Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $358.5083 (3.5%) ($356.4642 - $365.1124) on Tue. Sep. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $358.5083(3.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(14%)    VIXM(13%)    UUP(9%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWD(-45%)    IVE(-45%)    SPY(-44%)    VYM(-43%)    SDY(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $345.96(3.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $350.5(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $358.29(0.06%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   27.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2015	311.25	358.29	350.5	345.96			358.51(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.11	60%	0.22	-3.7	3.7%	0	0	43	0
2	Sep_21_2015	310.58	360.35	349.6	342.75			346.4(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-3	-57	0.14	60%	0.16	13.7	3.69%	0	-0.7	50	0
3	Sep_18_2015	310.07	361.37	352.57	344.96			354.42(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	1	-38	0.19	59%	0.16	29.3	3.68%	0	-0.3	54	0
4	Sep_17_2015	309.56	360.58	353.16	344.52			337.6(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-7	-37	0.19	57%	0.14	32.9	3.65%	0	-1.1	50	0
5	Sep_16_2015	309.13	359.84	355.73	349.08			332.88(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-10	-31	0.1	57%	0.14	37.1	3.65%	0	-1.2	41	0

6	Sep_15_2015	308.7	358.96	360.61	355.52			342.47(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.12	57%	0.16	40.3	3.64%	0	-0.6	34	0
7	Sep_14_2015	308.22	357.5	361.98	357.09			357.42(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-7	-47	0.05	59%	0.21	39.6	3.6%	0	-0	40	0
8	Sep_11_2015	307.56	355.36	361.06	361.31			352.22(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.11	60%	0.19	40.9	3.61%	0	-0.1	50	0
9	Sep_10_2015	306.97	353.62	360.76	363.13			360.4(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.18	58%	0.22	41.1	3.6%	0	0.2	58	0
10	Sep_9_2015	306.31	351.43	361.73	363.48			365.11(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-14	0.17	58%	0.22	41.3	3.63%	0	0.4	62	0

11	Sep_8_2015	305.64	348.97	366.62	366.72			350.33(-7.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-1	44	0.15	57%	0.18	44.6	3.6%	0	0	62	0
12	Sep_4_2015	305.1	346.81	371.88	367.28			378.48(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	10	97	0.14	61%	0.28	43.6	3.44%	0	0.9	68	0
13	Sep_3_2015	304.24	343.65	370.57	360.8			361.34(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	5	106	0.13	59%	0.23	40.9	3.41%	0	0.5	65	0
14	Sep_2_2015	303.55	341.32	368.39	357.88			362.12(-5.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-3	108	0.19	59%	0.22	40.6	3.41%	0	0.6	64	0
15	Sep_1_2015	302.88	338.67	364.33	359.67			381.31(7.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	20	-10000	-13	117	0.14	62%	0.27	44	3.35%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Aug_31_2015	302.05	334.93	357.2	367.47			353.16(2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-17	149	0.11	59%	0.19	53.8	3.21%	0	0.6	64	0
17	Aug_28_2015	301.47	332.6	352.99	377.75			346.09(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	45	-10000	-6	198	0.12	59%	0.15	62.4	3.21%	0	0.4	65	0
18	Aug_27_2015	301.01	330.42	349.84	381.62			346.72(-6.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	58	-10000	4	220	0.17	59%	0.14	64.9	3.21%	0	0.5	60	0
19	Aug_26_2015	300.58	328.06	346.82	379.23			371.09(-11.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	72	-10000	19	230	0.16	64%	0.22	62.9	3.11%	0	1.3	67	0
20	Aug_25_2015	299.91	324.31	341.03	368.1			420.3(3.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	95	-10000	48	237	0.19	73%	0.39	56.2	2.73%	0	2.9	83	0

21	Aug_24_2015	298.74	318.04	329.65	345.33			404.58(10.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	72	-10000	45	154	0.33	72%	0.36	50.9	2.72%	0	3.6	82	0
22	Aug_21_2015	297.66	313.02	318.8	325.55			365.43(9.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	42	-10000	30	78	0.22	67%	0.19	57.1	2.4%	0	3.7	77	0
23	Aug_20_2015	297.11	309.87	313.31	314.42			334.77(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	19	-10000	13	36	0.11	63%	0.07	76.1	2.14%	0	3.1	71	0
24	Aug_19_2015	296.9	307.97	310.96	310.05			315.42(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	1	24	0.1	59%	0.02	90.2	2.01%	0	1.2	66	0
25	Aug_18_2015	296.84	306.93	310.23	309.61			306.46(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-5	30	0.06	57%		86.5	1.98%	0	-0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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