Trading Signals: RKDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: RKDA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 11, 2016 - Wed. Feb. 10, 2021)

(Arcadia Biosciences, Inc.)
RKDA latest price $51.2000 (-1.92%) ($49.4000 - $55.0000) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.75% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $51.2000(-1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RKDA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RKDA advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RKDA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(13%)    TBT(9%)    IBB(6%)    XBI(6%)    PEJ(5%)
Factors Impacting RKDA price   RKDA will decline at least -3.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    VCIT(-6%)    IBUY(-6%)    BND(-6%)    XLU(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.375% (StdDev 6.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.04(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.78(2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.45(12.65%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   115.1%
Market Cap   $11.879b

$. RKDA price fluctuates within 16.59% (three month std-dev: 6.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.85%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	46.45	45.45	49.78	51.04	51.5	52.55	51.2(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	170	6	37	0	54%	0.04	78.4	6.75%	0	0.8	56	0
2	Jul_1_2016	46.43	44.45	49.17	50.8	51.09	52.13	52.2(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	160	19	42	0	56%	0.13	69.7	6.82%	0	0.9	70	0
3	Jun_30_2016	46.37	43.3	48.67	50.36	50.16	50.45	51.8(3.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	30	10	59	0	59%	0.11	65.4	6.84%	0	1	82	0
4	Jun_29_2016	46.32	42.21	48.32	49.96	49.12	50.06	50(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	80	3	86	0	59%	0.09	62.2	6.91%	0	0.9	84	0
5	Jun_28_2016	46.28	41.2	48.07	49.56	49.22	49.87	50(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	51	70	25	128	0	59%	0.09	61	6.93%	0	1	84	0

6	Jun_27_2016	46.24	40.22	47.93	48.28	48.11	48.19	50(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	43	0	7	151	0	59%	0.09	59.3	6.96%	0	1.1	86	0
7	Jun_24_2016	46.2	39.22	47.31	47.24	47.19	48.58	50(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	200	9	173	0.03	59%	0.09	61	7.01%	0	1.2	79	0
8	Jun_23_2016	46.16	38.26	45.79	46.72	46.83	48.03	49.8(3.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	190	17	193	0	59%	0.09	65.2	7.01%	0	1.4	80	0
9	Jun_22_2016	46.12	37.34	44.01	46.52	46.75	45.8	48(10.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	50	-130	-1	201	0	59%	0.04	71.7	7.02%	0	1.3	77	0
10	Jun_21_2016	46.1	36.4	42.29	46.44	47.36	45.63	43.6(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	32	-200	-27	209	0	57%	-0.04	77.5	6.91%	0	0.9	75	0

11	Jun_20_2016	46.12	35.57	40.89	47.52	48.53	47.7	44.8(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	54	-60	-10	247	0	57%	-0.04	82.5	6.93%	0	1.2	75	0
12	Jun_17_2016	46.14	34.53	39.49	47.28	48.94	49.1	47.4(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	84	130	22	270	0.01	54%	0.02	77.7	7.04%	0	1.6	78	0
13	Jun_16_2016	46.13	33.42	37.61	44.56	47.33	49.35	48.8(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	95	490	47	238	0	57%	0.09	64.7	7.04%	0	2.1	77	0
14	Jun_15_2016	46.09	32.31	35.63	41	43.05	48.78	47.6(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	97	1080	69	181	0	57%	0.02	48.2	7.32%	0	2.3	73	0
15	Jun_14_2016	46.08	31.21	33.73	37.48	38.21	45.3	49(12.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	117	1360	107	145	0.02	56%	0.09	25.4	7.31%	0	3.2	78	0

16	Jun_13_2016	46.04	30.09	31.69	33.36	33.65	37.33	43.6(28.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	82	790	81	83	0.03	54%	-0.07	-2	7.17%	0	3.5	79	0
17	Jun_10_2016	46.07	29.32	30.24	30.72	30.41	31.13	33.8(9.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	28	140	24	41	0	48%	-0.32	-48.5	6.17%	0	2	76	0
18	Jun_9_2016	46.22	29.2	29.93	29.68	29.79	29.98	31(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	60	8	32	0	44%	-0.39	-75	6.05%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Jun_8_2016	46.4	29.42	30.01	29.4	29.79	29.7	30(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	80	2	39	0	44%	-0.45	-66.8	6.1%	0	0.2	57	0
20	Jun_7_2016	46.61	29.84	29.99	29.32	29.36	29.6	28.4(-6.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	60	-2	46	0	44%	-0.49	-50	6.05%	0	-0.4	57	0

21	Jun_6_2016	46.84	30.17	29.9	29.32	29.89	29.03	30.4(6.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-180	-2	50	0	45%	-0.43	-54	6.03%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Jun_3_2016	47.04	30.42	29.3	29.68	30.18	29.13	28.6(-3.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-190	-21	25	0	48%	-0.51	-58.6	6.13%	0	-0.5	49	0
23	Jun_2_2016	47.28	30.83	29.08	30.2	30.61	30.75	29.6(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	70	-11	20	0	48%	-0.48	-59.4	6.19%	0	-0.3	45	0
24	Jun_1_2016	47.51	31.23	28.9	30.72	30.99	31.22	29.6(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	80	6	11	0.01	48%	-0.48	-59.4	6.19%	0	-0.4	39	0
25	May_31_2016	47.74	31.63	28.63	30.76	30.83	30.46	30.2(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-80	7	-26	0	48%		-64.7	6.28%	0	-0.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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