Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: RARE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc)
RARE latest price $93.9200 (-3.88%) ($93.5700 - $98.9900) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.92% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $93.9200(-3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   RARE declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   RARE declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support RARE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(66%)    XBI(64%)    ARKG(56%)    IWO(54%)    IWM(48%)
Factors Impacting RARE price   RARE will decline at least -2.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    UUP(-6%)    GDXJ(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.46% (StdDev 4.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.6%

Resistance Level   $100.71
5 Day Moving Average   $98.34(-4.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.8(-3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.71(-6.74%)
To recent high   -28.6%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $5.674b

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the identification, acquisition, development and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Its product includes Mepsevii and Crysvita. Mepsevii is an intravenous, which is used for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII. Crysvita is an antibody administered via subcutaneous injection used for the treatment of XLH. The company was founded by Emil D. Kakkis on April 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, CA.

$. RARE price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 4.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.9%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.47%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 11.09%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	103.96	100.71	97.8	98.34	99.42	98.41	93.92(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-40	-29	-59	0.47	45%	-0.13	38.4	4.92%	0	-1.4	28	0
2	Nov_19_2015	104.1	100.93	98.77	98.7	99.36	101.2	97.71(-5.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	5	150	18	-34	0.25	46%	-0.08	48.5	4.98%	0	-0.6	51	0
3	Nov_18_2015	104.18	100.65	99.28	98.1	98.08	100.43	103.76(3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	28	170	45	-24	0.26	47%	-0.01	44.5	4.97%	0	0.5	56	0
4	Nov_17_2015	104.19	99.87	99.61	96.62	96.56	97.51	99.94(3.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	70	22	-42	0.36	48%	-0.06	37.7	4.95%	0	0	43	0
5	Nov_16_2015	104.25	99.23	100.49	96.11	96.31	95.72	96.39(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-40	-7	-48	0.22	48%	-0.11	36.5	4.95%	0	-0.4	47	0

6	Nov_13_2015	104.37	98.93	101.78	97.3	96.78	95.6	95.7(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-100	-32	-39	0.28	48%	-0.11	38.8	4.96%	0	-0.4	52	0
7	Nov_12_2015	104.49	98.56	102.24	98.91	98.75	96.91	94.71(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-140	-28	-25	0.33	49%	-0.14	40.5	4.96%	0	-0.5	51	0
8	Nov_11_2015	104.64	98.16	102.9	100.58	100.52	97.96	96.34(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-180	-47	-12	0.23	48%	-0.11	41.5	4.97%	0	-0.2	61	0
9	Nov_10_2015	104.76	97.5	103.94	103.02	102.38	100.59	97.43(-4.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-34	-140	-53	24	0.6	48%	-0.11	40	4.97%	0	-0	66	0
10	Nov_9_2015	104.88	96.82	104.43	105.47	105.41	103.09	102.33(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-160	-25	71	0.42	48%	-0.04	41.9	4.98%	0	0.6	72	0

11	Nov_6_2015	104.92	96.2	104.02	106.93	106.84	104.17	103.74(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-180	-35	90	0.42	48%	-0.02	42.1	5.01%	0	0.8	68	0
12	Nov_5_2015	104.94	95.53	103.41	106.05	107.34	107.74	103.04(-5.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	60	-7	109	0.55	48%	-0.03	32.5	5.05%	0	0.8	69	0
13	Nov_4_2015	104.97	94.76	102.3	105.47	105.92	109.51	108.57(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	250	37	134	0.33	49%	0.06	25.6	5.05%	0	1.6	77	0
14	Nov_3_2015	104.91	94.01	100.22	104.99	104.2	106.95	109.66(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	84	160	61	152	0.42	49%	0.08	25.5	5.09%	0	1.9	81	0
15	Nov_2_2015	104.83	93.13	97.84	103.31	102.72	102.33	109.63(10.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	53	-40	26	134	0.46	49%	0.08	26.2	5.14%	0	2.2	78	0

16	Oct_30_2015	104.75	92.52	95.71	100.84	101.32	101.46	99.35(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	20	-10	107	0.32	46%	-0.09	25.8	5%	0	1	60	0
17	Oct_29_2015	104.84	92.68	94.49	100.36	100.59	103.11	100.12(-5.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	58	180	37	120	0.37	46%	-0.08	31.2	5.04%	0	1	59	0
18	Oct_28_2015	104.92	92.54	92.99	98.48	98.78	101.19	106.2(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	80	180	68	116	0.44	48%	0.02	22.4	5.03%	0	2	68	0
19	Oct_27_2015	104.9	91.95	90.43	94.64	95.28	98.07	101.25(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	54	230	50	64	0.42	48%	-0.07	0.6	5.03%	0	1.5	54	0
20	Oct_26_2015	104.97	91.19	88.49	91.54	91.95	96.38	97.28(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	350	61	31	0.36	48%	-0.13	-28.6	5.04%	0	1	52	0

21	Oct_23_2015	105.11	90.71	87.62	89.87	89.51	92.48	96.95(6.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	220	70	10	0.58	48%	-0.14	-53.9	5.09%	0	1	45	0
22	Oct_22_2015	105.26	90.51	86.85	87.85	87.5	87.52	90.72(4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10	19	-43	0.59	45%	-0.27	-83.4	5.04%	0	0	35	0
23	Oct_21_2015	105.54	91	86.51	86.67	86.84	86.53	87.02(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-20	0	-72	0.32	45%	-0.35	-95.4	5.05%	0	-0.6	39	0
24	Oct_20_2015	105.91	91.92	87.24	85.49	86.15	87.48	85.74(-3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	130	13	-76	0.49	45%	-0.38	-101.1	5.1%	0	-0.8	41	0
25	Oct_19_2015	106.31	92.97	88.03	84.84	85.02	87.15	88.94(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	180	24	-69	0.54	45%		-101.5	5.13%	0	-0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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