Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $38.3500 (0.68%) ($34.5900 - $38.8400) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $38.3500(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE declines -17.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XBI(47%)    IWO(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.01(-66.08%)
Resistance Level   $49.77
5 Day Moving Average   $39.22(-2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.93(-8.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.77(-22.95%)
To recent high   -37.1%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $1.992b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 17.02% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.19%(30%) Average negative next day return: -2.78%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 11.87%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 8.21%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.62%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	49.65	49.77	41.93	39.22	38.85	38.05	38.35(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-89	-170	-29	-268	0.52	45%	-0.28	-50.8	4.16%	0	-1.3	12	0
2	Jan_19_2016	49.79	50.91	43.65	40.11	39.92	38.92	38.09(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-83	-190	-26	-253	0.41	45%	-0.42	-44.2	4.22%	0	-1.5	14	0
3	Jan_15_2016	50	52.01	45.37	40.98	40.94	39.66	38.92(-5.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-89	-220	-35	-251	0.74	48%	-0.28	-40.8	4.21%	0	-1.6	14	0
4	Jan_14_2016	50.14	52.99	47.26	42.06	42.08	40.93	41.22(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-86	-190	-36	-234	0.63	50%	-0.2	-37.9	4.25%	0	-1.6	18	0
5	Jan_13_2016	50.24	53.79	48.97	43.1	43.39	42.21	39.51(-7.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-86	-170	-40	-223	0.5	48%	-0.24	-35.8	4.23%	0	-2	12	0

6	Jan_12_2016	50.36	54.48	51	45.06	44.46	43.23	42.81(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-96	-230	-59	-207	0.39	54%	-0.16	-33.2	4.13%	0	-1.9	15	0
7	Jan_11_2016	50.44	54.88	52.64	47.8	46.55	44.57	42.42(-4.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-89	-380	-61	-174	0.51	54%	-0.26	-26.4	4.21%	0	-2.2	12	0
8	Jan_8_2016	50.57	55.51	54.43	50.46	49.78	45.69	44.35(-4.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-95	-620	-78	-147	0.67	56%	-0.2	-11	4.19%	0	-2.3	21	0
9	Jan_7_2016	50.67	56.01	55.95	53.25	52.5	48.53	46.39(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-111	-570	-107	-121	2.76	58%	-0.18	10.1	4.17%	0	-2.3	29	0
10	Jan_6_2016	50.76	56.43	57.33	55.69	55.59	53.86	49.34(-12.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-64	-220	-63	-65	0.7	57%	-0.16	39	4.11%	0	-2	39	0

11	Jan_5_2016	50.84	56.61	58.38	57.76	57.55	56.47	56.51(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-140	-21	-3	0.24	64%	-0.12	67.8	3.9%	0	-0	68	0
12	Jan_4_2016	50.9	56.38	58.82	58.24	58.3	57.32	55.72(-4.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-110	-28	31	0.35	64%	-0.24	73.8	3.91%	0	-0.2	72	0
13	Dec_31_2015	51.02	56.05	59.21	59.03	58.83	58.63	58.3(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-30	-12	62	0.29	70%	-0.08	71.6	4.12%	0	0.6	62	0
14	Dec_30_2015	51.06	55.59	59.16	59.1	59.32	59.28	58.59(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	10	2	82	0.14	70%	-0.12	73.9	4.14%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Dec_29_2015	51.12	55.07	58.94	59.25	59.3	59.03	59.68(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-30	-3	91	0.24	67%	-0.14	75.7	4.15%	0	1	64	0

16	Dec_28_2015	51.19	54.49	58.18	59.11	59.34	59.36	58.9(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	10	-8	88	0.25	62%	0.14	79.3	4.21%	0	1	66	0
17	Dec_24_2015	51.12	53.95	57.25	59.52	59.59	59.58	59.69(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	0	3	89	0.16	57%	0.18	86	4.56%	0	1.3	68	0
18	Dec_23_2015	51.03	53.37	56.61	59.43	59.61	59.33	58.64(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-20	-0	101	0.31	57%	0.16	89.8	4.56%	0	1.2	72	0
19	Dec_22_2015	50.95	52.66	56.03	59.2	59.45	59.61	59.34(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	33	30	6	114	0.26	57%	0.18	84	4.57%	0	1.4	72	0
20	Dec_21_2015	50.86	51.91	55.43	58.55	58.79	59.89	59(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	140	27	130	0.37	54%	0.18	81.8	4.58%	0	1.5	73	0

21	Dec_18_2015	50.77	51.12	54.68	57.03	57.4	59.29	60.95(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	71	250	52	127	1.09	54%	0.22	71.7	4.7%	0	2.1	76	0
22	Dec_17_2015	50.66	50.28	53.67	54.59	54.9	57.7	59.23(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	370	45	100	0.44	55%	0.2	63.6	4.69%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Dec_16_2015	50.56	49.59	52.56	53.4	52.95	55.52	57.49(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	310	50	88	0.5	55%	0.14	63.4	4.71%	0	2	73	0
24	Dec_15_2015	50.49	48.96	51.65	52.46	51.98	52.1	56.1(9.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	37	-10	24	77	0.89	55%	0.14	60	4.72%	0	2	77	0
25	Dec_14_2015	50.42	48.29	50.8	51.93	51.77	50.38	51.4(5.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-200	-19	64	0.29	51%		48.3	4.61%	0	0.9	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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