Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $28.3500 (-1.9%) ($27.9500 - $29.8000) on Wed. Jun. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.75% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $28.3500(-1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    XBI(45%)    IWO(41%)    IWC(38%)    ARKG(37%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -1.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.875% (StdDev 3.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.1(-46.74%)
Resistance Level   $31.12
5 Day Moving Average   $28.82(-1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.21(-2.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.12(-8.9%)
To recent high   -28.1%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $1.472b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 7.39% (three month std-dev: 3.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.36%(17%) Average negative next day return: -2.04%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 7.6%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.28%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 9.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.35%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2016	33.15	31.12	29.21	28.82	29.02	28.97	28.35(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	10	-5	-131	0.48	38%	-0.15	-29	3.75%	0	-1.2	29	INF
2	Jun_21_2016	33.2	31.25	29.82	28.88	28.96	29.28	28.9(-2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	90	7	-120	0.48	38%	-0.18	-32.4	3.76%	0	-1.1	33	INF
3	Jun_20_2016	33.26	31.45	30.3	28.73	28.78	29.08	29.59(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	80	9	-119	0.49	38%	-0.12	-35.7	3.77%	0	-0.9	39	INF
4	Jun_17_2016	33.3	31.54	30.74	28.64	28.55	28.65	28.32(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	20	-7	-119	0.69	35%	-0.15	-39.6	3.73%	0	-1.5	41	INF
5	Jun_16_2016	33.35	31.66	31.25	29.05	28.75	28.48	28.95(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-100	-16	-104	0.62	35%	-0.21	-39.9	3.75%	0	-1.4	43	INF

6	Jun_15_2016	33.42	31.8	31.78	29.68	29.43	28.46	28.64(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-260	-39	-87	0.7	32%	-0.24	-36.7	3.78%	0	-1.7	41	INF
7	Jun_14_2016	33.5	31.98	32.31	30.94	30.67	29.02	28.16(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-48	-400	-49	-44	0.75	37%	-0.33	-27.4	3.88%	0	-2.2	45	INF
8	Jun_13_2016	33.61	32.23	32.83	32.1	32.24	30.4	29.13(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-39	-390	-48	-13	0.74	37%	-0.33	-17.2	3.98%	0	-2	41	INF
9	Jun_10_2016	33.72	32.4	33.12	33.14	33.31	32.32	30.39(-5.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.1	-21	-190	-35	21	0.65	38%	-0.27	-4.1	3.99%	0	-1.5	51	INF
10	Jun_9_2016	33.81	32.48	33.28	33.73	33.9	34.08	32.09(-8.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	7	50	-9	54	0.59	41%	-0.18	-2.5	3.94%	0	-0.3	59	INF

11	Jun_8_2016	33.87	32.51	33.27	34.14	33.96	34.29	34.94(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	50	12	78	0.62	42%	-0.12	-1.8	3.84%	0	1.9	63	INF
12	Jun_7_2016	33.91	32.47	32.83	33.91	33.75	33.73	33.97(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-20	6	65	0.32	46%	0.03	-12.7	3.87%	0	1.2	58	INF
13	Jun_6_2016	33.9	32.49	32.69	33.7	33.59	33.62	34.29(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-0	9	60	0.49	46%	-0.15	-28	3.95%	0	1.4	55	INF
14	Jun_3_2016	33.95	32.45	32.37	33.13	33.27	33.77	33.35(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	120	13	44	0.48	46%	-0.24	-53.5	3.93%	0	0.7	55	INF
15	Jun_2_2016	34.03	32.51	32.07	32.75	32.63	33.57	34.17(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	190	23	32	0.47	52%	-0.18	-68.4	3.93%	0	1.2	59	INF

16	Jun_1_2016	34.09	32.54	31.78	32.26	31.99	32.77	33.76(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	150	26	14	0.45	52%	-0.26	-78.7	4.27%	0	0.8	53	INF
17	May_31_2016	34.18	32.63	31.56	31.61	31.51	31.69	32.91(4.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	30	10	-21	0.8	52%	-0.58	-83	3.97%	0	0.2	43	INF
18	May_27_2016	34.38	32.87	31.52	31.55	31.08	31.21	31.48(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-20	-2	-34	0.33	48%	-0.46	-61.6	4.29%	0	-0.6	37	INF
19	May_26_2016	34.54	33.16	31.57	31.5	31.26	31.34	31.41(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	-0	9	-38	0.32	48%	-0.52	-60.6	4.32%	0	-0.7	42	INF
20	May_25_2016	34.72	33.47	31.6	31.27	31.14	30.96	31.73(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-50	-0	-59	0.48	48%	-0.71	-65.2	4.32%	0	-0.7	39	INF

21	May_24_2016	34.97	33.72	31.7	31.21	30.96	31.18	30.51(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	30	-7	-73	1.94	48%	-0.74	-66.9	4.29%	0	-1.3	33	INF
22	May_23_2016	35.23	34.04	32.09	31.48	31.16	31.31	32.63(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	0	6	-69	0.56	51%	-0.06	-65.7	4.25%	0	-0.6	35	INF
23	May_20_2016	35.25	34.29	32.28	31.51	31.14	30.75	31.21(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-120	-8	-87	0.83	49%	-0.79	-60.9	4.22%	0	-1.2	23	INF
24	May_19_2016	35.53	34.68	32.54	31.69	31.44	31.01	30.28(-3.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-34	-120	-12	-99	0.76	49%	-0.84	-54.8	4.24%	0	-1.6	22	INF
25	May_18_2016	35.83	35.14	33	31.96	31.72	31.54	31.42(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-33	-60	-9	-104	0.74	45%		-52.1	4.22%	0	-1.5	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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