Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.3800 (-0.1%) ($82.3800 - $82.4300) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.11% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $82.3800(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(49%)    TLT(44%)    LQD(21%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.055% (StdDev 0.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $82.91
5 Day Moving Average   $82.69(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.84(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.91(-0.64%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.21% (three month std-dev: 0.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2004	82.59	82.91	82.84	82.69			82.38(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-46	-10000	-24	-113	0.29	49%	0	-9.5	0.11%	0	-3.1	20	0
2	Apr_2_2004	82.59	82.94	82.91	82.8			82.46(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-36	-10000	-24	-70	0.41	45%	0	12.5	0.11%	0	-3.7	28	0
3	Apr_1_2004	82.59	82.94	82.97	82.91			82.75(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-13	-27	0.27	51%	0.01	50	0.11%	0	-2.1	36	0
4	Mar_31_2004	82.58	82.96	82.97	82.97			82.97(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.18	56%	0.01	50	0.1%	0	0.1	44	0
5	Mar_30_2004	82.57	82.94	82.99	82.99			82.91(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-8	3	0.19	56%	0.01	41.2	0.1%	0	-0.2	47	0

6	Mar_29_2004	82.56	82.93	82.99	83.02			82.92(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-4	16	0.17	53%	0.01	38.9	0.1%	0	-0.1	43	0
7	Mar_26_2004	82.55	82.92	82.99	83.02			82.98(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	0	24	0.34	53%	0.01	44.4	0.1%	0	0.4	52	0
8	Mar_25_2004	82.54	82.91	82.99	83.04			83.06(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	38	0.18	56%	0.01	50	0.1%	0	1	69	0
9	Mar_24_2004	82.53	82.9	83	83.02			83.07(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	16	-10000	4	50	0.25	60%	0.01	47.1	0.1%	0	1.2	78	0
10	Mar_23_2004	82.52	82.89	83	83			83.05(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	4	68	0.21	56%	0.01	47.1	0.1%	0	1.1	79	0

11	Mar_22_2004	82.51	82.87	82.98	82.98			83.03(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	4	83	0.23	56%	0.01	47.1	0.11%	0	1.1	73	0
12	Mar_19_2004	82.5	82.86	82.97	82.98			82.98(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	0	87	0.13	56%	0	41.2	0.11%	0	0.9	65	0
13	Mar_18_2004	82.5	82.84	82.95	82.96			82.95(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-2	86	0.46	56%	0.01	43.8	0.11%	0	0.8	54	0
14	Mar_17_2004	82.49	82.83	82.93	82.96			82.98(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-10000	0	87	0.15	56%	0.01	50	0.11%	0	1.2	58	0
15	Mar_16_2004	82.48	82.82	82.89	82.96			82.98(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	71	0.17	56%	0	62.5	0.11%	0	1.2	56	0

16	Mar_15_2004	82.48	82.81	82.85	82.97			82.92(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-2	65	0.14	56%	0.01	62.5	0.11%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Mar_12_2004	82.47	82.8	82.83	82.98			82.96(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	7	68	0.13	56%	0.01	75	0.11%	0	1.2	59	0
18	Mar_11_2004	82.46	82.78	82.82	82.95			83.02(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	18	78	0.16	59%	0	85.7	0.11%	0	2	65	0
19	Mar_10_2004	82.46	82.76	82.8	82.87			82.95(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	15	50	0.25	61%	0.01	76.9	0.11%	0	1.7	57	0
20	Mar_9_2004	82.45	82.74	82.78	82.8			83(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	18	29	0.11	61%	0.01	53.3	0.11%	0	2.2	61	0

21	Mar_8_2004	82.44	82.72	82.75	82.72			82.95(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	9	-10000	11	4	0.15	61%	0.01	50	0.11%	0	2.3	60	0
22	Mar_5_2004	82.43	82.7	82.73	82.67			82.82(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.7	-7	-10000	-2	-23	0.45	63%	0	36.4	0.11%	0	1.3	50	0
23	Mar_4_2004	82.43	82.7	82.72	82.68			82.64(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-7	-19	0.19	60%	0.01	33.3	0.11%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Mar_3_2004	82.42	82.7	82.73	82.71			82.57(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.19	60%	0	38.5	0.11%	0	-1	49	0
25	Mar_2_2004	82.42	82.68	82.75	82.76			82.63(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-7	30	0.22	60%		46.2	0.11%	0	-0.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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