Trading Signals: SIL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: SIL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Global X Silver Miners ETF)
SIL latest price $30.6485 (-0.09%) ($30.5629 - $31.3334) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.89% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $30.6485(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SIL advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SIL advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SIL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(92%)    SLV(74%)    GLD(73%)    BWX(43%)    EEM(36%)
Factors Impacting SIL price   SIL will decline at least -1.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-11%)    VIXM(-6%)    UNG(4%)    XHB(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.945% (StdDev 3.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.32(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.55(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.07(9.19%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   30.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SIL price fluctuates within 6.2% (three month std-dev: 3.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	28.69	28.07	29.55	30.32			30.65(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	9	82	0.08	53%	-0.24	81.6	3.89%	0	1.5	71	0
2	Jan_21_2015	28.76	27.78	29.31	29.79			30.68(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	76	0.15	53%	-0.28	74.4	3.94%	0	1.6	72	0
3	Jan_20_2015	28.84	27.53	29.1	29.44			31.3(4.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	26	-10000	6	86	0.18	53%	-0.28	67.7	3.93%	0	2.1	78	0
4	Jan_16_2015	28.92	27.26	28.69	29.12			30.02(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	4	87	0.11	51%	-0.31	68.3	3.89%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Jan_15_2015	29.01	26.99	28.37	28.88			28.96(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	4	90	0.11	51%	-0.34	64.3	3.86%	0	1.2	70	0

6	Jan_14_2015	29.11	26.72	28.12	28.66			27.99(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-1	95	0.16	51%	-0.38	49.9	3.84%	0	0.8	72	0
7	Jan_13_2015	29.22	26.53	27.95	28.71			28.94(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	1	109	0.13	51%	-0.31	41.7	3.82%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Jan_12_2015	29.31	26.35	27.59	28.67			29.71(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	9	111	0.1	51%	-0.31	39.8	3.81%	0	2	67	0
9	Jan_9_2015	29.4	26.15	27.19	28.19			28.79(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	8	95	0.05	50%	-0.34	34.5	3.8%	0	1.7	63	0
10	Jan_8_2015	29.5	26.01	26.85	27.78			27.88(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	87	0.06	52%	-0.41	27.7	3.8%	0	1.4	67	0

11	Jan_7_2015	29.62	25.95	26.5	27.49			28.25(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	8	83	0.11	51%	-0.4	25.3	3.89%	0	1.8	73	0
12	Jan_6_2015	29.74	25.83	26.14	27.06			28.74(5.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	-10000	14	77	0.22	52%	-0.4	10.8	3.9%	0	2.4	72	0
13	Jan_5_2015	29.86	25.68	25.83	26.36			27.28(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	6	53	0.09	50%	-0.43	-5.9	3.85%	0	1.6	57	0
14	Jan_2_2015	29.99	25.63	25.7	26.04			26.77(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	5	43	0.05	48%	-0.83	-26.2	3.9%	0	1.2	53	0
15	Dec_31_2014	30.24	25.64	25.48	25.77			26.43(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	9	26	0.08	48%	-0.49	-43.7	3.89%	0	0.8	49	0

16	Dec_30_2014	30.39	25.62	25.2	25.35			26.11(3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	6	-8	0.11	48%	-0.52	-65.2	3.89%	0	0.5	45	0
17	Dec_29_2014	30.55	25.7	24.98	25.07			25.2(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-33	0.05	48%	-0.49	-69	3.87%	0	-0.5	47	0
18	Dec_26_2014	30.7	25.74	25.01	25.22			25.72(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.04	48%	-0.81	-74.3	3.86%	0	-0	48	0
19	Dec_24_2014	30.95	25.88	25.02	25.3			25.41(4.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	3	-31	0.03	48%	-0.45	-59.4	3.83%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Dec_23_2014	31.09	26.07	25.11	25.16			24.3(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-8	-10000	3	-41	0.08	47%	-0.48	-52.9	3.78%	0	-1.2	36	0

21	Dec_22_2014	31.24	26.27	25.38	25			24.72(-4.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	3	-42	0.11	46%	-0.48	-52.8	3.79%	0	-1	44	0
22	Dec_19_2014	31.39	26.47	25.51	24.84			25.95(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	1	-59	0.03	46%	-0.44	-50.2	3.77%	0	-0.3	41	0
23	Dec_18_2014	31.53	26.57	25.53	24.77			26.15(6.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-16	-10000	0	-62	0.17	46%	-0.47	-42.7	3.79%	0	-0.3	51	0
24	Dec_17_2014	31.68	26.64	25.54	24.75			24.67(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-8	-80	0.19	44%	-0.5	-38.7	3.71%	0	-1.3	36	0
25	Dec_16_2014	31.84	26.86	25.79	25.11			23.53(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-15	-85	0.13	42%		-24.6	3.66%	0	-2.1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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