Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: SDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 2, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bear 3x ETF)
SDOW latest price $299.8576 (1.36%) ($291.6811 - $300.9583) on Tue. Apr. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $299.8576(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SDOW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDOW declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(15%)    VIXM(14%)    UUP(8%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(2%)
Factors Impacting SDOW price   SDOW will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVE(-46%)    SPY(-45%)    VYM(-44%)    VT(-42%)    XLI(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

Resistance Level   $303.36
5 Day Moving Average   $297.58(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298.29(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $303.36(-1.15%)
To recent high   -15.5%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SDOW price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2015	317.22	303.36	298.29	297.58			299.86(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	2	-41	0.07	45%	-0.1	-8.6	2.53%	0	-0.5	41	0
2	Apr_20_2015	317.54	303.16	298.72	296.89			295.85(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0.1	45%	-0.1	-15.5	2.52%	0	-1	48	0
3	Apr_17_2015	317.87	303.14	299.59	297.56			306.46(4.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	6	-46	0.14	48%	-0.04	-24.6	2.49%	0	0.4	43	0
4	Apr_16_2015	317.99	302.91	299.85	295.39			292.78(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0.05	42%	-0.12	-35.3	2.43%	0	-1.3	31	0
5	Apr_15_2015	318.37	303.21	301.95	296.93			292.94(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-6	-60	0.06	42%	-0.12	-44.9	2.46%	0	-1.4	34	0

6	Apr_14_2015	318.75	304.01	303.69	299.07			296.4(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-5	-44	0.08	45%	-0.11	-45.8	2.47%	0	-1.1	51	0
7	Apr_13_2015	319.1	304.35	304.24	300.8			299.23(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.05	45%	-0.1	-41.9	2.5%	0	-0.7	56	0
8	Apr_10_2015	319.42	305.06	305.73	301.9			295.61(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-8	-15	0.04	45%	-0.13	-34.9	2.49%	0	-1.3	55	0
9	Apr_9_2015	319.84	305.66	307.83	304.98			300.49(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-7	9	0.06	45%	-0.12	-18.3	2.5%	0	-0.8	51	0
10	Apr_8_2015	320.23	306.62	309.24	307.75			303.63(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-3	36	0.07	42%	-0.11	6.2	2.52%	0	-0.4	56	0

11	Apr_7_2015	320.58	307.34	308.99	309.01			305.05(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-10000	2	36	0.07	40%	-0.12	24.9	2.61%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Apr_6_2015	320.95	307.29	308.11	308.13			304.73(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-5	25	0.09	40%	-0.18	29.5	2.65%	0	-0.3	53	0
13	Apr_2_2015	321.52	307.58	307.18	310.08			311.02(-1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-3	20	0.05	43%	-0.1	43.9	2.72%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Apr_1_2015	321.85	306.93	306.28	310.08			314.32(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	0	24	0.1	43%	-0.09	49.4	2.72%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Mar_31_2015	322.15	306.15	304.53	311.15			309.92(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	5	11	0.08	43%	-0.11	51.6	2.74%	0	0.4	45	0

16	Mar_30_2015	322.5	305.38	304.27	309.04			300.64(-4.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	1	-10000	3	-6	0.08	41%	-0.14	42.2	2.73%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Mar_27_2015	322.96	304.96	304.47	307.78			314.48(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	10	-10	0.04	43%	-0.11	34	2.65%	0	1	56	0
18	Mar_26_2015	323.3	304.1	304.19	303.6			316.37(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	7	-26	0.12	43%	-0.11	21.1	2.67%	0	1.4	52	0
19	Mar_25_2015	323.67	302.92	303.04	300.74			314.32(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	9	-31	0.09	43%	-0.14	6.5	2.67%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Mar_24_2015	324.13	301.86	303.36	297.28			299.39(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-5	-38	0.07	40%	-0.19	-9.5	2.61%	0	-0.3	52	0

21	Mar_23_2015	324.75	301.64	305.23	299.07			294.35(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.05	40%	-0.21	-8.8	2.6%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Mar_20_2015	325.43	301.92	306.3	300.61			293.57(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-10	-1	0.08	38%	-0.15	-6.8	2.61%	0	-1	54	0
23	Mar_19_2015	325.91	302.2	308.12	304.67			302.06(1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-2	28	0.05	40%	-0.26	1.8	2.61%	0	-0	54	0
24	Mar_18_2015	326.77	302.34	307.82	305.58			297.03(-3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-12	32	0.09	36%	-0.28	0.7	2.6%	0	-0.6	54	0
25	Mar_17_2015	327.68	302.69	308.22	310.3			308.35(2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-5	57	0.06	36%		11.4	2.72%	0	0.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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