Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Silver Trust)
SLV latest price $15.1600 (1.95%) ($15.0000 - $15.2761) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $15.1600(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SLV advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SLV advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(78%)    SIL(74%)    GDX(67%)    BWX(41%)    PCY(33%)
Factors Impacting SLV price   SLV will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    TBT(-12%)    VIXM(-9%)    IPO(-1%)    XME(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.77(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.75(2.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.57(4.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SLV price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	13.9	14.57	14.75	14.77			15.16(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	6	80	20.67	58%	0	7.3	1.39%	0	2.3	73	0
2	Mar_16_2016	13.9	14.54	14.68	14.71			14.87(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	71	10.3	59%	0	3.8	1.44%	0	1.4	58	0
3	Mar_15_2016	13.9	14.53	14.62	14.64			14.54(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-1	51	4.69	57%	-0.07	-4	1.45%	0	0	51	0
4	Mar_14_2016	13.91	14.52	14.59	14.65			14.58(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-7	43	11.31	55%	0	-3.9	1.45%	0	0.3	51	0
5	Mar_11_2016	13.91	14.54	14.56	14.72			14.72(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-1	50	7.19	55%	-0.07	16.4	1.47%	0	0.8	56	0

6	Mar_10_2016	13.92	14.55	14.49	14.73			14.82(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	7	40	11.74	55%	0	29.6	1.47%	0	1	52	0
7	Mar_9_2016	13.92	14.54	14.45	14.66			14.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	9	-10000	5	21	5.62	53%	0	34.9	1.46%	0	-0	44	0
8	Mar_8_2016	13.92	14.54	14.44	14.61			14.62(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	9	13	8.15	53%	-0.07	44.8	1.45%	0	0.4	51	0
9	Mar_7_2016	13.93	14.53	14.43	14.52			14.9(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	-10000	14	1	8.33	54%	0	51.7	1.43%	0	1.5	57	0
10	Mar_4_2016	13.93	14.5	14.38	14.38			14.76(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	2	-10000	14	-35	18.76	56%	-0.07	52.4	1.45%	0	1.1	43	0

11	Mar_3_2016	13.94	14.47	14.36	14.23			14.5(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-16	-10000	2	-71	10.45	55%	-0.07	47	1.48%	0	0.1	39	0
12	Mar_2_2016	13.95	14.45	14.38	14.21			14.25(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-5	-73	9.13	53%	-0.07	42.8	1.47%	0	-0.7	45	0
13	Mar_1_2016	13.96	14.42	14.41	14.26			14.17(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-8	-66	20.68	53%	-0.07	38.7	1.48%	0	-0.8	45	0
14	Feb_29_2016	13.97	14.4	14.45	14.34			14.2(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-57	4.94	53%	-0.07	41.6	1.47%	0	-0.6	43	0
15	Feb_26_2016	13.98	14.38	14.52	14.38			14.02(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-12	-38	10.29	53%	-0.07	43.5	1.46%	0	-0.9	47	0

16	Feb_25_2016	13.99	14.36	14.62	14.51			14.41(-0.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-5	-10000	-7	3	5.18	56%	-0.07	50.5	1.43%	0	0.1	58	0
17	Feb_24_2016	14	14.33	14.62	14.51			14.52(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	0	33	8.96	56%	0	58	1.42%	0	0.4	65	0
18	Feb_23_2016	14	14.3	14.64	14.51			14.54(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	58	4.41	56%	-0.07	62.2	1.42%	0	0.5	70	0
19	Feb_22_2016	14.01	14.26	14.65	14.58			14.43(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-11	79	5.42	56%	0	63.3	1.42%	0	0.4	68	0
20	Feb_19_2016	14.01	14.21	14.64	14.69			14.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-6	124	5.34	58%	0.07	68.8	1.41%	0	0.9	74	0

21	Feb_18_2016	14	14.15	14.6	14.75			14.76(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	4	159	7.52	58%	0.07	70	1.41%	0	1.2	77	0
22	Feb_17_2016	13.99	14.08	14.52	14.71			14.54(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	1	160	5	56%	0	72.7	1.4%	0	0.9	66	0
23	Feb_16_2016	13.99	14.03	14.44	14.7			14.51(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	38	-10000	-2	156	8.64	56%	0.07	73	1.4%	0	0.9	65	0
24	Feb_12_2016	13.98	13.96	14.36	14.72			14.99(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	-10000	13	181	7.13	61%	0	72.6	1.33%	0	1.9	81	0
25	Feb_11_2016	13.98	13.87	14.22	14.59			14.95(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	-10000	17	170	21.5	61%		67.7	1.33%	0	2.2	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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