Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF)
REMX latest price $170.2800 (3.35%) ($166.2000 - $170.4000) on Tue. Jun. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $170.2800(3.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   REMX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   REMX advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support REMX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(65%)    SPY(61%)    VWO(61%)    IWM(60%)    EWY(58%)
Factors Impacting REMX price   REMX will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $164.62(3.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $164.05(3.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $162.82(4.58%)
To recent high   -20%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. REMX price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.09%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.5%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2012	193.51	162.82	164.05	164.62	164.45	166.53	170.28(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	101	90	107	83	0.02	43%	-0.21	17.6	1.83%	0	2.5	60	NAN
2	Jun_18_2012	193.92	162.45	163.2	163.08	162.68	164.07	164.76(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	50	67	43	0.01	40%	-0.25	-11.9	1.78%	0	0.9	46	NAN
3	Jun_15_2012	194.41	162.11	162.58	162.12	161.94	162.36	165(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	10	37	18	0.01	40%	-0.24	-51.9	1.78%	0	1.1	58	NAN
4	Jun_14_2012	194.88	161.92	161.91	161.69	161.72	161.28	162(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-20	-16	-11	0	38%	-0.25	-83.3	1.76%	0	0	54	NAN
5	Jun_13_2012	195.37	162	161.89	162.34	161.99	161.52	161.04(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-30	-52	-18	0	41%	-0.23	-94.9	1.76%	0	-0.4	49	NAN

6	Jun_12_2012	195.83	162.29	162.05	163.37	163.52	162.17	162.6(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-60	-24	3	0.01	40%	-0.23	-93.6	1.8%	0	0.1	49	NAN
7	Jun_11_2012	196.29	162.75	162.42	163.34	164.46	162.47	159.96(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-60	-57	-5	0.01	40%	-0.24	-86.9	1.79%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
8	Jun_8_2012	196.77	163.47	162.41	162.98	163.99	164.87	162.84(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	60	-18	9	0.02	46%	-0.22	-84.6	1.9%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
9	Jun_7_2012	197.21	164.05	162.13	162.05	162.89	166.46	165.24(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	107	170	125	53	0.01	46%	-0.19	-90.5	1.91%	0	0.2	55	NAN
10	Jun_6_2012	197.58	164.46	161.78	161.38	160.78	163.11	166.2(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	97	90	116	39	0.01	43%	-0.15	-101.5	1.92%	0	0.3	52	NAN

11	Jun_5_2012	197.87	164.94	161.45	160.67	159.95	159.33	162.48(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-40	5	-19	0.01	41%	-0.18	-107.6	1.94%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
12	Jun_4_2012	198.23	165.94	161.57	161.53	160.73	158.44	158.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-85	-110	-92	-64	0.01	39%	-0.19	-94.2	1.91%	0	-1	33	NAN
13	Jun_1_2012	198.6	167.32	161.6	161.75	162.93	160.58	158.16(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-80	-69	-84	0.01	39%	-0.2	-88.1	1.91%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
14	May_31_2012	199	168.89	161.97	162.08	163.12	163.01	161.88(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-66	10	-55	-100	0.01	40%	-0.16	-80.9	1.92%	0	-0.7	33	NAN
15	May_30_2012	199.32	170.41	162.16	162.13	162.82	165.29	162.65(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	31	120	65	-70	0	40%	-0.16	-72.4	1.92%	0	-0.7	35	NAN

16	May_29_2012	199.63	171.99	162.56	162.34	161.99	163.23	166.8(4.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	46	50	87	-79	0.01	42%	-0.04	-64.6	1.9%	0	-0.4	36	NAN
17	May_25_2012	199.7	173.29	163.01	161.78	161.5	160.35	159.24(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-60	-17	-156	0	35%	-0.13	-58.8	1.78%	0	-1.1	19	NAN
18	May_24_2012	199.95	175.13	164.55	161.45	162	160.75	159.84(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-83	-40	-47	-192	0	35%	-0.14	-59.3	1.79%	0	-1.1	18	NAN
19	May_23_2012	200.24	176.96	166.1	161.78	161.48	162.66	162.12(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-75	50	-31	-208	0.01	35%	-0.12	-60.3	1.79%	0	-1.1	17	NAN
20	May_22_2012	200.49	178.58	167.32	162.14	162.2	163.26	163.68(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	50	70	-198	0	35%	-0.19	-62.8	1.79%	0	-1.1	16	NAN

21	May_21_2012	200.87	180.01	168.64	162.86	162.62	160.31	164.04(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-121	-100	-68	-278	0	35%	-0.07	-66	1.79%	0	-1.2	16	NAN
22	May_18_2012	201.02	181.45	170.55	164.62	164.6	161.13	157.56(-2.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-234	-150	-198	-343	0.01	30%	-0.1	-65.6	1.71%	0	-1.9	7	NAN
23	May_17_2012	201.23	183.54	173.5	168.17	168.15	164.94	161.52(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-198	-130	-160	-310	0.01	32%	-0.07	-64	1.71%	0	-1.9	7	NAN
24	May_16_2012	201.37	185.45	176.41	171.02	170.92	168.07	163.92(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-191	-120	-157	-293	0.01	32%	-0.09	-64.4	1.7%	0	-2	8	NAN
25	May_15_2012	201.56	187.26	179.41	173.16	173.52	171.36	167.28(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-138	-80	-101	-250	0.01	33%		-64.2	1.71%	0	-2	15	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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