	64.32			65.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	5	24	3.12	63%	0.28	36.4	1.45%	0	1.7	54	0
13	Sep_21_2016	57.63	63.39	63.22	64.08			64.74(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	17	3.88	63%	0.26	35.3	1.45%	0	1.6	56	0
14	Sep_20_2016	57.48	63.32	63.22	63.59			63.85(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	-10000	9	-1	1.43	64%	0.24	26.4	1.44%	0	0.7	52	0
15	Sep_19_2016	57.34	63.28	63.08	63.18			64.09(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	7	-15	2.18	64%	0.24	13.8	1.45%	0	1	52	0

16	Sep_16_2016	57.2	63.23	63.08	62.85			63.87(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	12	-21	2.68	64%	0.21	8.3	1.46%	0	0.8	53	0
17	Sep_15_2016	57.08	63.17	63.06	62.32			63.84(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-8	-10000	2	-39	5.15	64%	0.19	-5.9	1.46%	0	0.9	54	0
18	Sep_14_2016	56.97	63.1	63.02	62.25			62.3(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-6	-43	2.62	62%	0.18	-4.2	1.43%	0	-1.1	47	0
19	Sep_13_2016	56.87	63.11	63.15	62.52			61.78(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-10	-35	3.72	62%	0.19	8.4	1.43%	0	-1.8	39	0
20	Sep_12_2016	56.76	63.11	63.35	62.97			62.46(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-7	-14	6.68	62%	0.18	35.8	1.42%	0	-1	46	0

21	Sep_9_2016	56.66	63.17	63.45	63.29			61.21(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-11	-10000	-13	-3	10.92	57%	0.18	51.8	1.42%	0	-2.8	35	0
22	Sep_8_2016	56.56	63.22	63.68	63.29			63.51(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	7	-10000	0	28	3.74	63%	0.19	91	1.34%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Sep_7_2016	56.45	63.13	63.63	63.88			63.63(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	0	33	3.97	63%	0.21	90.2	1.34%	0	0.7	71	0
24	Sep_6_2016	56.33	63.05	63.61	63.86			64.06(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	40	2.2	63%	0.28	97.4	1.34%	0	1.4	75	0
25	Sep_2_2016	56.17	62.93	63.52	63.78			64.06(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	40	2.21	63%		91.3	1.33%	0	1.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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