Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: SHY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
SHY latest price $82.6300 (0.04%) ($82.6000 - $82.6700) on Thu. May. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.09% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $82.6300(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SHY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SHY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(45%)    LQD(24%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-5%)    OIH(-13%)
Factors Impacting SHY price   SHY will decline at least -0.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-21%)    EEM(-21%)    QQQ(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    XLK(-19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.045% (StdDev 0.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.62(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.56(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.49(0.17%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SHY price fluctuates within 0.13% (three month std-dev: 0.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2003	82.39	82.49	82.56	82.62			82.63(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	4	88	0.05	52%	0.01	92.3	0.09%	0	1.3	73	0
2	May_21_2003	82.38	82.47	82.54	82.6			82.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	4	82	0.04	52%	0.01	92.3	0.09%	0	1.2	63	0
3	May_20_2003	82.37	82.46	82.53	82.58			82.71(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	13	79	0.1	56%	0.01	73.3	0.09%	0	2.1	58	0
4	May_19_2003	82.36	82.43	82.5	82.53			82.6(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	5	77	0.07	52%	0	76.9	0.08%	0	1.5	63	0
5	May_16_2003	82.36	82.41	82.48	82.51			82.58(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	9	57	0.05	52%	0.01	75	0.09%	0	1.7	58	0

6	May_15_2003	82.35	82.39	82.45	82.48			82.49(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	34	0.11	49%	0.01	61.5	0.09%	0	0.9	54	0
7	May_14_2003	82.34	82.38	82.44	82.48			82.52(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	0	33	0.05	49%	0	53.8	0.09%	0	1.3	60	0
8	May_13_2003	82.34	82.36	82.43	82.48			82.47(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	0	47	0.06	49%	0.01	46.2	0.09%	0	1	62	0
9	May_12_2003	82.33	82.35	82.42	82.47			82.49(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	9	64	0.09	49%	0	38.5	0.09%	0	1.3	65	0
10	May_9_2003	82.33	82.35	82.42	82.44			82.43(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	9	64	0.21	49%	0.01	30.8	0.09%	0	0.9	63	0

11	May_8_2003	82.32	82.33	82.41	82.41			82.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	2	67	0.08	49%	0	23.1	0.09%	0	1.1	66	0
12	May_7_2003	82.32	82.32	82.4	82.41			82.49(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	0	73	0.05	49%	0.01	25	0.09%	0	1.7	63	0
13	May_6_2003	82.31	82.31	82.38	82.4			82.47(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	9	84	0.11	49%	0	25	0.09%	0	1.6	63	0
14	May_5_2003	82.31	82.31	82.35	82.37			82.35(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-2	73	0.12	44%	0.01	0	0.09%	0	0.6	61	0
15	May_2_2003	82.3	82.31	82.34	82.38			82.29(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-9	70	0.07	44%	-0.01	0	0.09%	0	-0.1	51	0

16	May_1_2003	82.31	82.31	82.33	82.41			82.38(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	2	81	0.09	47%	0.01	0	0.09%	0	0.9	56	0
17	Apr_30_2003	82.3	82.3	82.31	82.4			82.51(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	-10000	13	72	0.08	54%	0.01	0	0.09%	0	2.3	55	0
18	Apr_29_2003	82.29	82.29	82.28	82.35			82.34(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	11	47	0.07	44%	0	0	0.07%	0	0.6	50	0
19	Apr_28_2003	82.29	82.29	82.26	82.32			82.4(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	11	4	0.16	47%	0.01	0	0.07%	0	1030	59	0
20	Apr_25_2003	82.28	82.29	82.25	82.29			82.42(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	-10000	18	7	0.35	47%	0.01	0	0.08%	0	1030.3	56	0

21	Apr_24_2003	82.27	82.29	82.25	82.23			82.34(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	5	-10000	6	2	0.05	41%	0	0	0.07%	0	1176.3	47	0
22	Apr_23_2003	82.27	82.29	82.23	82.21			82.26(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	1	0.15	32%	0	0	0.07%	0	1175.1	42	0
23	Apr_22_2003	82.27	82.29	82.24	82.21			82.2(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.23	25%	-0.01	0	0.07%	0	1174.3	38	0
24	Apr_21_2003	82.28	82.29	82.24	82.2			82.21(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.04	25%	0	0	0.07%	0	1174.4	50	0
25	Apr_17_2003	82.28	82.29	82.25	82.21			82.16(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.11	25%		0	0.07%	0	1173.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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