Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $68.8100 (10.45%) ($61.5100 - $69.1600) on Mon. Feb. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $68.8100(10.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 15.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(44%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.89(7.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.45(11.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.78(25.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49.6%
Market Cap   $3.574b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 13.91% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.59%(75%) Average negative next day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 9.75%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -9.03%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 8.79%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.3%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2017	49.72	54.78	61.45	63.89	63.09	63.64	68.81(10.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	92	20	31	276	0.91	78%	0.55	54.4	3.45%	0	1.8	88	0
2	Feb_24_2017	49.45	53.66	59.35	63.12	62.8	62.13	62.3(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	62	-90	-9	276	0.53	75%	0.39	52.3	3.21%	0	1.2	82	0
3	Feb_23_2017	49.26	52.95	57.95	63.21	62.97	62.54	62.33(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	73	-60	-1	295	0.71	76%	0.35	51.8	3.23%	0	1.4	83	0
4	Feb_22_2017	49.09	52.24	56.51	62.26	62.54	63.46	61.93(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	99	120	32	299	0.63	72%	0.35	46.9	3.26%	0	1.5	83	0
5	Feb_21_2017	48.92	51.59	55.05	60.74	60.84	63.39	64.06(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	128	300	74	291	0.64	75%	0.45	39.2	3.26%	0	2.1	85	0

6	Feb_17_2017	48.7	50.92	53.37	58.53	58.25	61.63	64.98(3.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	155	390	114	276	1.84	75%	0.41	30.3	3.24%	0	2.7	89	0
7	Feb_16_2017	48.5	50.24	51.62	55.01	55.75	58.29	62.75(8.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	143	360	120	211	2.99	69%	0.35	12.7	3.21%	0	3.1	81	0
8	Feb_15_2017	48.33	49.67	50	51.97	52.48	54.87	57.58(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	86	350	72	127	0.57	65%	0.23	-10.4	3.13%	0	2.6	71	0
9	Feb_14_2017	48.22	49.41	48.9	49.95	50.42	53.21	54.33(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	86	420	87	84	0.98	65%	0.17	-32	3.05%	0	1.8	64	0
10	Feb_13_2017	48.14	49.35	48.21	48.52	48.72	50.1	52.99(11.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	59	210	66	37	2.44	65%	0.15	-47.3	3.11%	0	1.4	58	0

11	Feb_10_2017	48.07	49.41	47.47	47.47	47.44	47.62	47.42(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	20	1	-41	0.23	62%	0.02	-51.8	2.73%	0	-0.7	29	0
12	Feb_9_2017	48.06	49.73	47.48	47.47	47.52	47.34	47.54(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-40	0	-57	0.45	66%	0.04	-47.7	2.85%	0	-0.7	27	0
13	Feb_8_2017	48.04	49.99	47.56	47.67	47.6	47.27	47.49(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-50	-7	-73	0.23	66%	0.02	-47.8	3.05%	0	-0.9	28	0
14	Feb_7_2017	48.03	50.31	47.7	47.64	47.61	47.69	47.18(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	10	-7	-91	0.17	69%	0.04	-43.4	3.06%	0	-1.1	25	0
15	Feb_6_2017	48.01	50.62	47.95	47.8	47.66	47.94	47.7(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	30	14	-94	0.2	69%	0.08	-39.8	3.13%	0	-1	25	0

16	Feb_3_2017	47.97	50.92	48.38	47.46	47.36	47.52	48.46(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	20	9	-110	0.2	66%	0.13	-37.7	3.23%	0	-0.8	24	0
17	Feb_2_2017	47.91	51.16	48.81	47.26	46.92	47.38	47.52(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	50	-2	-118	0.43	63%	0.13	-34	3.33%	0	-1.3	28	0
18	Feb_1_2017	47.85	51.44	49.33	47.46	47.16	47.21	47.35(-1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10	5	-110	0.42	63%	0.13	-29	3.4%	0	-1.5	33	0
19	Jan_31_2017	47.79	51.63	49.96	47.79	47.4	46.47	47.98(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-160	-21	-115	0.49	63%	0.17	-25	3.4%	0	-1.4	32	0
20	Jan_30_2017	47.71	51.81	50.57	48.16	48.17	47.12	46.01(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-150	-42	-117	0.47	61%	0.15	-13.6	3.36%	0	-2.3	25	0

21	Jan_27_2017	47.64	52.05	51.51	49.43	49.21	48.32	47.45(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-140	-38	-89	0.43	61%	0.15	6.7	3.33%	0	-2.2	27	0
22	Jan_26_2017	47.57	52.17	52.19	50.58	50.42	49.22	48.52(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-180	-35	-66	0.57	61%	0.17	28.5	3.33%	0	-1.9	33	0
23	Jan_25_2017	47.49	52.25	52.66	51.48	51.62	50.11	48.98(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-44	-200	-41	-52	0.51	61%	0.17	49.1	3.33%	0	-1.8	38	0
24	Jan_24_2017	47.41	52.29	53.18	52.44	52.47	51.62	49.84(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-110	-41	-25	1.73	61%	0.06	68	3.32%	0	-1.4	51	0
25	Jan_23_2017	47.38	52.16	53.57	53.32	53.41	53.13	52.35(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-30	-15	9	0.18	64%		78.4	3.26%	0	0.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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