Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: REMX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF)
REMX latest price $305.7600 (0.47%) ($303.7200 - $306.7000) on Thu. Feb. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $305.7600(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   REMX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   REMX advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support REMX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(68%)    VWO(65%)    IWM(64%)    SPY(64%)    EWY(62%)
Factors Impacting REMX price   REMX will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $301.13(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $300.01(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $292.46(4.55%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   31.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. REMX price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.96%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.84%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2011	267.14	292.46	300.01	301.13	302.13	304.3	305.76(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	92	60	90	99	0.04	67%	0.19	48.7	2.17%	0	1.4	81	0
2	Feb_16_2011	266.63	291.1	298.9	299.06	299.44	302.27	304.32(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	88	70	85	97	0.05	60%	0.18	39.1	2.18%	0	1.4	69	0
3	Feb_15_2011	266.14	289.99	297.78	297.48	297.45	299.96	299.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	80	60	76	92	0.07	60%	0.17	37	2.26%	0	1.1	66	0
4	Feb_14_2011	265.69	289.3	296.9	298.56	297.1	296.61	299.88(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-30	19	88	0.03	60%	0.17	44	2.27%	0	1.2	71	0
5	Feb_11_2011	265.23	288.31	295.07	298.73	298.36	294.95	295.8(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-45	-80	-77	50	0.03	60%	0.16	47	2.31%	0	0.9	63	0

6	Feb_10_2011	264.81	287.77	293.32	298.66	299.87	297.59	295.44(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-59	-40	-94	45	0.03	60%	0.16	52.9	2.31%	0	0.9	66	0
7	Feb_9_2011	264.38	287.48	292.23	298.56	300.18	301.77	296.4(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	50	13	94	0.07	60%	0.17	51.9	2.32%	0	1.1	64	0
8	Feb_8_2011	263.93	286.74	291.04	297.92	298.64	302.16	305.28(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	136	90	133	143	0.06	64%	0.22	41.4	2.29%	0	2.3	67	0
9	Feb_7_2011	263.34	285.5	288.17	295	295.08	298.59	300.72(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	131	80	134	122	0.06	64%	0.21	19.9	2.29%	0	2.3	59	0
10	Feb_4_2011	262.8	284.35	286.13	290.92	291.58	295.11	295.46(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	138	90	148	108	0.02	64%	0.18	-3.4	2.28%	0	1.9	62	0

11	Feb_3_2011	262.32	283.41	284.25	287.15	287.08	291.57	294.96(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	113	110	126	73	0.03	64%	0.19	-37	2.34%	0	2.1	56	0
12	Feb_2_2011	261.83	283.27	282.56	284.94	283.62	288.04	293.16(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	120	100	140	58	0.05	64%	0.18	-41.7	2.34%	0	1.8	50	0
13	Feb_1_2011	261.36	283.48	281.4	283.19	282.22	282.59	290.7(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	-0	94	31	0.04	64%	0.18	-20.9	2.34%	0	1.2	55	0
14	Jan_31_2011	260.9	284.16	280.86	280.44	281.18	279.2	280.32(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-51	-40	-55	-39	0.05	60%	0.12	0.7	2.31%	0	-0.5	49	0
15	Jan_28_2011	260.6	284.55	280.88	280.63	280.97	281.85	276.6(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	30	-23	-24	0.03	75%	0.1	18.9	2.4%	0	-1	50	0

16	Jan_27_2011	260.35	285.42	281.8	280.7	280.61	283.17	283.92(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	60	63	19	0.04	79%	0.15	41.1	2.98%	0	-0.2	57	0
17	Jan_26_2011	259.97	285.55	282.37	279.7	279.66	280.1	284.4(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	45	5	0.03	79%	0.15	55.7	3.01%	0	-0.1	42	0
18	Jan_25_2011	259.57	284.79	282.14	279.4	278.66	278.04	276.96(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-20	-47	-44	0.02	79%	0.11	59	3.02%	0	-0.9	34	0
19	Jan_24_2011	259.28	284.09	282.73	281.41	280.89	279.23	281.28(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-50	-20	-42	0.04	79%	0.15	62	3.03%	0	-0.3	32	0
20	Jan_21_2011	258.9	283.04	282.55	281.24	282.84	279.27	276.96(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-64	-70	-63	-66	0.03	79%	0.12	64.3	3.05%	0	-0.6	46	0

21	Jan_20_2011	258.59	282.16	282.68	283	283.35	282.55	278.88(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-92	-20	-95	-82	0.04	79%	0.14	64	3.08%	0	-0.3	43	0
22	Jan_19_2011	258.24	281.17	284.2	285.37	286.05	286.42	282.9(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	17	20	29	-20	0.04	79%	0.17	64.8	3.09%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Jan_18_2011	257.8	279.58	285.8	285.24	286.87	284.16	287.04(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-50	-16	-19	0.04	79%	0.21	58.9	3.11%	0	0.5	61	0
24	Jan_14_2011	257.26	277.75	287.63	284.28	286.16	285.69	280.44(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	10	-61	-12	0.05	79%	0.16	49.8	3.13%	0	0.2	63	0
25	Jan_13_2011	256.84	276.31	288.48	283.97	286.11	289.58	285.72(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	77	110	81	63	0.05	79%		48.1	3.14%	0	0.5	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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