Trading Signals: SKT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: SKT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 25, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Tanger Factory Outlet Centers)
SKT latest price $24.8400 (-0.8%) ($24.5000 - $25.2600) on Fri. Dec. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $24.8400(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SKT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SKT advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SKT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(22%)    EEM(21%)    EWY(20%)    INDA(20%)    IYT(20%)
Factors Impacting SKT price   SKT will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    DIA(-6%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.77(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.57(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.14(2.9%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $19.493b

$. SKT price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.26%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.24%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.25%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.71%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2017	24.83	24.14		24.77	24.81	25.02	24.84(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	60	8	20	1.14	58%	-0.04	46.4	1.68%	0	0.8	59	INF
2	Nov_30_2017	24.84	24.08	24.57	24.69	24.66	24.98	25.04(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	90	21	34	1.4	58%	-0.04	41.9	1.67%	0	1.1	68	INF
3	Nov_29_2017	24.85	23.98	24.51	24.56	24.48	24.61	25.11(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	30	20	48	1.39	58%	-0.04	31.6	1.67%	0	1.3	77	INF
4	Nov_28_2017	24.86	23.86	24.46	24.36	24.36	24.35	24.59(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	-0	6	60	1.08	53%	-0.04	14	1.66%	0	0.8	78	INF
5	Nov_27_2017	24.87	23.79	24.46	24.28	24.36	24.34	24.29(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	20	-3	81	1.1	53%	-0.08	0	1.68%	0	0.6	77	INF

6	Nov_24_2017	24.89	23.73	24.45	24.33	24.29	24.36	24.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	20	-3	112	0.4	53%	-0.08	-9.7	1.69%	0	0.8	73	INF
7	Nov_22_2017	24.91	23.71	24.39	24.43	24.39	24.23	24.4(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	30	-50	-2	126	1.16	53%	0	-13.4	1.69%	0	0.8	56	INF
8	Nov_21_2017	24.91	23.7	24.24	24.45	24.49	24.21	24.14(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-80	-18	119	1.03	53%	-0.12	-15.7	1.7%	0	0.5	59	INF
9	Nov_20_2017	24.94	23.74	24.08	24.57	24.61	24.56	24.17(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10	-10	130	1.27	53%	-0.08	-12.5	1.7%	0	0.5	62	INF
10	Nov_17_2017	24.96	23.79	23.9	24.63	24.67	24.77	24.52(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	30	7	133	1.57	53%	-0.08	-8.7	1.69%	0	0.7	60	INF

11	Nov_16_2017	24.98	23.81	23.7	24.58	24.55	24.67	24.93(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	17	129	2.17	53%	-0.08	-9.6	1.68%	0	1.1	64	INF
12	Nov_15_2017	25	23.82	23.55	24.35	24.4	24.57	24.51(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	50	27	108	1.74	48%	-0.08	-13.7	1.67%	0	0.7	51	INF
13	Nov_14_2017	25.02	23.84	23.41	23.99	24.14	24.44	24.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	110	37	62	1.86	48%	-0.04	-22.8	1.71%	0	0.8	49	INF
14	Nov_13_2017	25.03	23.86	23.2	23.51	23.75	24.22	24.49(0.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	31	170	43	-7	2.15	48%	-0.04	-35.1	1.71%	0	0.6	44	INF
15	Nov_10_2017	25.04	23.87	23.05	23.05	23.26	23.84	24.27(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	200	42	-73	2.01	45%	-0.08	-45.8	1.76%	0	0.4	40	INF

16	Nov_9_2017	25.06	23.91	22.92	22.68	22.81	23.28	23.75(4.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	160	21	-140	3.99	42%	-0.04	-52.4	1.75%	0	-0.1	38	INF
17	Nov_8_2017	25.07	23.97	22.93	22.67	22.6	22.68	22.73(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	20	4	-178	3.73	36%	-0.12	-52.3	1.65%	0	-1.1	27	INF
18	Nov_7_2017	25.1	24.1	23.09	22.74	22.71	22.35	22.29(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-110	-14	-193	3.42	33%	-0.16	-49.9	1.63%	0	-1.6	26	INF
19	Nov_6_2017	25.14	24.25	23.36	22.84	22.86	22.53	22.19(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-100	-30	-196	2.34	33%	-0.12	-49.7	1.63%	0	-1.9	25	INF
20	Nov_3_2017	25.17	24.4	23.68	23.03	23	23.08	22.46(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	20	-11	-169	4.55	33%	-0.2	-48.2	1.63%	0	-2	31	INF

21	Nov_2_2017	25.22	24.52	23.95	23.15	23.06	23.18	23.66(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-40	20	2	-167	1.32	34%	-0.12	-49.3	1.52%	0	-1	35	INF
22	Nov_1_2017	25.25	24.59	24.12	23.25	23.09	22.92	23.12(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-70	-22	-160	1.42	34%	-0.16	-47.4	1.56%	0	-1.8	33	INF
23	Oct_31_2017	25.29	24.69	24.33	23.52	23.43	22.93	22.75(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-69	-160	-43	-147	5.71	31%	-0.16	-42	1.58%	0	-2.5	25	INF
24	Oct_30_2017	25.33	24.8	24.59	23.98	23.88	23.25	23.18(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-71	-200	-55	-117	3.05	33%	-0.08	-36	1.57%	0	-2.5	28	INF
25	Oct_27_2017	25.35	24.87	24.78	24.42	24.44	23.92	23.06(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-53	-150	-46	-74	4.82	29%		-26.8	1.69%	0	-3.4	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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