Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF)
REMX latest price $338.2800 (1.59%) ($331.8000 - $338.5200) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $338.2800(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   REMX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   REMX advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support REMX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(69%)    VWO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(64%)    EWY(62%)
Factors Impacting REMX price   REMX will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $336.02(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $331.64(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $315.92(7.08%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   29.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. REMX price fluctuates within 6.5% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.02%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.18%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.98%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2011	285.93	315.92	331.64	336.02	336.33	335.1	338.28(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	57	-20	26	151	0.03	50%	0.35	82.9	2.08%	0	1.1	80	0
2	Apr_13_2011	284.93	312.52	329.44	334.97	336.67	333.95	333(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-40	-59	127	0.03	50%	0.35	72	2.09%	0	0.9	73	0
3	Apr_12_2011	283.93	309.11	327.07	333.43	335.09	337.56	332.4(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	70	-20	148	0.06	50%	0.33	59.2	2.1%	0	1	76	0
4	Apr_11_2011	283.01	305.63	324.42	332.64	333.63	339.39	342.12(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	232	130	225	254	0.07	53%	0.37	50.3	2.09%	0	1.5	84	0
5	Apr_8_2011	281.97	302.22	319.82	329.63	329.86	332.63	334.32(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	180	60	163	229	0.07	50%	0.35	44.9	2.06%	0	1.4	85	0

6	Apr_7_2011	280.99	299.75	316.2	326.63	327.21	327.87	333(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	97	20	64	194	0.03	50%	0.37	40.3	2.08%	0	1.6	87	0
7	Apr_6_2011	279.95	297.21	313.03	323.15	324.77	327.09	325.32(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	109	70	73	215	0.04	43%	0.34	33.2	2.07%	0	1.4	88	0
8	Apr_5_2011	279	295.6	310.14	319.62	321.34	326.56	328.44(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	192	130	170	259	0.05	43%	0.31	28.5	2.21%	0	1.8	92	0
9	Apr_4_2011	278.13	294.07	306.88	314.82	316.71	322.45	327.06(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	262	140	248	302	0.08	43%	0.29	24.2	2.22%	0	1.9	92	0
10	Apr_1_2011	277.32	292.48	302.74	308.52	310.28	316.13	319.32(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	206	150	191	250	0.04	47%	0.24	16.2	2.36%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Mar_31_2011	276.66	291.41	298.8	304.22	304.77	310.98	315.6(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	198	150	189	225	0.04	47%	0.22	10.7	2.38%	0	1.6	62	0
12	Mar_30_2011	276.04	290.79	294.14	301.51	301.27	304.44	307.68(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	70	152	188	0.04	45%	0.22	13	2.37%	0	1.2	61	0
13	Mar_29_2011	275.44	290.34	289.73	299.27	299.56	298.56	304.44(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-20	29	101	0.04	51%	0.19	13.5	2.39%	0	1	52	0
14	Mar_28_2011	274.91	290.34	285.46	297.76	298.35	298.1	295.56(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	0	-30	35	0.01	51%	0.16	15	2.53%	0	0.4	45	0
15	Mar_25_2011	274.48	289.95	283.38	295.89	297.23	300.55	297.84(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	90	91	57	0.03	51%	0.16	11.1	2.53%	0	0.6	48	0

16	Mar_24_2011	274.03	289.82	282.11	292.26	293.65	298.61	302.04(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	154	130	183	65	0.05	51%	0.22	0.6	2.54%	0	0.9	48	0
17	Mar_23_2011	273.43	288.96	280.09	285.49	287.61	293.9	296.47(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	153	180	197	22	0.03	51%	0.19	-19.7	2.55%	0	0.6	42	0
18	Mar_22_2011	272.9	288.49	279.74	278.64	281.15	288.69	296.88(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	182	210	241	5	0.04	51%	0.19	-38.2	2.55%	0	0.6	46	0
19	Mar_21_2011	272.38	287.93	279.87	271.42	274.71	281.33	286.2(2.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	178	210	246	-26	0.02	50%	0.15	-56.9	2.51%	0	-0.1	43	0
20	Mar_18_2011	271.98	288.45	280.98	269.21	267.53	273.62	279.72(4.3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	60	140	110	-90	0.03	50%	0.17	-60.7	2.51%	0	-0.6	41	0

21	Mar_17_2011	271.51	289.72	283.06	270.77	267.11	268.1	268.2(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	37	-10	81	-95	0.03	47%	-0.01	-53.9	2.47%	0	-1.6	33	0
22	Mar_16_2011	271.54	291.58	286.97	274.06	270.77	261.44	262.2(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-177	-280	-179	-171	0.04	47%	-0.04	-47.9	2.46%	0	-2.2	39	0
23	Mar_15_2011	271.64	293.6	291.11	280.94	275.99	266.12	260.76(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-383	-300	-433	-233	0.16	47%	-0.04	-42.1	2.46%	0	-2.9	37	0
24	Mar_14_2011	271.75	295.72	295.26	289.3	286.24	280.1	275.16(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-186	-180	-215	-99	0.05	51%	0.01	-30.6	2.36%	0	-2.5	46	0
25	Mar_11_2011	271.72	296.87	297.65	294.24	292.43	285.86	287.52(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-174	-180	-207	-73	0.02	56%		-17.5	2.29%	0	-1.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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