Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $43.6000 (-1.62%) ($43.0100 - $45.7300) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $43.6000(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.65(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.55(2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.32(0.65%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $2.264b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.32%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.4%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.27%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2016	39.32	43.32	42.55	43.65	43.83	44.14	43.6(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	60	14	24	0.62	41%	0.2	-34.9	3.02%	0	0.2	50	INF
2	Oct_26_2016	39.24	43.41	42.39	43.39	43.37	43.79	44.32(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	70	21	14	0.4	41%	0.28	-37.3	3.02%	0	0.5	52	INF
3	Oct_25_2016	39.13	43.51	42.1	42.74	42.77	43.51	43.74(0.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	12	120	23	-20	0.4	41%	0.23	-43.5	3.02%	0	0.1	40	INF
4	Oct_24_2016	39.04	43.63	42.03	42.22	42.15	42.96	43.53(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	130	28	-43	0.36	41%	0.28	-47.7	3.02%	0	-0	39	INF
5	Oct_21_2016	38.93	43.77	42.14	41.74	41.66	42.03	43.06(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	60	22	-60	0.35	41%	0.23	-50	3.03%	0	-0.3	38	INF

6	Oct_20_2016	38.84	43.93	42.16	41.3	41.31	41.35	42.3(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	10	1	-90	0.3	41%	0.21	-50.1	3.03%	0	-0.8	33	INF
7	Oct_19_2016	38.76	44.11	42.27	41.26	41.36	41.29	41.07(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-0	-3	-103	0.32	41%	0.21	-46	3.02%	0	-1.4	30	INF
8	Oct_18_2016	38.68	44.38	42.74	41.37	41.49	41.27	41.13(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-30	-13	-108	0.34	41%	0.08	-37.6	3.03%	0	-1.6	27	INF
9	Oct_17_2016	38.65	44.63	43.21	41.82	41.75	41.44	41.14(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-60	-24	-106	0.56	41%	0.26	-23.3	3.03%	0	-1.9	28	INF
10	Oct_14_2016	38.55	44.85	43.66	42.62	42.5	41.71	40.88(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-140	-21	-90	0.39	41%	0.26	-1	3.03%	0	-2.3	28	INF

11	Oct_13_2016	38.45	45.03	44.19	43.14	43.2	42.05	42.08(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-180	-30	-84	0.4	32%	0.26	23.3	3.02%	0	-2	30	INF
12	Oct_12_2016	38.35	45.11	44.55	43.43	43.69	43.29	41.62(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-50	-33	-77	0.52	66%	0.29	37	3.18%	0	-2.2	33	INF
13	Oct_11_2016	38.24	45.15	45.08	44.29	44.19	44.34	43.37(-3.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	20	-5	-27	0.31	70%	0.29	52.1	5.57%	0	-1.1	37	INF
14	Oct_10_2016	38.13	45.07	45.41	44.8	44.71	44.09	45.14(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-100	-2	-18	0.37	70%	0.39	54.9	5.54%	0	0	47	INF
15	Oct_7_2016	37.98	44.87	45.53	44.9	45.07	44.04	43.5(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-150	-18	-21	0.47	72%	0.34	56.4	5.57%	0	-0.6	42	INF

16	Oct_6_2016	37.85	44.68	45.85	45.41	45.45	45.32	43.54(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-20	-12	-7	0.43	72%	0.32	63.4	5.57%	0	-0.5	53	INF
17	Oct_5_2016	37.73	44.54	46.11	45.81	45.84	46.11	45.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	40	3	10	0.46	72%	0.4	73.2	5.53%	0	0.6	72	INF
18	Oct_4_2016	37.58	44.32	46.11	45.98	45.86	45.58	45.92(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-50	-2	21	0.57	72%	0.35	80.4	5.53%	0	0.6	78	INF
19	Oct_3_2016	37.45	44.08	46.15	46.12	46.05	45.57	45.64(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-80	-8	31	0.66	72%	0.38	86.6	5.57%	0	0.6	79	INF
20	Sep_30_2016	37.31	43.65	46.12	46.28	46.41	46.13	46.05(1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-30	-5	46	0.75	72%	0.4	73.1	5.58%	0	0.8	84	INF

21	Sep_29_2016	37.16	43.22	45.93	46.38	46.49	46.52	45.53(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	10	-2	62	0.59	73%	0.35	68.5	5.58%	0	0.7	86	INF
22	Sep_28_2016	37.03	42.81	45.73	46.44	46.58	46.69	46.78(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	30	4	74	0.48	75%	0.33	65.9	5.58%	0	1.2	81	INF
23	Sep_27_2016	36.91	42.38	45.24	46.33	46.41	46.46	46.59(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	10	2	74	0.52	70%	0.33	65.9	5.6%	0	1.2	72	INF
24	Sep_26_2016	36.79	41.97	44.71	46.19	46.29	46.47	46.45(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	30	3	75	0.42	70%	0.35	67.9	5.65%	0	1.3	73	INF
25	Sep_23_2016	36.66	41.56	44.15	45.94	46.2	46.37	46.54(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	40	8	85	0.54	68%		72	5.74%	0	1.5	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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