Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $80.4100 (-0.1%) ($80.4100 - $80.4900) on Mon. Aug. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $80.4100(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(48%)    TLT(42%)    LQD(19%)    GLD(11%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
FXI(-23%)    VWO(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    EEM(-22%)    XLY(-20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $80.71
5 Day Moving Average   $80.51(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.61(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.71(-0.37%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.17% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2005	80.95	80.71	80.61	80.51			80.41(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-4	-122	0.16	28%	0	-70.6	0.1%	0	-2.1	20	0
2	Aug_5_2005	80.95	80.74	80.65	80.53			80.49(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-12	-119	0.29	30%	0	-68.8	0.1%	0	-1.9	26	0
3	Aug_4_2005	80.95	80.76	80.69	80.58			80.56(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-10000	-12	-95	0.23	30%	-0.01	-80	0.1%	0	-1.7	28	0
4	Aug_3_2005	80.96	80.78	80.71	80.63			80.56(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-12	-83	0.25	30%	0	-78.6	0.1%	0	-2	30	0
5	Aug_2_2005	80.96	80.79	80.74	80.68			80.53(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-12	-65	0.51	27%	0	-100	0.1%	0	-2.6	26	0

6	Aug_1_2005	80.96	80.81	80.77	80.73			80.52(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-21	-10000	-14	-42	0.27	27%	0	-120	0.1%	0	-3.6	27	0
7	Jul_29_2005	80.96	80.83	80.8	80.79			80.75(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-4	-20	1.12	30%	0	-200	0.1%	0	-1.6	42	0
8	Jul_28_2005	80.96	80.85	80.81	80.81			80.8(0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.36	32%	0	-100	0.1%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Jul_27_2005	80.96	80.87	80.81	80.8			80.79(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.16	32%	0	-80	0.1%	0	-0.7	28	0
10	Jul_26_2005	80.96	80.89	80.81	80.81			80.79(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.21	32%	-0.01	-64.7	0.1%	0	-0.7	40	0

11	Jul_25_2005	80.97	80.91	80.81	80.81			80.81(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	0	-24	0.19	32%	0	-52.6	0.1%	0	-0.7	48	0
12	Jul_22_2005	80.97	80.93	80.82	80.81			80.84(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	0	-24	0.55	32%	0	-42.9	0.1%	0	-0.5	52	0
13	Jul_21_2005	80.97	80.95	80.83	80.82			80.76(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-16	-10000	-4	-50	0.32	27%	0	-38.1	0.1%	0	-1.1	22	0
14	Jul_20_2005	80.97	80.97	80.83	80.84			80.84(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.2	28%	0	-31.8	0.1%	0	-0.7	28	0
15	Jul_19_2005	80.97	80.98	80.83	80.84			80.85(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	0	-78	0.22	32%	0	-33.3	0.1%	0	-0.8	30	0

16	Jul_18_2005	80.97	80.99	80.85	80.84			80.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.31	32%	0	-33.3	0.1%	0	-1	25	0
17	Jul_15_2005	80.97	81	80.86	80.83			80.84(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-2	-139	0.3	36%	-0.01	-28.6	0.1%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Jul_14_2005	80.98	81.01	80.89	80.84			80.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	-4	-140	0.28	38%	0	-30	0.1%	0	-1.1	31	0
19	Jul_13_2005	80.98	81.02	80.93	80.86			80.83(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-4	-128	0.4	41%	0	-30	0.1%	0	-1.2	30	0
20	Jul_12_2005	80.98	81.03	80.96	80.86			80.82(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-26	-10000	0	-104	0.17	41%	0	-31.6	0.11%	0	-1.4	42	0

21	Jul_11_2005	80.98	81.04	81	80.88			80.82(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-2	-94	1.44	41%	-0.01	-41.2	0.11%	0	-1.6	43	0
22	Jul_8_2005	80.99	81.05	81.04	80.89			80.88(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-16	-88	0.13	41%	0	-43.8	0.11%	0	-1.3	44	0
23	Jul_7_2005	80.99	81.06	81.08	80.96			80.97(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-10	-58	0.15	42%	0	-31.3	0.1%	0	-0.7	47	0
24	Jul_6_2005	80.99	81.07	81.1	81			80.9(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-14	-30	0.13	42%	-0.01	-25	0.1%	0	-1.3	48	0
25	Jul_5_2005	81	81.08	81.12	81.06			80.85(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-17	-10000	-20	-8	0.2	42%		-20	0.1%	0	-1.9	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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