Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF)
REMX latest price $309.4700 (2.95%) ($302.7100 - $310.0800) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $309.4700(2.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   REMX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   REMX declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support REMX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(69%)    VWO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(64%)    EWY(62%)
Factors Impacting REMX price   REMX will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-0%)    IGOV(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $299.78(3.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298.38(3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $300.73(2.91%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. REMX price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.68%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.7%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.95%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.44%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.18%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2011	308.46	300.73	298.38	299.78	299.68	303.94	309.47(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	142	100	177	38	0.02	31%	0.03	29.8	1.84%	0	1.5	48	0
2	Jul_20_2011	308.38	300.22	297.95	296.5	297.33	299.28	300.6(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	96	50	128	0	0.01	27%	0	19.4	1.8%	0	0.1	48	0
3	Jul_19_2011	308.37	300.08	297.97	296.14	296.17	295.43	299.64(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-20	3	-50	0.02	27%	0.01	15.5	1.81%	0	-0.1	51	0
4	Jul_18_2011	308.34	299.68	298.71	294.19	296.53	295.38	292.32(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-0	-35	-68	0.01	23%	-0.01	2.1	1.78%	0	-1.3	49	0
5	Jul_15_2011	308.38	299.54	300.2	294.79	295.91	296.91	296.88(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	40	-35	-59	0.01	23%	0.04	-0.5	1.8%	0	-0.4	48	0

6	Jul_14_2011	308.27	299.03	301.43	296.76	296.31	297.68	293.04(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	22	30	32	-10	0.01	23%	0.02	-3	1.79%	0	-0.9	48	0
7	Jul_13_2011	308.21	299.19	302.57	299.64	298.37	294.9	298.8(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-90	-46	-21	0.05	24%	0.04	8.2	1.79%	0	-0.1	50	0
8	Jul_12_2011	308.09	299.25	302.67	300.17	300.89	294.95	289.92(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-226	-130	-266	-104	0.04	18%	-0.06	5.2	1.74%	0	-1.3	46	0
9	Jul_11_2011	308.27	299.55	303.59	303.84	304.04	301.85	295.32(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-159	-50	-196	-46	0.01	22%	-0.01	12.1	1.76%	0	-0.6	57	0
10	Jul_8_2011	308.3	299.56	304.29	306.22	306.7	306.83	306.72(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	6	67	0.01	24%	0	11.2	1.73%	0	1.1	71	0

11	Jul_7_2011	308.29	299.25	303.5	306.79	307.23	306.23	307.44(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-20	-6	81	0.02	27%	0.01	1.8	1.74%	0	1.3	73	0
12	Jul_6_2011	308.25	298.63	302.77	306.03	307.15	306.57	301.44(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-0	-39	71	0.04	24%	0	-18.2	1.74%	0	0.5	56	0
13	Jul_5_2011	308.24	298.88	302.44	305.52	306.77	308.24	308.28(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	82	50	72	112	0.01	25%	0.07	-33.8	1.73%	0	1.4	56	0
14	Jul_1_2011	308.03	298.74	300.71	303.27	303.97	307.73	307.2(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	117	90	118	113	0.01	29%	0.04	-51.7	1.74%	0	1.2	60	0
15	Jun_30_2011	307.91	298.82	298.77	302.04	301.45	305.31	309.6(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	172	80	187	125	0.02	33%	0.05	-54.5	1.76%	0	1.4	61	0

16	Jun_29_2011	307.77	299.12	296.29	299.83	299.47	300.21	303.61(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	96	10	107	63	0.01	34%	-0.01	-53.4	1.75%	0	0.5	50	0
17	Jun_28_2011	307.79	299.77	295.36	299.18	297.75	297.6	298.92(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-20	-40	-1	0.01	34%	-0.01	-41.4	1.78%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Jun_27_2011	307.81	301.12	295.39	298.9	298.3	298.73	297(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	0	35	20	0.01	34%	0.01	-30.8	1.78%	0	-0.4	42	0
19	Jun_24_2011	307.79	302.33	295.11	297.6	297.92	297.9	301.08(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	0	58	7	0.01	34%	0.02	-28.1	1.78%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Jun_23_2011	307.73	303.19	294.41	294.86	295.16	297.87	298.56(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	20	70	38	-35	0.01	34%	0.02	-31.1	1.79%	0	-0.4	40	0

21	Jun_22_2011	307.67	303.82	294.58	292.1	293.39	297.93	300.36(0.97%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	158	120	211	-1	0.02	38%	0.03	-37.2	1.79%	0	-0.3	36	0
22	Jun_21_2011	307.58	304.21	294.04	291.07	290.14	292.46	297.48(2.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	49	50	91	-76	0.01	38%	0.06	-39.1	1.84%	0	-0.5	34	0
23	Jun_20_2011	307.4	304.49	294.88	291.6	290.47	288.84	290.52(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-50	-15	-138	0.01	36%	0.05	-38.9	1.84%	0	-1.1	23	0
24	Jun_17_2011	307.26	305.66	296.52	292.37	292.92	287.82	287.4(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-158	-120	-145	-196	0.02	41%	0.01	-37.4	1.91%	0	-1.5	27	0
25	Jun_16_2011	307.22	307.05	298.86	293.83	294.68	292.1	284.76(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-213	-50	-210	-222	0.04	41%		-38.1	1.93%	0	-2	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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