Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SAGE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $43.7100 (-1.51%) ($42.7900 - $44.6900) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.88% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $43.7100(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 13.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.94% (StdDev 5.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.33(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.2(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.43(16.78%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   62.1%
Market Cap   $2.27b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 17.07% (three month std-dev: 5.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 11.11%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.51%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 17.28%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.2%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	34.17	37.43	43.2	43.33	43.5	43.99	43.71(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	90	6	137	0.62	57%	0.29	62	5.88%	0	1	80	0
2	Jul_22_2016	34.07	36.68	42.28	43.11	42.99	43.74	44.38(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	110	11	149	0.45	57%	0.32	61.2	5.89%	0	1.2	82	0
3	Jul_21_2016	33.96	35.98	41.3	42.67	42.65	43.01	43.39(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	60	11	161	0.63	57%	0.27	63.1	5.89%	0	1.2	82	0
4	Jul_20_2016	33.87	35.22	40.23	42.37	42.34	42.24	43.2(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-20	1	168	0.44	57%	0.39	62.7	5.91%	0	1.3	83	0
5	Jul_19_2016	33.74	34.49	39.18	42.22	42.24	42.29	41.98(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	10	-11	183	0.62	57%	0.39	65.3	5.9%	0	1.2	84	0

6	Jul_18_2016	33.61	33.85	38.15	43.06	42.8	42.43	42.58(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	68	-80	11	237	0.59	57%	0.36	74.2	5.9%	0	1.5	86	0
7	Jul_15_2016	33.49	33.11	37.02	41.28	43.98	42.19	42.22(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	68	-90	16	223	0.75	57%	0.36	65.7	5.9%	0	1.6	79	0
8	Jul_14_2016	33.37	32.41	35.8	39.63	41.92	43.18	41.88(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	380	7	193	2.31	57%	0.33	57.5	5.9%	0	1.8	71	0
9	Jul_13_2016	33.26	31.71	34.53	37.68	39.65	45.76	42.43(-8.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	106	1240	77	193	3.05	57%	0.33	43.5	5.91%	0	2.3	75	0
10	Jul_12_2016	33.15	30.95	33.08	35.66	36.67	40.67	46.21(37.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	128	850	113	174	12.47	61%	0.39	28.7	5.81%	0	3.8	79	0

11	Jul_11_2016	33.02	30.02	31.05	32.68	32.76	33.55	33.65(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	180	29	121	0.55	41%	0.06	2.9	3.46%	0	1.9	62	0
12	Jul_8_2016	33	29.83	30.53	32.17	31.98	32.66	33.97(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	130	29	106	0.77	38%	0.06	-12.9	3.52%	0	2.4	66	0
13	Jul_7_2016	32.98	29.7	30.16	31.4	31.35	31.96	32.16(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	130	26	92	0.6	35%	-0.03	-34.9	3.51%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Jul_6_2016	32.99	29.8	29.77	30.83	30.66	31.3	32.32(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	130	29	74	0.91	41%	-0.03	-34.7	3.52%	0	1.4	62	0
15	Jul_5_2016	33	29.84	29.41	30.02	29.99	30.75	31.28(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	170	32	52	0.6	41%	0	-41.4	3.69%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Jul_1_2016	33	29.96	29.21	29.15	29.21	30.03	31.1(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	200	26	25	0.47	45%	0	-41.7	3.78%	0	0.5	56	0
17	Jun_30_2016	33	30.05	28.92	28.64	28.43	29.24	30.13(2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	180	9	-8	0.61	45%	0.03	-41.7	3.75%	0	0	49	0
18	Jun_29_2016	32.99	30.23	28.79	28.78	28.39	28.38	29.33(3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-40	12	-18	0.48	45%	-0.03	-34.7	3.74%	0	-0.4	41	0
19	Jun_28_2016	33	30.44	28.79	28.58	28.62	27.63	28.25(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-240	-15	-66	0.37	43%	0	-31.3	3.71%	0	-0.9	32	0
20	Jun_27_2016	33	30.68	28.72	28.71	28.88	28.4	26.96(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-100	-30	-98	0.51	40%	-0.15	-29.8	3.66%	0	-1.5	31	0

21	Jun_24_2016	33.05	30.92	28.95	29.24	29.29	29.61	28.54(-7.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	80	4	-95	1.74	46%	-0.21	-25.7	3.62%	0	-1	33	0
22	Jun_23_2016	33.12	31.08	29.13	29.19	29.32	29.36	30.8(8.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	20	15	-108	0.83	43%	-0.09	-25.1	3.56%	0	-0.1	41	0
23	Jun_22_2016	33.15	31.12	29.21	28.82	29.02	28.97	28.35(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	10	-5	-131	0.48	38%	-0.15	-29	3.75%	0	-1.2	29	0
24	Jun_21_2016	33.2	31.25	29.82	28.88	28.96	29.28	28.9(-2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	90	7	-120	0.48	38%	-0.18	-32.4	3.76%	0	-1.1	33	0
25	Jun_20_2016	33.26	31.45	30.3	28.73	28.78	29.08	29.59(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	80	9	-119	0.49	38%		-35.7	3.77%	0	-0.9	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.