Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $52.8800 (-0.88%) ($52.6800 - $55.3700) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.77% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $52.8800(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(65%)    XBI(62%)    ARKG(57%)    IWO(54%)    IWC(49%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -1.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.885% (StdDev 3.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $53.19
5 Day Moving Average   $52.1(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.98(3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.19(-0.58%)
To recent high   -30.4%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $3.195b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 7.88% (three month std-dev: 3.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2016	62.61	53.19	50.98	52.1	52.53	53.31	52.88(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	130	15	13	0.69	45%	-0.16	-84.3	3.77%	0	-0.1	46	INF
2	Jul_8_2016	62.71	53.58	50.6	51.86	51.68	52.91	53.35(1.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	21	160	29	-2	0.51	45%	-0.13	-86.5	3.82%	0	-0.1	45	INF
3	Jul_7_2016	62.79	54.15	50.42	50.97	51.08	51.75	52.5(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	100	30	-38	0.85	45%	-0.14	-85.5	3.81%	0	-0.3	35	INF
4	Jul_6_2016	62.88	55.01	50.36	50.42	50.19	50.44	51.76(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	20	2	-85	0.49	49%	-0.1	-72.8	3.84%	0	-0.5	30	INF
5	Jul_5_2016	62.94	55.87	50.35	50.22	50.22	50.4	49.99(-3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	30	12	-104	0.67	49%	-0.08	-68.7	3.98%	0	-0.8	30	INF

6	Jul_1_2016	62.99	56.97	50.77	49.67	50.07	49.94	51.71(5.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	10	9	-128	0.55	49%	-0.03	-60.8	3.94%	0	-0.7	35	INF
7	Jun_30_2016	63.01	57.83	51.05	49.16	49.41	50.05	48.91(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	110	-7	-152	0.69	51%	-0.06	-59.1	4.11%	0	-1	26	INF
8	Jun_29_2016	63.05	59.04	52.07	49.77	49.37	50.19	49.75(-1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-31	90	9	-150	0.89	51%	-0.03	-55.7	4.12%	0	-1.1	23	INF
9	Jun_28_2016	63.07	60.08	53.29	50.3	49.76	48.77	50.73(7.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-170	-5	-165	1.16	51%	0	-53.2	4.15%	0	-1.1	20	INF
10	Jun_27_2016	63.07	61.19	54.28	50.56	50.45	48.55	47.26(-3.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-89	-270	-51	-201	0.99	48%	-0.11	-50.3	4.07%	0	-1.6	14	INF

11	Jun_24_2016	63.14	62.31	55.59	52.01	51.78	50.76	49.17(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-83	-150	-42	-205	1.02	48%	-0.08	-47.8	4.07%	0	-1.6	13	INF
12	Jun_23_2016	63.19	63.37	56.85	53.17	53.36	52.36	51.95(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-72	-120	-28	-203	0.82	47%	-0.11	-43.4	4.02%	0	-1.5	24	INF
13	Jun_22_2016	63.26	64.24	58.22	54.74	54.49	52.81	52.4(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-91	-230	-52	-206	0.9	51%	-0.13	-38	4.08%	0	-1.7	21	INF
14	Jun_21_2016	63.34	65.09	60.05	56.78	56.59	54.36	52.03(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-290	-52	-176	1.1	51%	-0.16	-27.3	4.21%	0	-2	27	INF
15	Jun_20_2016	63.44	65.83	61.87	58.58	58.85	56.16	54.5(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-310	-50	-161	0.98	53%	-0.03	-18.7	4.19%	0	-2	27	INF

16	Jun_17_2016	63.46	66.38	63.7	59.68	60.14	58.82	54.99(-7.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-72	-130	-49	-140	1.35	53%	-0.09	-11.1	4.21%	0	-2.2	36	INF
17	Jun_16_2016	63.52	66.8	65.21	61	61.1	61.54	59.76(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	60	-14	-116	0.67	57%	-0.08	-1.6	4.09%	0	-1.6	39	INF
18	Jun_15_2016	63.57	67.03	66.59	62.22	61.77	61.46	62.64(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-60	-15	-95	0.84	56%	-0.19	10.3	4.06%	0	-1	44	INF
19	Jun_14_2016	63.69	67.03	67.4	63.94	63.31	60.65	61(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-320	-49	-85	0.8	56%	-0.25	16	4.14%	0	-1.3	42	INF
20	Jun_13_2016	63.85	66.91	68.63	65.78	65.83	62.08	60.01(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-78	-400	-83	-64	0.77	56%	-0.25	22.2	4.14%	0	-1.5	47	INF

21	Jun_10_2016	64.01	66.95	69.6	68.37	68.31	65.97	61.58(-6.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-54	-240	-65	-19	0.98	56%	-0.2	34.3	4.28%	0	-1.1	51	INF
22	Jun_9_2016	64.14	66.87	70.5	69.96	70.04	69.57	65.85(-7.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-40	-27	30	0.73	57%	-0.19	39	4.27%	0	-0.2	61	INF
23	Jun_8_2016	64.26	66.59	70.85	71.52	70.62	70.64	71.28(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-40	-0	72	0.64	57%	-0.02	43.2	4.22%	0	0.9	65	INF
24	Jun_7_2016	64.27	66.19	70.56	71.38	71.04	70.5	70.17(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-70	-7	87	0.69	57%	0.11	41.9	4.28%	0	0.8	70	INF
25	Jun_6_2016	64.2	65.88	70.12	71.97	71.32	70.61	72.95(4.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	-100	-8	108	0.64	57%		41.7	4.29%	0	1.4	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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