Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $420.3038 (3.89%) ($366.6848 - $422.5052) on Tue. Aug. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $420.3038(3.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 6.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW advances 9.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(15%)    VIXM(13%)    UUP(8%)    IGOV(3%)    VCIT(3%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-45%)    IVE(-45%)    VYM(-43%)    XLF(-41%)    VT(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 14.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $368.1(14.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $341.03(23.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $324.31(29.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 10.07% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2015	299.91	324.31	341.03	368.1			420.3(3.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	95	-10000	48	237	0.19	73%	0.39	56.2	2.73%	0	2.9	83	0
2	Aug_24_2015	298.74	318.04	329.65	345.33			404.58(10.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	72	-10000	45	154	0.33	72%	0.36	50.9	2.72%	0	3.6	82	0
3	Aug_21_2015	297.66	313.02	318.8	325.55			365.43(9.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	42	-10000	30	78	0.22	67%	0.19	57.1	2.4%	0	3.7	77	0
4	Aug_20_2015	297.11	309.87	313.31	314.42			334.77(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	19	-10000	13	36	0.11	63%	0.07	76.1	2.14%	0	3.1	71	0
5	Aug_19_2015	296.9	307.97	310.96	310.05			315.42(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	1	24	0.1	59%	0.02	90.2	2.01%	0	1.2	66	0

6	Aug_18_2015	296.84	306.93	310.23	309.61			306.46(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-5	30	0.06	57%	0.02	86.5	1.98%	0	-0.1	61	0
7	Aug_17_2015	296.78	306.19	310.51	311.08			305.68(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	13	-10000	2	45	0.06	57%	-0.03	78.7	1.98%	0	-0.1	53	0
8	Aug_14_2015	296.87	305.15	310.65	310.52			309.76(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-4	33	0.05	54%	-0.02	65.5	1.98%	0	0.5	46	0
9	Aug_13_2015	296.94	303.88	309.89	311.78			312.91(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-1	36	0.06	54%	-0	56.3	2.01%	0	0.8	54	0
10	Aug_12_2015	296.95	302.36	308.5	312			313.22(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	39	0.13	54%	0.05	43.8	2.01%	0	1	61	0

11	Aug_11_2015	296.81	300.97	307.04	311.02			313.85(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	3	39	0.09	54%	0.07	29.9	2.01%	0	1.1	64	0
12	Aug_10_2015	296.61	299.54	306.04	309.98			302.85(-4.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-2	46	0.07	51%	0.03	22.6	1.97%	0	0.3	62	0
13	Aug_7_2015	296.52	298.85	307.11	310.61			316.05(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	10	84	0.08	51%	0.05	17.9	1.97%	0	1.6	77	0
14	Aug_6_2015	296.38	297.92	306.18	307.63			314.01(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	10	93	0.07	51%	0.06	9.8	1.98%	0	1.5	76	0
15	Aug_5_2015	296.2	297.58	304.61	304.48			308.35(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	92	0.06	53%	0	5.9	1.97%	0	1	74	0

16	Aug_4_2015	296.2	297.64	303.23	302.47			308.66(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	3	89	0.06	53%	0.02	2.3	1.99%	0	1.1	70	0
17	Aug_3_2015	296.14	297.08	301.43	301.62			305.99(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	18	-10000	-5	88	0.08	53%	-0.03	-4.4	1.99%	0	0.9	68	0
18	Jul_31_2015	296.22	296.89	299.2	303.22			301.12(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-5	94	0.05	50%	-0.02	5	2%	0	0.4	62	0
19	Jul_30_2015	296.27	296.88	297.48	304.61			298.29(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-0	89	0.04	53%	-0.08	11.7	2.03%	0	0.1	48	0
20	Jul_29_2015	296.5	296.96	295.93	304.64			298.29(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	3	64	0.05	53%	-0.07	17	2.07%	0	0.1	41	0

21	Jul_28_2015	296.71	297.41	294.66	303.79			304.42(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	9	38	0.07	53%	0	25.3	2.05%	0	0.7	42	0
22	Jul_27_2015	296.7	297.54	292.71	300.9			314.01(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	21	15	0.08	55%	0.01	27.9	2.02%	0	1.5	57	0
23	Jul_24_2015	296.67	296.39	289.92	294.57			308.03(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	18	-36	0.07	55%	0.04	13.6	2.01%	0	1.2	51	0
24	Jul_23_2015	296.56	295.69	288.75	289.48			298.44(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	12	-72	0.05	53%	0	4.3	1.97%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Jul_22_2015	296.56	295.25	289.62	286.08			294.04(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	7	-86	0.04	53%		-7.2	1.96%	0	-0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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