Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.6200 (-0.07%) ($82.6200 - $82.7000) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $82.6200(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(50%)    TLT(44%)    LQD(22%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.71(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.71(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.58(0.05%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.19% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2004	82.37						82.62(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	19	-10000	0	75	0.42	55%	0	47.4	0.12%	0	0.3	70	0
2	Jan_23_2004	82.37	82.58	82.71	82.71			82.68(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-2	99	0.11	57%	0.01	47.4	0.12%	0	0.6	74	0
3	Jan_22_2004	82.36	82.56	82.69	82.72			82.8(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	3	101	0.24	59%	0.01	42.9	0.12%	0	1.4	65	0
4	Jan_21_2004	82.35	82.54	82.66	82.7			82.74(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-2	94	0.27	59%	0.01	47.4	0.12%	0	1.2	62	0
5	Jan_20_2004	82.34	82.52	82.63	82.71			82.69(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-2	99	0.29	59%	0	52.6	0.12%	0	1.1	62	0

6	Jan_16_2004	82.34	82.51	82.59	82.71			82.65(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	0	90	0.11	57%	0.01	55.6	0.12%	0	0.9	54	0
7	Jan_15_2004	82.33	82.5	82.55	82.72			82.71(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	12	85	0.28	55%	0.01	61.1	0.12%	0	1.4	60	0
8	Jan_14_2004	82.32	82.48	82.53	82.66			82.72(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	9	68	0.25	55%	0	64.7	0.13%	0	1.7	67	0
9	Jan_13_2004	82.32	82.47	82.5	82.61			82.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	17	62	0.16	55%	0.01	62.5	0.13%	0	2.5	63	0
10	Jan_12_2004	82.31	82.44	82.46	82.52			82.7(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	17	37	0.12	55%	0.01	61.5	0.12%	0	2.4	57	0

11	Jan_9_2004	82.3	82.43	82.44	82.44			82.65(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	17	12	0.2	55%	0.01	72.7	0.12%	0	2.4	56	0
12	Jan_8_2004	82.29	82.41	82.42	82.36			82.45(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.11	52%	0	87.5	0.12%	0	0.6	50	0
13	Jan_7_2004	82.29	82.39	82.41	82.37			82.44(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.12	52%	0	80	0.12%	0	0.6	50	0
14	Jan_6_2004	82.29	82.39	82.4	82.38			82.38(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.24	52%	0.01	75	0.12%	0	0	51	0
15	Jan_5_2004	82.28	82.38	82.41	82.39			82.28(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-10	-14	0.27	51%	0	84.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	45	0

16	Jan_2_2004	82.28	82.37	82.43	82.44			82.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-8	7	0.14	47%	0	84.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	44	0
17	Dec_31_2003	82.28	82.35	82.45	82.48			82.47(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	7	38	0.19	51%	0.01	57.9	0.12%	0	0.8	64	0
18	Dec_30_2003	82.27	82.33	82.44	82.45			82.48(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	41	0.1	53%	0	42.9	0.12%	0	0.9	69	0
19	Dec_29_2003	82.27	82.3	82.44	82.45			82.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	0	45	0.1	53%	0	26.1	0.12%	0	0.7	64	0
20	Dec_26_2003	82.27	82.29	82.43	82.44			82.55(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	3	56	0.15	57%	0.01	21.7	0.12%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Dec_24_2003	82.26	82.27	82.41	82.42			82.48(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	71	0.1	57%	0.01	18.2	0.12%	0	1.2	71	0
22	Dec_23_2003	82.25	82.27	82.39	82.41			82.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-7	82	0.12	54%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.2	69	0
23	Dec_22_2003	82.25	82.26	82.38	82.44			82.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	106	0.08	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.9	71	0
24	Dec_19_2003	82.25	82.26	82.36	82.43			82.47(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	3	121	0.1	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	1.3	76	0
25	Dec_18_2003	82.25	82.25	82.34	82.41			82.45(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	2	126	0.13	56%		21.1	0.12%	0	1.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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