Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.4200 (-0.06%) ($82.3900 - $82.4700) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.1% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $82.4200(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(45%)    LQD(23%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-5%)    OIH(-13%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.05% (StdDev 0.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $82.63
5 Day Moving Average   $82.51(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.53(-0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.63(-0.25%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.17% (three month std-dev: 0.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2003	82.54	82.63	82.53	82.51			82.42(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0.08	48%	0	-58.8	0.1%	0	-1.5	36	0
2	Jul_16_2003	82.54	82.64	82.55	82.54			82.47(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-4	-44	0.1	48%	0	-56.3	0.1%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Jul_15_2003	82.54	82.66	82.56	82.56			82.46(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.14	48%	0	-62.5	0.1%	0	-1.5	24	0
4	Jul_14_2003	82.54	82.68	82.59	82.57			82.56(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	2	-71	0.13	48%	0	-60	0.1%	0	-1	32	0
5	Jul_11_2003	82.54	82.7	82.6	82.56			82.63(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	2	-83	0.05	48%	0	-50	0.1%	0	-0.5	40	0

6	Jul_10_2003	82.54	82.71	82.59	82.55			82.6(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-2	-103	0.28	46%	0	-47.1	0.1%	0	-0.8	38	0
7	Jul_9_2003	82.54	82.72	82.61	82.56			82.53(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-2	-103	0.07	47%	0	-41.2	0.1%	0	-1.4	40	0
8	Jul_8_2003	82.54	82.74	82.65	82.57			82.51(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0.11	48%	0	-31.3	0.1%	0	-1.8	40	0
9	Jul_7_2003	82.54	82.75	82.69	82.61			82.54(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-4	-68	0.11	48%	0	-13.3	0.1%	0	-1.7	36	0
10	Jul_3_2003	82.54	82.76	82.71	82.63			82.56(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-4	-74	0.16	47%	0	-7.7	0.1%	0	-1.8	33	0

11	Jul_2_2003	82.54	82.77	82.74	82.65			82.65(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-4	-74	0.07	48%	0	-8.3	0.1%	0	-1.2	40	0
12	Jul_1_2003	82.54	82.77	82.75	82.67			82.61(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-16	-72	0.11	48%	0	0	0.1%	0	-1.5	41	0
13	Jun_30_2003	82.54	82.78	82.76	82.74			82.71(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.23	50%	0.01	14.3	0.1%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Jun_27_2003	82.53	82.78	82.78	82.77			82.64(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-8	-39	0.14	50%	0	21.4	0.1%	0	-1.1	44	0
15	Jun_26_2003	82.53	82.77	82.81	82.8			82.62(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-10	-10	0.18	50%	0	30.8	0.1%	0	-1.4	50	0

16	Jun_25_2003	82.53	82.78	82.81	82.8			82.77(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	0	18	0.82	52%	0.01	46.2	0.1%	0	-0.1	55	0
17	Jun_24_2003	82.52	82.77	82.81	82.84			82.94(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	13	32	0.21	56%	0	42.9	0.09%	0	1.4	60	0
18	Jun_23_2003	82.52	82.76	82.84	82.84			82.88(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	0	33	0.08	56%	0.01	38.5	0.09%	0	1.1	68	0
19	Jun_20_2003	82.51	82.75	82.83	82.79			82.8(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-9	50	0.09	54%	0	38.5	0.09%	0	0.5	66	0
20	Jun_19_2003	82.51	82.74	82.82	82.82			82.82(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-2	66	0.15	54%	0.01	53.8	0.09%	0	0.7	57	0

21	Jun_18_2003	82.5	82.74	82.82	82.83			82.74(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-4	72	0.11	53%	0	61.5	0.09%	0	0.1	52	0
22	Jun_17_2003	82.5	82.73	82.81	82.85			82.73(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	14	-10000	-9	83	0.16	53%	0.01	76.9	0.09%	0	0	53	0
23	Jun_16_2003	82.49	82.72	82.8	82.88			82.85(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	2	101	0.14	55%	0.01	73.3	0.09%	0	1.1	61	0
24	Jun_13_2003	82.48	82.71	82.76	82.87			82.95(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	13	92	0.12	58%	0	80	0.09%	0	2	64	0
25	Jun_12_2003	82.48	82.68	82.74	82.82			82.88(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	11	71	0.21	58%		84.6	0.09%	0	1.8	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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