Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.4400 (0.01%) ($84.4200 - $84.4400) on Thu. Apr. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.04% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $84.4400(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(40%)    TLT(34%)    IGOV(19%)    LQD(17%)    GLD(16%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-8%)    QQQ(-8%)    USO(-7%)    SPY(-7%)    IWM(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.02% (StdDev 0.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.42(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.4(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.35(0.11%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.07% (three month std-dev: 0.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2012	84.43	84.35	84.4	84.42			84.44(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	5	107	0.56	43%	0	85.7	0.04%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Apr_18_2012	84.43	84.34	84.38	84.41			84.43(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	5	107	0.47	43%	0	85.7	0.04%	0	1.5	71	0
3	Apr_17_2012	84.43	84.33	84.36	84.41			84.41(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	23	-10000	0	90	0.77	43%	0	71.4	0.04%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Apr_16_2012	84.43	84.32	84.35	84.4			84.41(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	27	-10000	5	92	0.57	43%	0	57.1	0.04%	0	1.5	69	0
5	Apr_13_2012	84.43	84.31	84.35	84.39			84.41(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	10	94	2.86	43%	0	57.1	0.04%	0	1.7	71	0

6	Apr_12_2012	84.43	84.3	84.34	84.37			84.4(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	20	83	0.85	43%	0	28.6	0.04%	0	1.7	71	0
7	Apr_11_2012	84.43	84.29	84.34	84.34			84.39(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	10	64	2.3	45%	-0.01	14.3	0.04%	0	1.7	71	0
8	Apr_10_2012	84.44	84.29	84.32	84.32			84.4(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	24	-10000	10	64	1.02	45%	0	-16.7	0.04%	0	2.4	77	0
9	Apr_9_2012	84.44	84.29	84.31	84.3			84.36(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	5	47	0.9	43%	0	-33.3	0.04%	0	1.6	71	0
10	Apr_5_2012	84.44	84.29	84.3	84.29			84.3(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-5	43	0.76	39%	0	-33.3	0.04%	0	0.4	54	0

11	Apr_4_2012	84.44	84.28	84.3	84.29			84.27(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	0	45	1.4	37%	0	-33.3	0.04%	0	-0.2	57	0
12	Apr_3_2012	84.44	84.28	84.3	84.3			84.25(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-10	71	1.63	35%	-0.01	-33.3	0.04%	0	-0.8	62	0
13	Apr_2_2012	84.45	84.29	84.29	84.32			84.31(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	5	77	0.7	37%	0	-28.6	0.04%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Mar_30_2012	84.45	84.29	84.28	84.31			84.32(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	47	0.95	41%	0	-28.6	0.04%	0	0.3	46	0
15	Mar_29_2012	84.45	84.29	84.27	84.3			84.33(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	5	32	0.74	41%	0	-42.9	0.04%	0	0.5	48	0

16	Mar_28_2012	84.45	84.29	84.26	84.29			84.3(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	5	2	0.74	38%	-0.01	-37.5	0.04%	0	0	45	0
17	Mar_27_2012	84.46	84.3	84.26	84.28			84.32(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	-10000	20	-37	1.09	36%	0	-50	0.04%	0	0.3	43	0
18	Mar_26_2012	84.46	84.3	84.26	84.25			84.29(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	5	-88	1.04	34%	0	-50	0.04%	0	-0.3	38	0
19	Mar_23_2012	84.46	84.31	84.25	84.25			84.27(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	0	-105	0.7	34%	0	-62.5	0.04%	0	-0.6	36	0
20	Mar_22_2012	84.46	84.32	84.26	84.25			84.26(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	0	-120	0.84	34%	-0.01	-55.6	0.04%	0	-0.7	35	0

21	Mar_21_2012	84.47	84.32	84.27	84.24			84.25(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	10	-131	0.57	33%	0	-55.6	0.04%	0	-1	37	0
22	Mar_20_2012	84.47	84.33	84.28	84.22			84.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-10	-154	0.79	29%	0	-75	0.04%	0	-1.9	26	0
23	Mar_19_2012	84.47	84.34	84.3	84.24			84.22(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-20	-143	2.26	29%	0	-62.5	0.04%	0	-1.7	27	0
24	Mar_16_2012	84.47	84.35	84.31	84.27			84.28(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-5	-122	2.79	34%	-0.01	-71.4	0.04%	0	-1.2	34	0
25	Mar_15_2012	84.48	84.36	84.32	84.28			84.23(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-10	-109	3.73	30%		-71.4	0.04%	0	-2.2	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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