Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.4800 (0%) ($84.4700 - $84.4900) on Wed. Sep. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.03% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $84.4800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(40%)    TLT(34%)    IGOV(19%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(16%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-8%)    QQQ(-8%)    USO(-7%)    IWM(-7%)    XAR(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.015% (StdDev 0.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.48(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.46(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.43(0.06%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.04% (three month std-dev: 0.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2012	84.44		84.46	84.48			84.48(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	-10000	7	103	0.58	46%	0	0	0.03%	0	1.7	74	0
2	Sep_4_2012	84.44		84.45	84.47			84.48(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	7	103	1.8	46%	0	0	0.03%	0	1.7	60	0
3	Aug_31_2012	84.44		84.44	84.46			84.51(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	-10000	7	83	0.94	51%	0.01	-25	0.03%	0	2.7	63	0
4	Aug_30_2012	84.43		84.43	84.46			84.46(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	0	40	0.66	50%	0	-25	0.03%	0	1	55	0
5	Aug_29_2012	84.43		84.43	84.46			84.45(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	0	40	0.51	50%	0	-25	0.03%	0	0.7	59	0

6	Aug_28_2012	84.43	84.43	84.43	84.45			84.45(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	13	45	0.76	50%	0	-40	0.03%	0	0.5	59	0
7	Aug_27_2012	84.43	84.43	84.42	84.43			84.44(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	7	23	0.73	50%	0	-40	0.03%	0	0	46	0
8	Aug_24_2012	84.43	84.43	84.42	84.42			84.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	6	-10000	7	3	0.65	51%	0	-60	0.03%	0	0.3	37	0
9	Aug_23_2012	84.43	84.43	84.42	84.41			84.45(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	7	-37	0.49	53%	0	-50	0.03%	0	0.2	40	0
10	Aug_22_2012	84.43	84.44	84.41	84.4			84.44(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	7	-77	0.63	51%	0	-66.7	0.03%	0	0	32	0

11	Aug_21_2012	84.43	84.44	84.4	84.4			84.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	0	-100	1.66	48%	0	-66.7	0.03%	0	-1.2	23	0
12	Aug_20_2012	84.43	84.45	84.41	84.39			84.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-36	-10000	-7	-123	0.54	48%	0	-66.7	0.03%	0	-1.2	19	0
13	Aug_17_2012	84.43	84.46	84.42	84.4			84.39(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-123	0.58	46%	0.01	-50	0.03%	0	-1.4	24	0
14	Aug_16_2012	84.42	84.47	84.43	84.41			84.38(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-7	-103	0.8	46%	0	-50	0.03%	0	-1.8	34	0
15	Aug_15_2012	84.42	84.47	84.44	84.41			84.39(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	0	-100	0.69	46%	0	-33.3	0.03%	0	-1.8	29	0

16	Aug_14_2012	84.42	84.47	84.45	84.42			84.42(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-7	-103	1.76	48%	0	-20	0.03%	0	-1.5	31	0
17	Aug_13_2012	84.42	84.48	84.45	84.42			84.44(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	0	-100	0.62	48%	0	-20	0.03%	0	-1	34	0
18	Aug_10_2012	84.42	84.48	84.46	84.43			84.43(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-7	-103	0.62	48%	0	0	0.03%	0	-1.5	31	0
19	Aug_9_2012	84.42	84.48	84.47	84.44			84.41(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-36	-10000	-13	-105	0.56	48%	0	0	0.03%	0	-2	30	0
20	Aug_8_2012	84.42	84.48	84.48	84.46			84.41(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-13	-85	1.27	48%	0.01	20	0.03%	0	-2	32	0

21	Aug_7_2012	84.41	84.48	84.49	84.48			84.44(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.64	49%	0	40	0.03%	0	-1.2	40	0
22	Aug_6_2012	84.41	84.48	84.5	84.49			84.48(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-7	-23	2.34	52%	0	60	0.03%	0	-0.2	49	0
23	Aug_3_2012	84.41	84.48	84.5	84.49			84.47(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	0	0	0.91	54%	0	60	0.03%	0	-0.5	46	0
24	Aug_2_2012	84.41	84.49	84.51	84.5			84.5(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.59	57%	0.01	66.7	0.03%	0	0.2	58	0
25	Aug_1_2012	84.4	84.48	84.52	84.51			84.49(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	0	40	2.01	54%		66.7	0.03%	0	0.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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