Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $81.9900 (0%) ($81.9300 - $82.0600) on Fri. Nov. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.17% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $81.9900(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(45%)    TLT(41%)    LQD(15%)    GLD(14%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-24%)    VWO(-23%)    SPY(-23%)    EEM(-23%)    QQQ(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.085% (StdDev 0.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.86(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.72(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.58(0.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.26% (three month std-dev: 0.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2007	80.87	81.58	81.72	81.86			81.99(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	32	-10000	7	105	0.43	64%	0.02	88.5	0.17%	0	2	66	0
2	Nov_15_2007	80.85	81.55	81.66	81.81			81.99(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	7	91	0.63	64%	0.02	100	0.17%	0	2.2	66	0
3	Nov_14_2007	80.83	81.51	81.59	81.76			81.72(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	5	77	0.57	63%	0.02	108.7	0.16%	0	1.1	59	0
4	Nov_13_2007	80.81	81.48	81.56	81.73			81.68(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	11	61	1.08	63%	0.01	100	0.17%	0	1	55	0
5	Nov_12_2007	80.8	81.44	81.54	81.66			81.93(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	15	55	0.7	67%	0.02	77.4	0.16%	0	2	73	0

6	Nov_9_2007	80.78	81.39	81.49	81.56			81.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	11	34	1.57	67%	0.02	64.5	0.16%	0	1.4	69	0
7	Nov_8_2007	80.76	81.34	81.46	81.49			81.71(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	13	20	1.83	67%	0.02	54.8	0.16%	0	1.5	62	0
8	Nov_7_2007	80.74	81.3	81.46	81.41			81.58(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	7	0.48	66%	0.01	41.9	0.16%	0	1.1	67	0
9	Nov_6_2007	80.73	81.27	81.46	81.36			81.35(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10000	-5	9	1	64%	0.02	35.5	0.16%	0	0.3	65	0
10	Nov_5_2007	80.71	81.25	81.46	81.39			81.4(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-3	36	0.52	64%	0.02	35.5	0.16%	0	0.6	74	0

11	Nov_2_2007	80.69	81.23	81.46	81.41			81.41(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-1	63	0.42	66%	0.01	38.7	0.16%	0	0.7	77	0
12	Nov_1_2007	80.68	81.21	81.43	81.42			81.31(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-6	91	1.78	61%	0.02	35.5	0.16%	0	0.4	75	0
13	Oct_31_2007	80.66	81.19	81.42	81.46			81.35(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-5	111	0.56	62%	0.02	35.5	0.17%	0	0.6	71	0
14	Oct_30_2007	80.64	81.18	81.4	81.49			81.48(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	-10000	2	135	0.29	60%	0.01	35.5	0.17%	0	1.2	79	0
15	Oct_29_2007	80.63	81.15	81.35	81.47			81.49(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	2	131	0.59	60%	0.02	30	0.17%	0	1.4	79	0

16	Oct_26_2007	80.61	81.13	81.29	81.45			81.49(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	2	121	1.57	62%	0.02	28.6	0.17%	0	1.6	66	0
17	Oct_25_2007	80.59	81.12	81.22	81.43			81.48(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	7	109	0.57	62%	0.02	29.6	0.18%	0	1.6	68	0
18	Oct_24_2007	80.57	81.11	81.16	81.38			81.53(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	12	104	0.46	62%	0.01	34.6	0.17%	0	2	65	0
19	Oct_23_2007	80.56	81.09	81.1	81.3			81.37(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	13	79	0.38	61%	0.02	26.1	0.17%	0	1.5	62	0
20	Oct_22_2007	80.54	81.08	81.05	81.21			81.36(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	16	52	0.61	61%	0.02	13.6	0.17%	0	1.6	61	0

21	Oct_19_2007	80.52	81.07	81.01	81.1			81.43(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	21	-10000	18	28	0.9	62%	0.01	0	0.17%	0	2.1	64	0
22	Oct_18_2007	80.51	81.05	80.96	80.98			81.22(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	8	-14	0.39	61%	0.01	-21.1	0.17%	0	1.1	44	0
23	Oct_17_2007	80.5	81.05	80.94	80.92			81.11(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	7	-43	1.43	61%	0.01	-36.8	0.17%	0	0.5	36	0
24	Oct_16_2007	80.49	81.04	80.93	80.87			80.92(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	1	-63	0.56	59%	0.01	-42.1	0.17%	0	-0.8	36	0
25	Oct_15_2007	80.48	81.05	80.94	80.86			80.82(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-25	-10000	-7	-80	2.01	59%		-42.1	0.17%	0	-1.5	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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