Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SMH: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: SMH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 10, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Semiconductor sector etf)
SMH latest price $49.9683 (0.55%) ($49.8368 - $50.7479) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $49.9683(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SMH declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SMH declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SMH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    XLK(72%)    SPY(70%)    VT(68%)    IWM(63%)
Factors Impacting SMH price   SMH will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $50.83
5 Day Moving Average   $50.11(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.16(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.83(-1.7%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SMH price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2015	48.48	50.83	50.16	50.11			49.97(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-7	-82	3.89	76%	0.06	-10.2	1.15%	0	-1	33	0
2	Jan_14_2015	48.45	50.81	50.29	50.3			49.7(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-0	-75	3.73	77%	0.04	-15.6	1.15%	0	-1.3	32	0
3	Jan_13_2015	48.43	50.84	50.47	50.31			49.88(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-16	-10000	5	-77	3.52	74%	0.06	-24.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	33	0
4	Jan_12_2015	48.4	50.87	50.66	50.15			50.17(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-83	3.12	74%	0.04	-40.1	1.19%	0	-0.8	44	0
5	Jan_9_2015	48.38	50.87	50.83	50.17			50.81(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.67	60%	0.08	-45.1	1.45%	0	-0.1	46	0

6	Jan_8_2015	48.34	50.92	50.94	50.24			50.96(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-2	-50	3.08	62%	0.08	-48.6	1.49%	0	0	55	0
7	Jan_7_2015	48.3	50.95	51.02	50.31			49.72(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-34	4.02	56%	0.04	-47.4	1.48%	0	-1.4	56	0
8	Jan_6_2015	48.28	51.06	51.26	50.67			49.09(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-12	-10000	-14	-6	6.07	56%	0.06	-33.9	1.5%	0	-2.3	48	0
9	Jan_5_2015	48.25	51.23	51.5	51.22			50.27(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-9	28	2.8	60%	0.08	-13.9	1.46%	0	-1.3	52	0
10	Jan_2_2015	48.21	51.32	51.62	51.56			51.18(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-5	48	1.81	63%	0.15	3.4	1.45%	0	-0.2	51	0

11	Dec_31_2014	48.14	51.36	51.57	51.73			51.3(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-3	54	3.26	59%	0.12	19.7	1.45%	0	-0.1	54	0
12	Dec_30_2014	48.08	51.38	51.41	51.85			51.51(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-3	44	2.48	59%	0.12	32.2	1.48%	0	0.2	48	0
13	Dec_29_2014	48.02	51.35	51.26	51.95			51.84(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	38	1.06	62%	0.17	42.8	1.48%	0	0.6	49	0
14	Dec_26_2014	47.94	51.33	51.11	51.81			51.98(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	3	17	0.65	60%	0.21	50	1.51%	0	0.8	44	0
15	Dec_24_2014	47.84	51.29	51.01	51.69			52.03(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	7	0.63	58%	0.15	61.5	1.54%	0	1	48	0

16	Dec_23_2014	47.77	51.2	50.88	51.37			51.89(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	12	-12	1.48	58%	0.13	56.6	1.54%	0	0.9	48	0
17	Dec_22_2014	47.71	51.12	50.84	50.89			52.01(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-0	-10000	11	-34	2.45	57%	0.15	50.3	1.54%	0	1.1	51	0
18	Dec_19_2014	47.64	51.02	50.79	50.47			51.16(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	4	-50	2.64	54%	0.13	42.1	1.54%	0	0.2	52	0
19	Dec_18_2014	47.58	50.95	50.91	50.3			51.35(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-13	-10000	1	-53	4.6	55%	0.11	42.6	1.54%	0	0.5	48	0
20	Dec_17_2014	47.53	50.83	50.96	50.25			50.46(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-52	4.87	54%	0.11	40.8	1.54%	0	-0.4	45	0

21	Dec_16_2014	47.48	50.77	51.11	50.34			49.48(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-11	-42	6.1	53%	0.08	44	1.52%	0	-1.2	48	0
22	Dec_15_2014	47.44	50.73	51.34	50.78			49.9(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-9	-13	4.77	52%	0.08	52	1.53%	0	-0.7	51	0
23	Dec_12_2014	47.4	50.68	51.47	51.15			50.33(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-11	10	3.81	51%	0.08	60.1	1.53%	0	-0.3	57	0
24	Dec_11_2014	47.36	50.58	51.61	51.58			51.09(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-5	45	1.76	51%	0.11	64.9	1.53%	0	0.4	66	0
25	Dec_10_2014	47.31	50.44	51.64	51.77			50.88(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-6	72	3.15	51%		63.9	1.52%	0	0.3	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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