Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $47.7000 (-1.57%) ($47.3500 - $48.4700) on Mon. Feb. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.13% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $47.7000(-1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(44%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(37%)    IWM(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.565% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.17(-22.08%)
Resistance Level   $50.62
5 Day Moving Average   $47.8(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.95(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.62(-5.77%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $2.477b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 5.81% (three month std-dev: 3.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.86%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 40.28%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.67%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 35.67%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.31%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2017	48.01	50.62	47.95	47.8	47.66	47.94	47.7(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	30	14	-94	0.2	69%	0.08	-39.8	3.13%	0	-1	25	INF
2	Feb_3_2017	47.97	50.92	48.38	47.46	47.36	47.52	48.46(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	20	9	-110	0.2	66%	0.13	-37.7	3.23%	0	-0.8	24	INF
3	Feb_2_2017	47.91	51.16	48.81	47.26	46.92	47.38	47.52(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	50	-2	-118	0.43	63%	0.13	-34	3.33%	0	-1.3	28	INF
4	Feb_1_2017	47.85	51.44	49.33	47.46	47.16	47.21	47.35(-1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10	5	-110	0.42	63%	0.13	-29	3.4%	0	-1.5	33	INF
5	Jan_31_2017	47.79	51.63	49.96	47.79	47.4	46.47	47.98(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-160	-21	-115	0.49	63%	0.17	-25	3.4%	0	-1.4	32	INF

6	Jan_30_2017	47.71	51.81	50.57	48.16	48.17	47.12	46.01(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-150	-42	-117	0.47	61%	0.15	-13.6	3.36%	0	-2.3	25	INF
7	Jan_27_2017	47.64	52.05	51.51	49.43	49.21	48.32	47.45(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-140	-38	-89	0.43	61%	0.15	6.7	3.33%	0	-2.2	27	INF
8	Jan_26_2017	47.57	52.17	52.19	50.58	50.42	49.22	48.52(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-180	-35	-66	0.57	61%	0.17	28.5	3.33%	0	-1.9	33	INF
9	Jan_25_2017	47.49	52.25	52.66	51.48	51.62	50.11	48.98(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-44	-200	-41	-52	0.51	61%	0.17	49.1	3.33%	0	-1.8	38	INF
10	Jan_24_2017	47.41	52.29	53.18	52.44	52.47	51.62	49.84(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-110	-41	-25	1.73	61%	0.06	68	3.32%	0	-1.4	51	INF

11	Jan_23_2017	47.38	52.16	53.57	53.32	53.41	53.13	52.35(-1.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-9	-30	-15	9	0.18	64%	0.34	78.4	3.26%	0	0.1	59	INF
12	Jan_20_2017	47.22	51.91	53.73	53.92	53.97	53.33	53.22(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-80	-10	36	0.19	64%	0.36	79.2	3.25%	0	0.7	68	INF
13	Jan_19_2017	47.05	51.64	53.74	54.05	54.31	53.7	53.03(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-60	-13	52	0.23	64%	0.36	65.6	3.27%	0	0.6	70	INF
14	Jan_18_2017	46.88	51.36	53.71	54.01	54.24	54.62	53.74(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	60	-3	67	0.48	64%	0.34	58.7	3.26%	0	0.9	70	INF
15	Jan_17_2017	46.72	51.1	53.45	54.04	54.01	54.92	54.24(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	120	22	85	0.84	64%	0.54	54.5	3.26%	0	1.2	74	INF

16	Jan_13_2017	46.47	50.83	53.14	53.86	53.61	53.87	55.36(2.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	20	18	99	0.47	64%	0.39	48.2	3.24%	0	1.7	85	INF
17	Jan_12_2017	46.29	50.44	52.59	53.54	53.3	53.1	53.88(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-40	-4	97	0.37	62%	0.37	41.4	3.23%	0	1.4	80	INF
18	Jan_11_2017	46.12	50.15	52.11	53.4	53.48	53.35	52.85(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10	-1	103	0.73	62%	0.33	27.2	3.27%	0	1.1	73	INF
19	Jan_10_2017	45.97	49.88	51.79	53.36	53.41	53.5	53.85(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	10	10	115	0.36	62%	0.37	19.3	3.31%	0	1.7	78	INF
20	Jan_9_2017	45.8	49.66	51.32	52.74	52.96	53.61	53.37(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	100	15	109	0.36	62%	0.39	15.2	3.33%	0	1.6	68	INF

21	Jan_6_2017	45.62	49.54	50.63	52.28	52.39	53.33	53.74(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	130	32	100	0.61	62%	0.37	15.5	3.33%	0	2	67	INF
22	Jan_5_2017	45.45	49.42	49.94	51.49	51.6	52.31	53.21(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	100	30	79	0.45	62%	0.4	9.7	3.4%	0	2	69	INF
23	Jan_4_2017	45.27	49.49	49.35	50.64	50.69	51.46	52.62(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	110	21	58	0.51	62%	0.4	9.5	3.4%	0	1.8	67	INF
24	Jan_3_2017	45.09	49.42	48.79	50	50.1	50.9	50.77(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	120	22	46	0.33	60%	0.49	2.5	3.37%	0	0.6	64	INF
25	Dec_30_2016	44.87	49.32	48.54	49.69	49.72	49.92	51.06(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	30	27	36	0.43	60%		-7.1	3.37%	0	0.8	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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