Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $59.1300 (4.08%) ($54.3000 - $59.3600) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.42% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $59.1300(4.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(66%)    XBI(63%)    ARKG(57%)    IWO(54%)    IWC(49%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -2.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.71% (StdDev 5.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

Resistance Level   $59.41
5 Day Moving Average   $59.24(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.37(3.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.41(-0.47%)
To recent high   -49.1%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $3.572b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 6.58% (three month std-dev: 5.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2016	79.82	59.41	57.37	59.24	58.88	57.92	59.13(4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-130	-9	4	0.57	36%	-0.57	-14	5.42%	0	-0.1	46	INF
2	Mar_28_2016	80.28	59.5	57.29	58.95	59.58	58.67	56.81(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-70	-8	-11	0.48	36%	-0.89	-19.1	5.4%	0	-0.7	39	INF
3	Mar_24_2016	81	59.78	57.59	58.85	59.19	59.84	59.02(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	90	6	-11	0.56	36%	-0.64	-21.8	5.39%	0	-0.2	46	INF
4	Mar_23_2016	81.52	59.87	57.19	57.9	58.19	60.49	58.8(-5.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	21	290	36	-24	1.02	36%	-0.65	-28	5.39%	0	-0.3	45	INF
5	Mar_22_2016	82.05	60.06	57.14	56.83	56.29	58.55	62.42(8.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	21	250	44	-47	0.94	37%	-0.59	-34.5	5.36%	0	0.6	43	INF

6	Mar_21_2016	82.54	59.97	56.97	55.29	54.7	55.89	57.69(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	120	17	-81	0.93	34%	-0.52	-41.6	5.23%	0	-0.6	42	INF
7	Mar_18_2016	82.97	60.26	57.69	55.49	54.5	54.04	56.32(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-110	-7	-82	1.24	34%	-0.55	-30.8	5.24%	0	-1	46	INF
8	Mar_17_2016	83.43	60.62	58.3	56.23	55.69	53.52	54.28(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-300	-22	-81	0.68	34%	-0.64	-15.6	5.2%	0	-1.7	42	INF
9	Mar_16_2016	83.97	60.97	59.22	56.36	56.87	54.96	53.43(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-210	-39	-83	0.56	36%	-0.59	-6.6	5.19%	0	-2.2	43	INF
10	Mar_15_2016	84.47	61.42	60.64	57.4	57.67	57.85	54.73(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	40	-24	-59	0.53	36%	-0.52	16.1	5.26%	0	-2.1	42	INF

11	Mar_14_2016	84.91	61.63	61.67	58.83	58.77	58.77	58.7(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-0	-3	-31	0.65	37%	-0.47	44.2	5.23%	0	-1	49	INF
12	Mar_11_2016	85.31	61.49	61.95	60.26	59.92	57.49	60(9.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-300	-24	-30	0.84	37%	-0.37	55	5.26%	0	-0.5	47	INF
13	Mar_10_2016	85.63	61.21	62.2	60.8	61.38	58.78	54.95(-6.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-51	-270	-55	-39	0.97	34%	-0.38	52.1	5.11%	0	-1.7	40	INF
14	Mar_9_2016	85.96	61.2	62.9	62.49	62.99	62.35	58.61(-5.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-50	-35	-13	0.93	35%	-0.34	57.4	5.06%	0	-0.7	50	INF
15	Mar_8_2016	86.25	60.92	63.36	64.32	64.27	63.99	61.9(-5.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-30	-3	22	0.81	39%	-0.32	53.9	5.03%	0	0.2	52	INF

16	Mar_7_2016	86.53	60.41	63.3	64.88	64.79	63.63	65.82(4.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-130	-2	34	0.65	41%	-0.25	40.7	5.07%	0	1.1	64	INF
17	Mar_4_2016	86.75	59.81	63.05	63.92	64.52	64.55	62.74(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	30	-11	37	0.66	41%	-0.26	32.9	5.03%	0	0.6	66	INF
18	Mar_3_2016	86.98	59.39	63.11	63.83	64.17	65.96	63.38(-6.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	210	24	69	0.62	41%	-0.21	25.6	5.07%	0	0.8	69	INF
19	Mar_2_2016	87.16	59.13	62.84	63.32	63.13	64.49	67.78(4.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	46	140	34	83	0.98	42%	-0.18	17.1	5.02%	0	1.8	77	INF
20	Mar_1_2016	87.32	58.71	62.16	62.32	62.08	62.38	64.7(6.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	20	14	85	0.81	42%	-0.3	-1.2	4.99%	0	1.4	77	INF

21	Feb_29_2016	87.58	58.52	61.49	61.54	62.08	61.77	60.99(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	20	-4	86	0.87	40%	-0.35	-22.3	4.92%	0	0.6	75	INF
22	Feb_26_2016	87.89	58.28	60.94	62.09	61.67	61.79	62.3(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-10	-3	97	0.59	42%	-0.29	-39.1	4.99%	0	1	67	INF
23	Feb_25_2016	88.15	58.18	60.11	62.28	62.32	61.57	60.85(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-80	1	103	0.64	42%	-0.41	-52.9	5.02%	0	0.7	64	INF
24	Feb_24_2016	88.51	58.33	59.41	62.22	62.27	61.55	62.74(3.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-80	-14	89	0.5	42%	-0.37	-63.8	5.01%	0	1	56	INF
25	Feb_23_2016	88.84	58.77	58.33	61.97	62.34	63.07	60.83(-4.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	100	7	79	0.75	44%		-51	5.01%	0	0.4	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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