Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $67.8000 (-1.95%) ($66.0600 - $68.8500) on Mon. Jan. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.22% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $67.8000(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(60%)    ARKG(56%)    IWO(54%)    ARKK(49%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -2.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.11% (StdDev 4.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $61.97(-8.6%)
Resistance Level   $71.24
5 Day Moving Average   $69.1(-1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.21(-2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.24(-4.83%)
To recent high   -21.8%
To recent low   28.7%
Market Cap   $4.096b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 3.94% (three month std-dev: 4.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.28%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.6%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.37%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.3%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.91%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2017	71.33	71.24	69.21	69.1	69.16	68.47	67.8(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-70	-12	-43	0.24	51%	0.01	-28.2	4.22%	0	-1.2	31	INF
2	Jan_27_2017	71.32	71.38	69.72	69.22	69.43	69.24	69.15(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10	-5	-47	0.18	51%	0	-31.7	4.21%	0	-0.8	29	INF
3	Jan_26_2017	71.32	71.5	70.07	69.13	69.43	69.86	68.66(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	70	1	-52	0.22	51%	0	-36.3	4.22%	0	-1.1	30	INF
4	Jan_25_2017	71.32	71.77	70.33	69.37	69.24	69.61	69.86(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	30	11	-54	0.21	50%	0.04	-31.3	4.21%	0	-0.7	36	INF
5	Jan_24_2017	71.29	71.97	70.7	69.55	69.22	68.62	70.05(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-70	-4	-52	0.36	50%	-0.01	-27.2	4.25%	0	-0.7	53	INF

6	Jan_23_2017	71.3	72.04	71.14	69.38	69.47	68.87	68.39(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-60	-21	-54	0.35	50%	0.04	-30.5	4.24%	0	-1.4	49	INF
7	Jan_20_2017	71.27	72.25	71.97	70.3	70.04	69.82	68.7(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-30	-16	-31	0.39	53%	0.04	-19.3	4.24%	0	-1.4	50	INF
8	Jan_19_2017	71.24	72.48	72.74	71.16	71.06	70.07	69.86(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-100	-6	-9	0.3	53%	0.06	-3.7	4.35%	0	-1.1	49	INF
9	Jan_18_2017	71.2	72.58	73.31	71.4	71.41	70.27	70.75(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-110	-28	-13	0.38	53%	0.06	0.6	4.35%	0	-0.8	45	INF
10	Jan_17_2017	71.16	72.67	73.3	72.02	71.99	72.05	69.19(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	0	-19	-9	0.54	53%	0.14	11.6	4.35%	0	-1.6	42	INF

11	Jan_13_2017	71.06	72.85	73.49	73.14	72.91	72.55	73.01(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-40	-2	8	0.37	52%	0.14	29.5	4.36%	0	0.1	56	INF
12	Jan_12_2017	70.96	72.73	73.25	73.93	73.55	71.93	72.97(2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-21	-170	-29	3	0.32	50%	0.13	39.3	4.36%	0	0.1	53	INF
13	Jan_11_2017	70.87	72.73	73.09	74.61	74.86	73.27	71.1(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-23	-140	-32	6	0.57	48%	0.03	31.6	4.43%	0	-0.7	47	INF
14	Jan_10_2017	70.85	72.57	73.38	75.48	75.72	75.17	73.85(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-40	-8	29	0.36	48%	0.08	28.5	4.44%	0	0.6	58	INF
15	Jan_9_2017	70.79	72.41	73.37	74.71	75.41	76.45	74.77(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	120	16	34	0.6	48%	0.13	10.6	4.45%	0	1.1	57	INF

16	Jan_6_2017	70.7	72.26	73.02	73.81	74.11	76.28	76.97(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	39	220	41	33	0.41	47%	0.16	-6.4	4.43%	0	2.2	62	INF
17	Jan_5_2017	70.59	71.95	72.5	72.45	72.48	74.36	76.37(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	37	180	42	22	0.39	48%	0.17	-45.1	4.47%	0	2.4	65	INF
18	Jan_4_2017	70.47	71.93	72.11	71.42	71.27	71.95	75.45(7.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	16	60	18	8	0.47	48%	0.14	-95.7	4.49%	0	2.4	66	INF
19	Jan_3_2017	70.37	71.95	71.66	71.1	71.15	71.95	69.97(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-50	-11	-6	0.32	45%	0.1	-101.3	4.39%	0	-1.2	50	INF
20	Dec_30_2016	70.3	72.18	71.91	71.87	72.04	70.59	70.31(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-130	-17	3	0.24	47%	0.03	-103.2	4.39%	0	-0.9	50	INF

21	Dec_29_2016	70.28	72.4	72.13	72.06	72.56	71.71	70.16(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-17	-60	-24	3	0.25	45%	0.1	-123.9	4.41%	0	-1.1	45	INF
22	Dec_28_2016	70.21	72.79	72.2	72.47	72.8	73.48	71.22(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	80	-2	15	0.34	45%	0.09	-109.1	4.44%	0	-0.7	51	INF
23	Dec_27_2016	70.15	73.38	72.07	72.82	72.86	73.41	73.86(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	50	21	15	0.34	45%	0.17	-74.2	4.42%	0	0.1	40	INF
24	Dec_23_2016	70.03	73.73	71.73	72.32	72.41	72.12	73.79(3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	-20	0	-9	0.5	45%	0.14	-58.6	4.4%	0	0	40	INF
25	Dec_22_2016	69.93	74.31	71.41	72.01	72.29	72.32	71.28(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	10	-7	-22	0.29	45%		-54.8	4.38%	0	-0.6	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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