Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SHY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 29, 2010

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.3600 (-0.02%) ($84.3600 - $84.3900) on Wed. Sep. 29, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.06% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $84.3600(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(41%)    TLT(35%)    LQD(20%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(15%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-9%)    QQQ(-9%)    IWM(-9%)    SPY(-8%)    XLY(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.03% (StdDev 0.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.36(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.33(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.26(0.12%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.11% (three month std-dev: 0.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2010	84.07		84.33	84.36			84.36(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	3	111	0.8	59%	0.01	27.3	0.06%	0	1.1	88	0
2	Sep_28_2010	84.06		84.32	84.36			84.38(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	0	120	0.76	59%	0.01	27.3	0.06%	0	1.3	69	0
3	Sep_27_2010	84.05	84.26	84.31	84.35			84.36(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	7	113	2.44	59%	0	33.3	0.06%	0	1.2	58	0
4	Sep_24_2010	84.05	84.25	84.29	84.33			84.34(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	3	111	1.21	59%	0.01	22.2	0.06%	0	1.1	65	0
5	Sep_23_2010	84.04	84.25	84.26	84.32			84.35(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	7	93	0.78	59%	0.01	11.1	0.06%	0	1.4	60	0

6	Sep_22_2010	84.03	84.25	84.24	84.3			84.34(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	7	73	1.16	59%	0.01	0	0.06%	0	1.4	58	0
7	Sep_21_2010	84.02	84.24	84.22	84.28			84.35(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	7	43	1.43	59%	0.01	0	0.06%	0	1.6	47	0
8	Sep_20_2010	84.01	84.24	84.21	84.26			84.29(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	13	15	1.13	57%	0.01	-12.5	0.06%	0	0.9	46	0
9	Sep_17_2010	84	84.24	84.2	84.23			84.28(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	-10000	17	-3	0.55	57%	0	-12.5	0.06%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Sep_16_2010	84	84.24	84.19	84.19			84.26(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	13	-35	0.73	57%	0.01	-25	0.06%	0	0.4	48	0

11	Sep_15_2010	83.99	84.23	84.18	84.16			84.24(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	3	-69	0.66	57%	0.01	-37.5	0.06%	0	0.1	48	0
12	Sep_14_2010	83.98	84.23	84.19	84.15			84.22(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-23	-10000	-3	-81	0.97	57%	0.01	-37.5	0.06%	0	-0.3	42	0
13	Sep_13_2010	83.97	84.23	84.19	84.15			84.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	0	-70	0.52	56%	0.01	-25	0.06%	0	-1.1	43	0
14	Sep_10_2010	83.96	84.24	84.2	84.16			84.09(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-7	-83	1.1	53%	0.01	-25	0.06%	0	-2.1	40	0
15	Sep_9_2010	83.95	84.25	84.22	84.18			84.1(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-6	-62	1.29	53%	0	-14.3	0.07%	0	-2.5	38	0

16	Sep_8_2010	83.95	84.25	84.24	84.2			84.19(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-13	-65	1.68	56%	0.01	0	0.06%	0	-1.4	44	0
17	Sep_7_2010	83.94	84.25	84.24	84.23			84.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-7	-33	1.1	58%	0.02	16.7	0.06%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Sep_3_2010	83.92	84.25	84.26	84.25			84.16(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.89	61%	0.01	33.3	0.07%	0	-2	40	0
19	Sep_2_2010	83.91	84.25	84.27	84.26			84.2(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	1.25	61%	0.01	33.3	0.07%	0	-1.2	52	0
20	Sep_1_2010	83.9	84.25	84.28	84.27			84.22(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-3	7	2.01	61%	0.01	42.9	0.07%	0	-0.7	52	0

21	Aug_31_2010	83.89	84.26	84.29	84.27			84.34(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	0	17	0.94	66%	0.01	57.1	0.07%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Aug_30_2010	83.88	84.25	84.29	84.27			84.31(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	0	17	0.73	66%	0.01	71.4	0.07%	0	1	60	0
23	Aug_27_2010	83.87	84.25	84.29	84.28			84.21(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-3	25	0.9	67%	0.01	71.4	0.07%	0	-0.5	56	0
24	Aug_26_2010	83.86	84.25	84.29	84.29			84.27(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-3	33	0.72	70%	0.01	85.7	0.07%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Aug_25_2010	83.85	84.24	84.28	84.3			84.27(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	0	43	1.17	70%		75	0.07%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.