Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: SLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares Silver Trust)
SLV latest price $15.6100 (-1.01%) ($15.5400 - $15.7100) on Fri. Dec. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $15.6100(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SLV advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SLV advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(78%)    SIL(74%)    GDX(67%)    PCY(32%)    EEM(30%)
Factors Impacting SLV price   SLV will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-11%)    VIXM(-8%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.73(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.69(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.5(0.71%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SLV price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2014	17.34	15.5		15.73			15.61(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	12	24	6.65	37%	-0.29	41.2	1.76%	0	0.3	51	0
2	Dec_4_2014	17.39	15.47	15.69	15.57			15.77(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	-10000	-1	12	6.37	37%	-0.23	15	1.76%	0	0.8	63	0
3	Dec_3_2014	17.43	15.41	15.66	15.59			15.73(-0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-4	23	5.85	37%	-0.23	-3.4	1.76%	0	0.8	62	0
4	Dec_2_2014	17.47	15.39	15.64	15.64			15.75(-0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-1	40	8.87	36%	-0.23	-12.7	1.76%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Dec_1_2014	17.51	15.38	15.62	15.64			15.78(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	0	54	24.7	36%	-0.28	-23.6	1.76%	0	1	63	0

6	Nov_28_2014	17.56	15.36	15.6	15.65			14.83(-6.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	9	-10000	-12	70	13.58	27%	-0.51	-36	1.55%	0	-1.4	49	0
7	Nov_26_2014	17.65	15.41	15.63	15.8			15.87(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	7	122	3.79	31%	-0.23	-30	1.33%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Nov_25_2014	17.69	15.43	15.55	15.73			15.98(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	9	123	7.14	31%	-0.23	-32.5	1.33%	0	1.2	78	0
9	Nov_24_2014	17.73	15.44	15.46	15.64			15.78(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	6	105	4.99	31%	-0.11	-38.3	1.32%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Nov_21_2014	17.75	15.47	15.37	15.58			15.79(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	3	81	9.22	31%	-0.28	-41.3	1.32%	0	0.6	53	0

11	Nov_20_2014	17.8	15.5	15.3	15.55			15.6(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	12	71	5.93	31%	-0.22	-41.2	1.31%	0	0.2	50	0
12	Nov_19_2014	17.84	15.54	15.23	15.43			15.48(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	9	22	19.6	31%	-0.28	-46.3	1.3%	0	-0.1	43	0
13	Nov_18_2014	17.89	15.58	15.15	15.34			15.55(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	9	-39	5.98	31%	-0.28	-48.6	1.31%	0	-0	36	0
14	Nov_17_2014	17.94	15.64	15.12	15.25			15.5(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	12	-85	8.25	31%	-0.28	-48.9	1.3%	0	-0.2	34	0
15	Nov_14_2014	17.99	15.7	15.11	15.13			15.63(4.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	10	-130	22.21	30%	-0.22	-52.3	1.31%	0	-0.1	37	0

16	Nov_13_2014	18.03	15.74	15.09	15.03			14.97(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-48	-10000	3	-200	6.76	21%	-0.33	-55.5	1.17%	0	-1	24	0
17	Nov_12_2014	18.09	15.82	15.17	15			15.03(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-50	-10000	9	-226	9.47	21%	-0.28	-56.8	1.17%	0	-1.1	24	0
18	Nov_11_2014	18.14	15.91	15.29	14.92			15.11(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-67	-10000	-6	-250	8.1	21%	-0.27	-60.8	1.17%	0	-1.1	26	0
19	Nov_10_2014	18.19	15.99	15.42	14.97			14.92(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-74	-10000	-13	-258	7.32	18%	-0.27	-59.3	1.16%	0	-1.5	18	0
20	Nov_7_2014	18.24	16.08	15.57	15.08			15.1(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-70	-10000	-9	-251	9.88	19%	-0.27	-58.4	1.15%	0	-1.4	22	0

21	Nov_6_2014	18.29	16.16	15.7	15.16			14.82(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-10000	-23	-255	8.91	14%	-0.22	-55.8	1.12%	0	-2.1	19	0
22	Nov_5_2014	18.33	16.26	15.88	15.36			14.66(-4.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-89	-10000	-40	-234	15.94	13%	-0.22	-52.1	1.12%	0	-2.8	14	0
23	Nov_4_2014	18.37	16.37	16.06	15.71			15.36(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-71	-10000	-28	-198	6.15	15%	-0.22	-46.4	1%	0	-2.3	18	0
24	Nov_3_2014	18.41	16.43	16.21	15.93			15.48(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-56	-10000	-24	-150	10.36	15%	-0.16	-36	1%	0	-2.6	21	0
25	Oct_31_2014	18.44	16.49	16.34	16.12			15.5(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-48	-10000	-25	-115	14.87	15%		-29.3	1%	0	-3.2	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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