Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: SAGE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SAGE Therapeutics Inc)
SAGE latest price $56.1000 (9.14%) ($51.5000 - $56.6600) on Tue. Dec. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.72% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $56.1000(9.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SAGE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SAGE advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SAGE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(47%)    XBI(47%)    IWO(42%)    ARKG(38%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting SAGE price   SAGE will decline at least -2.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.36% (StdDev 4.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.46(6.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.65(8.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.96(14.58%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   37.7%
Market Cap   $2.914b

SAGE Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat life-altering central nervous system. Its programs include brexanolone, which is an acute interventional treatment for postpartum depression; and SAGE-217, an oral therapy for treatment of various CNS disorders. The company was founded by Steven Marc Paul and Douglas Covey in April 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. SAGE price fluctuates within 7.13% (three month std-dev: 4.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 2.79%(65%) Average negative next day return: -3.51%(35%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 6.97%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.59%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 7.18%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.68%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2015	50.49	48.96	51.65	52.46	51.98	52.1	56.1(9.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	37	-10	24	77	0.89	55%	0.14	60	4.72%	0	2	77	INF
2	Dec_14_2015	50.42	48.29	50.8	51.93	51.77	50.38	51.4(5.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-200	-19	64	0.29	51%	0.02	48.3	4.61%	0	0.9	72	INF
3	Dec_11_2015	50.41	47.91	50.47	51.97	52.22	51.86	48.75(-8.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-30	-20	80	0.21	51%	-0.04	36.8	4.58%	0	0.3	71	INF
4	Dec_10_2015	50.43	47.66	50.44	52.5	52.46	53.17	53.26(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	90	21	118	0.24	54%	0.06	27.2	4.49%	0	1.6	78	INF
5	Dec_9_2015	50.4	47.25	49.91	51.5	51.6	52.57	52.78(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	140	24	111	0.4	54%	0.06	7.8	4.49%	0	1.7	69	INF

6	Dec_8_2015	50.37	46.95	49.07	50.68	50.48	51.75	53.46(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	160	30	100	0.38	54%	0.08	-9.5	4.49%	0	2.2	73	INF
7	Dec_7_2015	50.33	46.75	48.15	49.52	49.49	50.62	51.61(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	160	29	88	0.77	54%	0.02	-28.2	4.48%	0	1.8	76	INF
8	Dec_4_2015	50.32	46.72	47.31	48.78	48.52	49.21	51.39(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	80	18	71	0.46	54%	0.02	-32.5	4.51%	0	1.7	71	INF
9	Dec_3_2015	50.31	46.74	46.61	48.12	48.13	48.37	48.25(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	40	7	62	0.51	52%	-0.04	-35.1	4.45%	0	0.5	67	INF
10	Dec_2_2015	50.33	47	46.38	48.09	47.98	47.82	48.67(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-30	10	66	0.28	54%	-0.04	-26.9	4.46%	0	0.5	58	INF

11	Dec_1_2015	50.35	47.23	46.04	47.18	47.6	47.89	47.69(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	70	11	46	0.36	54%	-0.08	-25.9	4.51%	0	0.1	49	INF
12	Nov_30_2015	50.39	47.51	45.56	46.51	46.57	48.13	47.92(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	240	26	20	0.29	54%	-0.06	-19.8	4.5%	0	0.1	42	INF
13	Nov_27_2015	50.42	47.61	45.13	45.57	45.42	47.31	48.06(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	280	39	-11	0.13	55%	-0.06	-20.6	4.5%	0	0.1	40	INF
14	Nov_25_2015	50.45	47.76	44.64	44.89	44.4	45.02	48.09(8.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	70	22	-54	0.51	55%	-0.06	-17.5	4.52%	0	0.1	38	INF
15	Nov_24_2015	50.48	47.91	44.35	44.5	44.14	43.54	44.15(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-120	-8	-98	0.23	50%	-0.16	-12.5	4.39%	0	-0.9	25	INF

16	Nov_23_2015	50.56	48.2	44.66	44.76	44.59	43.78	44.33(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-140	-10	-110	0.47	50%	-0.18	-5	4.46%	0	-1	26	INF
17	Nov_20_2015	50.65	48.3	45.23	44.45	44.88	44.75	43.21(-3.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	10	-7	-122	0.52	50%	-0.2	-8.6	4.45%	0	-1.3	23	INF
18	Nov_19_2015	50.75	48.44	46.07	44.56	44.64	45.4	44.68(-3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	120	11	-110	0.17	50%	-0.16	-8.6	4.43%	0	-1	39	INF
19	Nov_18_2015	50.83	48.47	46.86	44.3	44.11	45.01	46.14(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	130	17	-109	0.4	47%	-0.14	-13.3	4.43%	0	-0.6	39	INF
20	Nov_17_2015	50.9	48.42	47.63	44.2	43.6	43.89	45.45(6.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	10	1	-107	0.43	49%	-0.16	-13	4.56%	0	-0.8	37	INF

21	Nov_16_2015	50.98	48.39	48.48	44.62	44.04	43.2	42.77(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-170	-26	-103	0.22	47%	-0.23	-11.3	4.57%	0	-1.4	36	INF
22	Nov_13_2015	51.1	48.64	49.62	46.18	45.58	43.31	43.78(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-390	-44	-71	0.3	45%	-0.2	0.4	4.57%	0	-1.3	51	INF
23	Nov_12_2015	51.2	48.77	50.33	47.83	47.42	44.88	43.35(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-400	-63	-45	0.72	44%	-0.23	16.3	4.59%	0	-1.5	52	INF
24	Nov_11_2015	51.32	48.99	51.22	49.77	49.56	47.85	45.63(-4.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-36	-250	-50	5	0.41	44%	-0.18	38.2	4.56%	0	-0.9	58	INF
25	Nov_10_2015	51.41	48.94	51.88	51.55	51.31	49.96	47.57(-5.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-200	-34	56	0.36	44%		53.3	4.57%	0	-0.4	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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