Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.4200 (-0.06%) ($82.3700 - $82.5100) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.12% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $82.4200(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(50%)    TLT(44%)    LQD(22%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-6%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.06% (StdDev 0.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.44(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.38(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.26(0.19%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.21% (three month std-dev: 0.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2003	82.25	82.26	82.38	82.44			82.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	106	0.08	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	0.9	71	0
2	Dec_19_2003	82.25	82.26	82.36	82.43			82.47(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	3	121	0.1	56%	0	19	0.12%	0	1.3	76	0
3	Dec_18_2003	82.25	82.25	82.34	82.41			82.45(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	2	126	0.13	56%	0.01	21.1	0.12%	0	1.3	61	0
4	Dec_17_2003	82.24	82.24	82.3	82.4			82.43(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	0.13	56%	0	26.3	0.12%	0	1.2	55	0
5	Dec_16_2003	82.24	82.24	82.25	82.37			82.42(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	12	85	0.11	56%	0	33.3	0.12%	0	1.3	51	0

6	Dec_15_2003	82.24	82.23	82.21	82.31			82.37(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	53	0.14	56%	0	33.3	0.12%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Dec_12_2003	82.24	82.22	82.16	82.27			82.39(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	3	16	0.11	56%	0	38.9	0.12%	0	1.1	49	0
8	Dec_11_2003	82.24	82.21	82.14	82.25			82.41(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	17	2	0.21	56%	0	41.2	0.12%	0	1.4	49	0
9	Dec_10_2003	82.24	82.19	82.11	82.17			82.24(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	12	-30	0.49	53%	0	23.5	0.12%	0	0.4	50	0
10	Dec_9_2003	82.24	82.18	82.12	82.11			82.14(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.09	54%	0	5.6	0.12%	0	-0.3	42	0

11	Dec_8_2003	82.24	82.17	82.13	82.09			82.19(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	12	-70	0.11	52%	-0.01	-5.6	0.12%	0	0.1	43	0
12	Dec_5_2003	82.25	82.16	82.14	82.03			82.28(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-20	-10000	3	-89	0.11	57%	0	-21.1	0.12%	0	0.8	48	0
13	Dec_4_2003	82.25	82.15	82.15	82.01			82.02(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-8	-98	0.08	54%	0	-36.8	0.12%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Dec_3_2003	82.25	82.16	82.17	82.05			81.94(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-17	-77	0.25	54%	-0.01	-36.8	0.12%	0	-1.4	49	0
15	Dec_2_2003	82.26	82.17	82.21	82.13			82.01(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-8	-28	0.22	51%	0	-27.8	0.12%	0	-1.1	54	0

16	Dec_1_2003	82.26	82.18	82.25	82.17			81.92(-0.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-12	-10000	-18	8	0.16	51%	-0.01	-27.8	0.12%	0	-1.7	51	0
17	Nov_28_2003	82.27	82.2	82.29	82.26			82.14(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-10	56	0.06	56%	-0.01	-11.8	0.12%	0	-0.4	60	0
18	Nov_26_2003	82.28	82.2	82.3	82.31			82.24(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	2	91	0.15	59%	0	-5.9	0.12%	0	0.2	60	0
19	Nov_25_2003	82.28	82.2	82.28	82.3			82.33(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-2	84	0.17	59%	0	-5.6	0.12%	0	0.8	59	0
20	Nov_24_2003	82.28	82.21	82.25	82.31			82.24(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-7	77	0.1	59%	0	5.6	0.12%	0	0.2	50	0

21	Nov_21_2003	82.28	82.21	82.23	82.34			82.35(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	81	0.11	59%	0	11.1	0.12%	0	0.9	58	0
22	Nov_20_2003	82.28	82.22	82.19	82.33			82.38(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	63	0.1	59%	-0.01	16.7	0.12%	0	1.1	50	0
23	Nov_19_2003	82.29	82.21	82.15	82.29			82.22(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	7	38	0.13	58%	0	16.7	0.12%	0	0.1	44	0
24	Nov_18_2003	82.29	82.22	82.14	82.26			82.37(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	18	18	0.1	61%	0	11.1	0.11%	0	1	46	0
25	Nov_17_2003	82.29	82.21	82.12	82.18			82.36(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	18	-26	0.09	61%		-11.8	0.11%	0	1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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