Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $84.4800 (-0.11%) ($84.4100 - $84.5900) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.16% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $84.4800(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(43%)    TLT(40%)    LQD(24%)    GLD(15%)    XLU(5%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-13%)    QQQ(-13%)    IWM(-13%)    XOP(-12%)    XLY(-12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.08% (StdDev 0.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $84.56
5 Day Moving Average   $84.48(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.42(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.56(-0.09%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.2% (three month std-dev: 0.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2009	84.12	84.56	84.42	84.48			84.48(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	3	-36	4.47	48%	0.02	-55	0.16%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Jan_14_2009	84.1	84.58	84.44	84.46			84.57(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	6	-43	1.12	48%	0.01	-52.4	0.16%	0	-0.1	45	0
3	Jan_13_2009	84.09	84.6	84.45	84.42			84.47(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	1	-52	0.58	43%	0.01	-41.7	0.16%	0	-0.6	42	0
4	Jan_12_2009	84.08	84.62	84.46	84.41			84.46(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	1	-60	1.23	43%	0.02	-34.6	0.17%	0	-0.7	37	0
5	Jan_9_2009	84.06	84.64	84.49	84.4			84.44(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	7	-64	0.85	43%	0.01	-34.6	0.17%	0	-0.9	34	0

6	Jan_8_2009	84.05	84.66	84.51	84.35			84.38(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-8	-88	0.81	38%	0.02	-42.3	0.17%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Jan_7_2009	84.03	84.68	84.54	84.41			84.36(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-8	-87	2.02	38%	0.01	-36	0.18%	0	-1.5	29	0
8	Jan_6_2009	84.02	84.69	84.56	84.47			84.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-6	-86	1.46	41%	0.01	-29.2	0.18%	0	-1.3	32	0
9	Jan_5_2009	84.01	84.7	84.6	84.51			84.38(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-10	-84	5.05	41%	0.02	-31.8	0.18%	0	-1.7	33	0
10	Jan_2_2009	83.99	84.72	84.65	84.59			84.21(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-26	-10000	-12	-68	1.14	45%	0.02	-19	0.18%	0	-2.8	29	0

11	Dec_31_2008	83.97	84.72	84.72	84.59			84.66(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-42	0.59	50%	0.02	0	0.17%	0	-0.8	51	0
12	Dec_30_2008	83.95	84.72	84.75	84.68			84.7(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.53	46%	0.02	7.1	0.17%	0	-0.4	48	0
13	Dec_29_2008	83.93	84.75	84.77	84.67			84.62(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-4	-22	0.72	52%	0.02	6.7	0.18%	0	-1	56	0
14	Dec_26_2008	83.91	84.75	84.8	84.7			84.77(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-10000	-2	-4	0.44	53%	0.04	14.3	0.19%	0	0.1	56	0
15	Dec_24_2008	83.88	84.76	84.81	84.72			84.67(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-4	2	0.27	55%	0.02	28.6	0.19%	0	-0.8	49	0

16	Dec_23_2008	83.86	84.75	84.82	84.75			84.65(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-9	6	0.7	55%	0.02	33.3	0.19%	0	-0.8	49	0
17	Dec_22_2008	83.84	84.75	84.82	84.83			84.63(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-7	26	0.81	55%	0.02	38.9	0.19%	0	-0.7	51	0
18	Dec_19_2008	83.82	84.75	84.83	84.89			84.79(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-4	39	0.85	52%	0.01	61.1	0.19%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Dec_18_2008	83.81	84.74	84.81	84.89			84.87(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	0	39	1.12	49%	0.02	83.3	0.2%	0	0.9	52	0
20	Dec_17_2008	83.79	84.73	84.8	84.92			84.83(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	-10000	4	39	1.45	53%	0.02	88.9	0.21%	0	0.7	53	0

21	Dec_16_2008	83.77	84.71	84.79	84.89			85.01(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	6	42	0.73	53%	0.02	84.2	0.21%	0	1.9	67	0
22	Dec_15_2008	83.75	84.68	84.75	84.84			84.97(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	10	41	1.4	58%	0.04	83.3	0.21%	0	1.9	68	0
23	Dec_12_2008	83.72	84.65	84.72	84.75			84.91(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	5	23	0.54	58%	0.02	68.4	0.23%	0	1.6	57	0
24	Dec_11_2008	83.7	84.61	84.71	84.7			84.87(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	3	14	0.92	58%	0.02	60	0.23%	0	1.5	51	0
25	Dec_10_2008	83.68	84.59	84.69	84.67			84.67(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-1	13	0.94	56%		68.4	0.23%	0	0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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