Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Silver Trust)
SLV latest price $16.2100 (0.43%) ($15.9200 - $16.4400) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $16.2100(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SLV advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SLV advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(78%)    SIL(74%)    GDX(67%)    BWX(41%)    XME(39%)
Factors Impacting SLV price   SLV will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    TBT(-12%)    VIXM(-9%)    IPO(-2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.87(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.56(4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.02(7.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SLV price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	14.18	15.02	15.56	15.87			16.21(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	-10000	14	207	18.78	67%	0.21	40.6	1.52%	0	1.9	85	0
2	Apr_20_2016	14.15	14.93	15.39	15.7			16.14(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	-10000	12	181	16.22	67%	0.21	33.2	1.52%	0	2.1	73	0
3	Apr_19_2016	14.12	14.87	15.21	15.56			16.12(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	-10000	13	162	18.84	67%	0.21	35.4	1.52%	0	2.4	75	0
4	Apr_18_2016	14.09	14.81	15.03	15.41			15.42(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	5	147	5.35	63%	0.14	39	1.42%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Apr_15_2016	14.07	14.79	14.91	15.36			15.46(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	16	138	9.69	63%	0.07	40.8	1.43%	0	1.6	68	0

6	Apr_14_2016	14.06	14.77	14.8	15.19			15.34(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	16	111	7.39	60%	0.14	35.2	1.43%	0	1.5	67	0
7	Apr_13_2016	14.04	14.74	14.73	15.02			15.44(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	20	89	10.56	62%	0.14	28.3	1.46%	0	1.9	67	0
8	Apr_12_2016	14.02	14.69	14.63	14.8			15.41(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	18	38	11.99	62%	0.14	12	1.49%	0	2.2	51	0
9	Apr_11_2016	14	14.65	14.54	14.6			15.14(3.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	13	-10000	18	-4	13.19	61%	0.14	-10.1	1.48%	0	1.7	49	0
10	Apr_8_2016	13.98	14.62	14.46	14.41			14.62(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	5	-55	7.95	55%	0.07	-30.8	1.42%	0	0	40	0

11	Apr_7_2016	13.97	14.63	14.46	14.36			14.48(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-4	-86	8.63	57%	0.07	-31.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	34	0
12	Apr_6_2016	13.96	14.64	14.44	14.4			14.34(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-3	-89	4.69	57%	0.07	-23.4	1.46%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	Apr_5_2016	13.95	14.65	14.52	14.43			14.42(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-3	-72	7.6	57%	0.07	-13.6	1.46%	0	-0.9	49	0
14	Apr_4_2016	13.94	14.68	14.58	14.46			14.2(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-5	-57	5.48	56%	0	2.3	1.45%	0	-1.8	45	0
15	Apr_1_2016	13.94	14.71	14.66	14.51			14.34(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-2	-41	13.95	56%	0.07	22.7	1.45%	0	-1.5	44	0

16	Mar_31_2016	13.93	14.72	14.74	14.53			14.68(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	3	-29	5.87	58%	0.07	28.2	1.42%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Mar_30_2016	13.92	14.7	14.76	14.5			14.49(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-12	-32	7.87	58%	0.07	17.1	1.42%	0	-0.8	51	0
18	Mar_29_2016	13.91	14.69	14.76	14.62			14.6(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-10	-14	7.7	58%	0.07	23.4	1.41%	0	-0.3	51	0
19	Mar_28_2016	13.9	14.67	14.77	14.72			14.46(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-10	-7	3.44	55%	-0.07	27.3	1.41%	0	-0.7	42	0
20	Mar_24_2016	13.91	14.67	14.8	14.83			14.43(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-10000	-14	8	5.42	55%	0.07	26.1	1.46%	0	-0.7	45	0

21	Mar_23_2016	13.9	14.65	14.8	14.98			14.51(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-6	42	14.4	55%	-0.07	35.4	1.46%	0	-0.5	53	0
22	Mar_22_2016	13.91	14.66	14.85	15.05			15.12(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	12	74	5.02	60%	0.07	42.2	1.36%	0	1.5	68	0
23	Mar_21_2016	13.9	14.62	14.8	14.93			15.06(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	9	67	5.29	60%	0	33.7	1.36%	0	1.5	69	0
24	Mar_18_2016	13.9	14.59	14.78	14.84			15.03(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	70	8.93	62%	0	17.7	1.37%	0	1.6	68	0
25	Mar_17_2016	13.9	14.57	14.75	14.77			15.16(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	6	80	20.67	58%		7.3	1.39%	0	2.3	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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