Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $72.9500 (2.26%) ($71.6700 - $73.4800) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.39% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $72.9500(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(63%)    XBI(60%)    ARKG(57%)    IWO(54%)    ARKK(49%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -2.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.195% (StdDev 4.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $75.41
5 Day Moving Average   $71.87(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.38(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.41(-3.26%)
To recent high   -15.9%
To recent low   38.4%
Market Cap   $4.407b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 7.07% (three month std-dev: 4.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2016	69.78	75.41	71.38	71.87	72.12	72.26	72.95(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	20	8	-34	0.31	45%	0.14	-44.6	4.39%	0	-0.5	36	0
2	Dec_19_2016	69.68	75.97	71.7	71.18	71.51	72.32	71.34(-1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	90	7	-54	0.42	45%	0.11	-43.6	4.39%	0	-0.8	24	0
3	Dec_16_2016	69.6	76.53	72.2	71.03	71.17	71.97	72.25(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	80	20	-59	1.27	47%	0.16	-43.9	4.38%	0	-0.8	32	0
4	Dec_15_2016	69.49	76.99	72.41	70.73	70.62	70.71	72.34(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	0	3	-87	0.55	47%	0.16	-43.9	4.41%	0	-0.8	27	0
5	Dec_14_2016	69.38	77.29	72.63	70.66	70.82	70.37	70.48(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-40	-4	-109	0.39	47%	0.2	-41	4.41%	0	-1.2	25	0

6	Dec_13_2016	69.24	77.86	73.38	70.83	71.04	70.53	69.51(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-40	-23	-119	0.56	47%	0.22	-25.9	4.43%	0	-1.6	35	0
7	Dec_12_2016	69.09	78.5	74.79	72.31	71.8	71.28	70.59(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-70	-21	-106	0.52	49%	0.25	0.6	4.43%	0	-1.6	32	0
8	Dec_9_2016	68.92	79.11	75.89	73.56	73.27	71.55	70.74(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-180	-21	-95	0.54	48%	0.28	34.3	4.53%	0	-1.8	36	0
9	Dec_8_2016	68.73	79.56	77.45	74.32	74.5	72.31	71.96(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-200	-40	-89	0.77	48%	0.28	72.6	4.56%	0	-1.8	40	0
10	Dec_7_2016	68.54	79.63	78.82	74.86	75.55	75	71.33(-7.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-42	-20	-32	-70	0.66	48%	0.31	92.4	4.57%	0	-1.9	45	0

11	Dec_6_2016	68.33	79.27	79.84	76.26	76.41	76.69	76.92(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	30	-10	-52	0.59	50%	0.35	79.8	4.47%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	Dec_5_2016	68.09	78.47	80.61	77.71	77.71	76.1	76.83(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-150	-15	-38	0.53	50%	0.35	69.3	4.49%	0	-0.2	46	0
13	Dec_2_2016	67.85	77.52	81.23	78.68	79.1	76.13	74.55(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-250	-63	-48	0.52	50%	0.37	57	4.51%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Dec_1_2016	67.6	76.58	81.99	81.12	81.22	79.31	74.69(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-160	-56	-19	0.75	50%	0.36	51.9	4.52%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Nov_30_2016	67.36	75.85	82.44	83.34	83.32	82.08	78.29(-7.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-100	-15	28	0.9	52%	0.36	53.1	4.44%	0	0.2	62	0

16	Nov_29_2016	67.12	75	82.81	83.83	83.4	83.14	84.19(3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-40	-17	66	0.57	54%	0.48	51.9	4.36%	0	0.8	78	0
17	Nov_28_2016	66.8	73.77	82.56	83.93	83.45	84.56	81.67(-5.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	80	10	120	0.71	54%	0.42	48.6	4.35%	0	0.7	79	0
18	Nov_25_2016	66.52	72.82	82.61	84.14	83.36	83.65	86.74(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	-0	28	184	0.25	56%	0.74	48	4.29%	0	1.2	87	0
19	Nov_23_2016	66.03	71.59	81.8	83.07	82.41	82.35	85.81(6.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	-30	5	215	0.57	53%	0.55	45.9	4.38%	0	1.3	88	0
20	Nov_22_2016	65.67	70.41	80.44	81.48	81.8	83.08	80.75(-4.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	68	120	11	239	0.61	51%	0.23	44.3	4.32%	0	1	75	0

21	Nov_21_2016	65.52	69.5	78.67	81.61	81.08	82.48	84.66(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	100	30	265	0.44	53%	0.52	46.8	4.29%	0	1.4	74	0
22	Nov_18_2016	65.18	68.49	76.17	81.03	80.5	80.53	82.72(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	-20	13	266	0.47	53%	0.52	51.2	4.28%	0	1.4	74	0
23	Nov_17_2016	64.84	67.59	73.54	80.9	80.18	79.68	81.42(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	62	-70	-4	258	0.51	53%	0.5	57.1	4.28%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Nov_16_2016	64.52	66.77	70.77	80.36	79.85	80.46	77.84(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	72	30	12	251	0.59	51%	0.42	59.4	4.25%	0	1.2	66	0
25	Nov_15_2016	64.25	65.92	68.82	79.13	78.9	80.67	81.43(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	110	150	62	254	0.7	53%		55.5	4.23%	0	1.8	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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