Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Silver Trust)
SLV latest price $14.7600 (1.51%) ($14.5100 - $14.8199) on Thu. Feb. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $14.7600(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SLV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SLV advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(78%)    SIL(74%)    GDX(67%)    BWX(41%)    PCY(33%)
Factors Impacting SLV price   SLV will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    TBT(-12%)    VIXM(-9%)    URA(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.75(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.6(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.15(4.31%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SLV price fluctuates within 3.67% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2016	14	14.15	14.6	14.75			14.76(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	4	159	7.52	58%	0.07	70	1.41%	0	1.2	77	0
2	Feb_17_2016	13.99	14.08	14.52	14.71			14.54(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	1	160	5	56%	0	72.7	1.4%	0	0.9	66	0
3	Feb_16_2016	13.99	14.03	14.44	14.7			14.51(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	38	-10000	-2	156	8.64	56%	0.07	73	1.4%	0	0.9	65	0
4	Feb_12_2016	13.98	13.96	14.36	14.72			14.99(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	-10000	13	181	7.13	61%	0	72.6	1.33%	0	1.9	81	0
5	Feb_11_2016	13.98	13.87	14.22	14.59			14.95(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	-10000	17	170	21.5	61%	0.07	67.7	1.33%	0	2.2	83	0

6	Feb_10_2016	13.97	13.79	14.08	14.43			14.55(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	13	151	5.1	58%	0	68.6	1.29%	0	1.8	76	0
7	Feb_9_2016	13.97	13.72	14	14.31			14.51(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	20	144	6.8	58%	0	62.9	1.3%	0	1.9	75	0
8	Feb_8_2016	13.97	13.66	13.93	14.13			14.59(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	47	-10000	20	126	13.57	58%	0.07	55.4	1.31%	0	2.4	79	0
9	Feb_5_2016	13.96	13.59	13.82	13.95			14.34(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	39	-10000	17	104	5.45	54%	-0.07	53.1	1.3%	0	2.4	79	0
10	Feb_4_2016	13.97	13.55	13.73	13.8			14.17(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	31	-10000	14	83	7.02	54%	0	54.7	1.3%	0	2.4	78	0

11	Feb_3_2016	13.97	13.5	13.65	13.68			13.95(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	3	57	10.05	52%	0.07	53.8	1.29%	0	2.1	61	0
12	Feb_2_2016	13.96	13.47	13.6	13.65			13.62(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-5	60	2.96	48%	-0.07	56.7	1.26%	0	0.8	63	0
13	Feb_1_2016	13.97	13.45	13.58	13.69			13.67(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	2	77	3.4	48%	0	49	1.26%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Jan_29_2016	13.97	13.43	13.54	13.67			13.59(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	5	75	3.64	45%	0	39	1.26%	0	0.8	58	0
15	Jan_28_2016	13.97	13.41	13.5	13.63			13.57(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	52	4.15	45%	-0.07	22.8	1.29%	0	0.8	48	0

16	Jan_27_2016	13.98	13.39	13.49	13.61			13.81(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	8	56	4.31	47%	0	12.8	1.28%	0	2.1	59	0
17	Jan_26_2016	13.98	13.36	13.43	13.54			13.82(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	18	-10000	10	40	7.8	47%	0	0.8	1.28%	0	2.7	60	0
18	Jan_25_2016	13.98	13.36	13.36	13.45			13.58(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	8	23	3.47	44%	0	2.1	1.26%	0	1.8	59	0
19	Jan_22_2016	13.98	13.35	13.33	13.38			13.38(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	4	12	5.56	42%	-0.07	-8.9	1.24%	0	0.3	56	0
20	Jan_21_2016	13.99	13.35	13.35	13.38			13.46(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	0	16	4.27	42%	-0.07	0	1.24%	0	0.7	57	0

21	Jan_20_2016	14	13.35	13.34	13.35			13.48(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	7	23	5.76	42%	0	15.8	1.25%	0	0.8	56	0
22	Jan_19_2016	14	13.36	13.32	13.29			13.36(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	4	11	4.69	42%	-0.07	8.7	1.25%	0	0	52	0
23	Jan_15_2016	14.01	13.35	13.31	13.26			13.24(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-13	6.32	42%	0	-5.5	1.24%	0	-0.6	38	0
24	Jan_14_2016	14.01	13.35	13.3	13.27			13.19(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-11	-29	6.13	45%	-0.07	-3.7	1.24%	0	-0.9	39	0
25	Jan_13_2016	14.02	13.36	13.31	13.36			13.49(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	4	-18	7.78	48%		0	1.23%	0	0.7	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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