Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 18, 2019

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $68.3600 (0.13%) ($67.0500 - $70.3500) on Mon. Mar. 18, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $68.3600(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(58%)    ARKG(56%)    IWO(54%)    ARKK(50%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    VIXM(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.34(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.73(4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.07(6.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   75.8%
Market Cap   $4.13b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 5.03% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.97%(76%) Average negative next day return: -3.72%(24%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 4.56%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -5.43%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 4.33%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.42%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2019	52.47	64.07	65.73	67.34	67.52	67.91	68.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	24	52	0.78	73%	0.38	97.8	3.26%	0	1.3	68	1.8
2	Mar_15_2019	52.27	63.49	65.46	66.67	66.77	67.2	68.27(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	50	19	47	1.15	73%	0.19	93.7	3.28%	0	1.4	61	2.2
3	Mar_14_2019	52.17	62.87	65.33	65.57	65.93	67.13	65.8(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	140	28	54	0.72	71%	0.21	86.5	3.29%	0	0.8	65	2
4	Mar_13_2019	52.06	62.34	65.17	65.01	64.77	66.34	67.94(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	160	44	68	0.49	71%	0.13	79.2	3.28%	0	1.4	72	1.8
5	Mar_12_2019	51.99	61.71	64.73	64.01	63.7	64.73	66.35(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	100	27	54	0.53	71%	0.08	75.3	3.27%	0	1.2	63	1.8

6	Mar_11_2019	51.95	61.06	64.25	63.92	63.37	63.2	64.98(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-40	2	57	0.6	71%	0.04	73.2	3.28%	0	0.9	68	1.1
7	Mar_8_2019	51.93	60.45	64.09	64.13	63.84	62.66	62.78(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-140	-32	67	0.45	70%	-0.02	73	3.29%	0	0.5	66	-0.9
8	Mar_7_2019	51.94	59.89	63.86	65.09	64.9	63.55	63.02(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-150	-31	97	0.76	63%	-0.06	75.6	3.32%	0	0.6	68	-0.8
9	Mar_6_2019	51.97	59.38	63.44	65.31	65.69	65.03	62.94(-4.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-50	-17	115	0.49	63%	-0.08	78.9	3.48%	0	0.7	69	0.2
10	Mar_5_2019	52.01	58.87	63.23	65.45	65.56	66.24	65.88(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	80	14	150	0.53	67%	0.08	83.7	3.42%	0	1.4	74	0.9

11	Mar_4_2019	51.97	58.14	62.36	64.58	64.72	66.34	66.04(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	180	38	159	0.69	61%	0.04	83	3.45%	0	1.6	77	1.2
12	Mar_1_2019	51.95	57.36	61.42	64.04	63.34	64.88	67.55(5.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	76	140	45	167	1.37	61%	0.02	82.6	3.54%	0	2.1	82	1.8
13	Feb_28_2019	51.94	56.43	60.2	62.5	62.58	63.1	64.14(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	70	60	40	160	0.86	58%	-0.08	79.3	3.47%	0	1.7	81	0.8
14	Feb_27_2019	51.98	55.66	59.26	61.32	61.36	61.8	63.64(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	50	10	138	2.89	58%	-0.13	73.8	3.49%	0	1.8	74	0.9
15	Feb_26_2019	52.05	54.87	58.41	60.7	60.49	62.06	61.51(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	170	28	146	1.34	58%	-0.27	69.3	3.51%	0	1.5	71	1

16	Feb_25_2019	52.19	54.22	57.58	59.76	60.21	60.92	63.37(5.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	110	55	149	0.74	58%	-0.23	59.8	3.52%	0	2.2	78	1.2
17	Feb_22_2019	52.31	53.55	56.46	58.41	58.68	58.92	59.82(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	40	6	116	0.42	54%	-0.34	57.4	3.45%	0	1.7	76	1.6
18	Feb_21_2019	52.49	53.02	55.57	57.54	58	59.51	58.26(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	210	31	118	0.93	57%	-0.38	50.4	3.46%	0	1.5	76	1.3
19	Feb_20_2019	52.69	52.55	54.98	56.84	57.02	58.45	60.53(6.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	68	190	49	126	1.06	61%	-0.32	44.1	3.48%	0	2.5	85	1.6
20	Feb_19_2019	52.86	52.04	54.14	55.81	55.87	56.5	56.81(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	80	28	118	0.54	52%	-0.84	47.2	3.39%	0	1.8	83	1

21	Feb_15_2019	53.31	51.83	53.6	55.06	55.18	55.58	56.65(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	60	21	111	0.47	56%	-0.45	51.6	3.45%	0	2	78	1.5
22	Feb_14_2019	53.55	51.55	52.98	54.2	54.37	55.25	55.46(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	120	24	96	0.9	56%	-0.58	51.8	3.52%	0	1.8	64	1
23	Feb_13_2019	53.86	51.36	52.37	53.26	53.47	54.78	54.77(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	180	32	83	0.32	56%	-0.68	56.3	3.52%	0	1.7	67	1.3
24	Feb_12_2019	54.23	51.16	51.78	52.8	52.43	53.49	55.34(4.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	120	27	73	0.52	52%	-0.64	70	3.52%	0	2.3	69	1.5
25	Feb_11_2019	54.58	50.82	51.05	52.26	52.11	52.17	53.07(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-0	18	51	0.74	49%		83.2	3.57%	0	1.4	55	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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