Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $81.5100 (-0.05%) ($81.4600 - $81.5500) on Thu. May. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $81.5100(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(49%)    TLT(43%)    LQD(21%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    IWM(-20%)    XLY(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $81.87
5 Day Moving Average   $81.52(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.69(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.87(-0.44%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.31% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2004	82.52	81.87	81.69	81.52			81.51(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-48	-10000	-12	-155	0.2	31%	-0.01	-80.6	0.12%	0	-1.4	24	0
2	May_12_2004	82.53	81.91	81.73	81.58			81.55(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-12	-150	0.26	31%	0	-86.2	0.12%	0	-1.5	20	0
3	May_11_2004	82.53	81.94	81.77	81.64			81.53(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-15	-141	0.19	34%	-0.01	-86.2	0.12%	0	-1.7	29	0
4	May_10_2004	82.54	81.98	81.83	81.71			81.52(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-10000	-15	-116	0.38	33%	-0.01	-82.1	0.12%	0	-2	29	0
5	May_7_2004	82.55	82.03	81.88	81.78			81.48(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-42	-10000	-20	-108	0.73	33%	-0.01	-80.8	0.12%	0	-2.6	23	0

6	May_6_2004	82.56	82.08	81.93	81.88			81.82(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-4	-94	0.57	40%	-0.01	-82.6	0.11%	0	-1.4	26	0
7	May_5_2004	82.57	82.11	81.97	81.9			81.84(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-4	-94	0.12	40%	0	-87.5	0.11%	0	-1.3	34	0
8	May_4_2004	82.57	82.14	81.99	81.92			81.87(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-11	-97	0.25	40%	-0.01	-95.8	0.11%	0	-1.3	38	0
9	May_3_2004	82.58	82.17	82.01	81.97			81.89(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-94	0.14	40%	-0.01	-104.2	0.11%	0	-1.4	34	0
10	Apr_30_2004	82.59	82.2	82.04	81.99			81.97(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-2	-99	0.11	40%	0	-112.5	0.11%	0	-1.2	32	0

11	Apr_29_2004	82.59	82.24	82.07	82			81.93(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-11	-113	1.18	40%	0	-107.4	0.11%	0	-1.4	28	0
12	Apr_28_2004	82.59	82.29	82.1	82.05			81.94(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-4	-111	0.23	37%	-0.01	-87.5	0.11%	0	-1.3	28	0
13	Apr_27_2004	82.6	82.33	82.13	82.07			82.11(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	3	-109	0.98	41%	0	-82.4	0.12%	0	-0.8	33	0
14	Apr_26_2004	82.6	82.37	82.15	82.05			82.01(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-10	-124	1.06	39%	0	-83.3	0.12%	0	-1.2	35	0
15	Apr_23_2004	82.6	82.42	82.19	82.1			82(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-12	-115	0.26	38%	0	-73.7	0.12%	0	-1.4	32	0

16	Apr_22_2004	82.6	82.47	82.24	82.16			82.17(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-2	-115	0.33	40%	0	-66.7	0.11%	0	-0.9	28	0
17	Apr_21_2004	82.6	82.52	82.27	82.17			82.05(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-7	-145	0.15	37%	0	-62.5	0.11%	0	-1.4	18	0
18	Apr_20_2004	82.6	82.57	82.31	82.2			82.04(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-10000	-11	-168	0.19	37%	0.01	-60	0.11%	0	-1.6	21	0
19	Apr_19_2004	82.59	82.62	82.35	82.25			82.23(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-53	-10000	-9	-184	0.44	40%	0	-56.4	0.11%	0	-1.2	23	0
20	Apr_16_2004	82.59	82.66	82.37	82.29			82.33(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-10000	-7	-199	0.13	42%	-0.01	-55.3	0.11%	0	-1.1	24	0

21	Apr_15_2004	82.6	82.69	82.41	82.32			82.22(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-10000	-13	-212	0.21	39%	0	-56.8	0.11%	0	-1.5	17	0
22	Apr_14_2004	82.6	82.73	82.48	82.38			82.17(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-10000	-13	-202	0.29	39%	0	-54.3	0.11%	0	-1.9	14	0
23	Apr_13_2004	82.6	82.77	82.56	82.44			82.31(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-10000	-4	-187	0.18	41%	0	-51.5	0.11%	0	-1.7	17	0
24	Apr_12_2004	82.6	82.8	82.62	82.44			82.42(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-10000	0	-191	0.23	44%	0.01	-58.6	0.11%	0	-1.6	20	0
25	Apr_8_2004	82.59	82.83	82.67	82.46			82.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-59	-10000	-11	-201	0.15	49%		-57.1	0.11%	0	-1.4	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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