Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $83.1800 (0.01%) ($83.1200 - $83.2300) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.13% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $83.1800(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(42%)    TLT(37%)    LQD(21%)    IGOV(17%)    GLD(15%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-11%)    QQQ(-11%)    IWM(-11%)    XOP(-10%)    XLY(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.065% (StdDev 0.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $83.34
5 Day Moving Average   $83.09(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.15(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.34(-0.19%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.25% (three month std-dev: 0.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2010	83.8	83.34	83.15	83.09			83.18(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	3	-110	1.53	43%	-0.01	-68	0.13%	0	-0.8	39	0
2	Jan_5_2010	83.81	83.36	83.18	83.07			83.17(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	2	-119	0.6	43%	0	-80.8	0.13%	0	-0.9	38	0
3	Jan_4_2010	83.81	83.37	83.21	83.06			83.07(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-6	-127	1.22	43%	-0.01	-96.4	0.13%	0	-1.3	30	0
4	Dec_31_2009	83.82	83.4	83.27	83.09			82.96(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-42	-10000	-15	-121	0.63	41%	0	-116	0.13%	0	-2.1	21	0
5	Dec_30_2009	83.82	83.44	83.32	83.17			83.06(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.79	42%	-0.01	-125	0.13%	0	-1.9	22	0

6	Dec_29_2009	83.83	83.48	83.36	83.23			83.09(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-36	-10000	-12	-106	0.86	42%	0	-130.4	0.13%	0	-2.1	21	0
7	Dec_28_2009	83.83	83.54	83.39	83.3			83.12(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-17	-99	1.73	42%	0	-93.1	0.13%	0	-1.8	29	0
8	Dec_24_2009	83.83	83.59	83.44	83.39			83.24(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-12	-65	0.33	44%	0	-71.9	0.13%	0	-1.3	44	0
9	Dec_23_2009	83.83	83.64	83.47	83.46			83.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-16	-10000	-6	-44	0.77	47%	0	-55.6	0.13%	0	-1	39	0
10	Dec_22_2009	83.83	83.69	83.5	83.49			83.34(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.85	47%	0	-51.4	0.13%	0	-1.1	37	0

11	Dec_21_2009	83.83	83.73	83.54	83.49			83.44(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	0	-37	0.96	47%	0	-48.6	0.13%	0	-0.9	37	0
12	Dec_18_2009	83.83	83.76	83.56	83.5			83.57(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	2	-79	0.54	47%	0	-47.4	0.12%	0	-0.6	26	0
13	Dec_17_2009	83.83	83.79	83.56	83.5			83.63(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-30	-10000	0	-120	0.7	49%	0	-47.4	0.13%	0	-0.5	27	0
14	Dec_16_2009	83.83	83.81	83.55	83.49			83.47(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-7	-173	0.69	45%	0	-46.2	0.12%	0	-1	24	0
15	Dec_15_2009	83.83	83.85	83.57	83.52			83.41(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-12	-195	0.57	45%	0	-42.1	0.12%	0	-1.4	24	0

16	Dec_14_2009	83.83	83.88	83.6	83.58			83.43(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-10000	-8	-198	0.53	45%	-0.01	-37.8	0.12%	0	-1.5	28	0
17	Dec_11_2009	83.84	83.92	83.69	83.62			83.52(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-41	-10000	3	-174	0.49	45%	0	-34.3	0.12%	0	-1.4	30	0
18	Dec_10_2009	83.84	83.94	83.76	83.6			83.61(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-2	-176	0.54	45%	0	-37.5	0.12%	0	-1.2	32	0
19	Dec_9_2009	83.84	83.96	83.83	83.61			83.64(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10000	-2	-171	0.64	45%	0	-35.5	0.12%	0	-1.2	35	0
20	Dec_8_2009	83.84	83.98	83.88	83.62			83.7(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-10000	-3	-161	0.66	45%	0	-33.3	0.12%	0	-1.1	36	0

21	Dec_7_2009	83.84	84	83.93	83.64			83.62(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-10000	-28	-171	0.75	45%	0	-31	0.12%	0	-1.6	33	0
22	Dec_4_2009	83.84	84.02	83.98	83.78			83.44(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-54	-10000	-33	-118	0.73	41%	-0.01	-19.2	0.12%	0	-2.6	28	0
23	Dec_3_2009	83.85	84.04	84.06	83.95			83.65(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-10000	-25	-55	1.05	45%	0	4.8	0.12%	0	-2.2	35	0
24	Dec_2_2009	83.85	84.04	84.11	84.08			83.7(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-17	-10000	-20	-8	0.86	45%	0	20	0.12%	0	-2.1	36	0
25	Dec_1_2009	83.85	84.06	84.16	84.18			83.77(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-2	-10000	-15	39	1.36	45%		42.1	0.12%	0	-1.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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