Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 15, 2004

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.7100 (-0.01%) ($82.6600 - $82.7300) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $82.7100(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(50%)    TLT(44%)    LQD(22%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.72(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.55(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.5(0.25%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.18% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2004	82.33	82.5	82.55	82.72			82.71(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	12	85	0.28	55%	0.01	61.1	0.12%	0	1.4	60	0
2	Jan_14_2004	82.32	82.48	82.53	82.66			82.72(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	9	68	0.25	55%	0	64.7	0.13%	0	1.7	67	0
3	Jan_13_2004	82.32	82.47	82.5	82.61			82.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	-10000	17	62	0.16	55%	0.01	62.5	0.13%	0	2.5	63	0
4	Jan_12_2004	82.31	82.44	82.46	82.52			82.7(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	17	37	0.12	55%	0.01	61.5	0.12%	0	2.4	57	0
5	Jan_9_2004	82.3	82.43	82.44	82.44			82.65(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	17	12	0.2	55%	0.01	72.7	0.12%	0	2.4	56	0

6	Jan_8_2004	82.29	82.41	82.42	82.36			82.45(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.11	52%	0	87.5	0.12%	0	0.6	50	0
7	Jan_7_2004	82.29	82.39	82.41	82.37			82.44(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.12	52%	0	80	0.12%	0	0.6	50	0
8	Jan_6_2004	82.29	82.39	82.4	82.38			82.38(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.24	52%	0.01	75	0.12%	0	0	51	0
9	Jan_5_2004	82.28	82.38	82.41	82.39			82.28(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-10	-14	0.27	51%	0	84.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	45	0
10	Jan_2_2004	82.28	82.37	82.43	82.44			82.27(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-8	7	0.14	47%	0	84.6	0.12%	0	-0.9	44	0

11	Dec_31_2003	82.28	82.35	82.45	82.48			82.47(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	7	38	0.19	51%	0.01	57.9	0.12%	0	0.8	64	0
12	Dec_30_2003	82.27	82.33	82.44	82.45			82.48(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	41	0.1	53%	0	42.9	0.12%	0	0.9	69	0
13	Dec_29_2003	82.27	82.3	82.44	82.45			82.44(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	0	45	0.1	53%	0	26.1	0.12%	0	0.7	64	0
14	Dec_26_2003	82.27	82.29	82.43	82.44			82.55(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	3	56	0.15	57%	0.01	21.7	0.12%	0	1.4	63	0
15	Dec_24_2003	82.26	82.27	82.41	82.42			82.48(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	71	0.1	57%	0.01	18.2	0.12%	0	1.2	71	0

16	Dec_23_2003	82.25	82.27	82.39	82.41			82.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-7	82	0.12	54%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.2	69	0
17	Dec_22_2003	82.25	82.26	82.38	82.44			82.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	106	0.08	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.9	71	0
18	Dec_19_2003	82.25	82.26	82.36	82.43			82.47(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	3	121	0.1	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	1.3	76	0
19	Dec_18_2003	82.25	82.25	82.34	82.41			82.45(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	2	126	0.13	56%	0.01	21.1	0.12%	0	1.3	61	0
20	Dec_17_2003	82.24	82.24	82.3	82.4			82.43(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	0.13	56%	0	26.3	0.12%	0	1.2	55	0

21	Dec_16_2003	82.24	82.24	82.25	82.37			82.42(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	12	85	0.11	56%	0	33.3	0.12%	0	1.3	51	0
22	Dec_15_2003	82.24	82.23	82.21	82.31			82.37(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	53	0.14	56%	0	33.3	0.12%	0	0.9	53	0
23	Dec_12_2003	82.24	82.22	82.16	82.27			82.39(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	3	16	0.11	56%	0	38.9	0.12%	0	1.1	49	0
24	Dec_11_2003	82.24	82.21	82.14	82.25			82.41(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	17	2	0.21	56%	0	41.2	0.12%	0	1.4	49	0
25	Dec_10_2003	82.24	82.19	82.11	82.17			82.24(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	12	-30	0.49	53%		23.5	0.12%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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