Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $157.7000 (-0.59%) ($157.2600 - $158.5000) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $157.7000(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(92%)    VUG(90%)    XLK(89%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $157.17(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $156.06(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.48(1.43%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $157.7
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $152.65

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -4% away from the target price of 157.7.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2017	148.61	155.48	156.06	157.17			157.7(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	8	109	31.41	72%	0.09	59	0.64%	0	1.4	66	0
2	Dec_18_2017	148.47	155.28	155.58	156.77			158.64(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	11	78	26.84	72%	0.1	54.2	0.64%	0	2.3	55	0
3	Dec_15_2017	148.32	155.04	154.98	156.22			157.65(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	12	42	49.82	72%	0.09	51.2	0.64%	0	2	53	0
4	Dec_14_2017	148.18	154.87	154.63	155.63			155.88(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	8	12	24.59	70%	0.07	48.6	0.63%	0	0.9	47	0
5	Dec_13_2017	148.07	154.71	154.54	155.26			155.99(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	10	-3	24.42	70%	0.08	30	0.63%	0	1	50	0

6	Dec_12_2017	147.95	154.58	154.31	154.76			155.69(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	12	-29	20.31	70%	0.07	16.5	0.63%	0	0.9	50	0
7	Dec_11_2017	147.84	154.48	154.31	154.19			155.9(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	13	-34	20.82	72%	0.08	3.8	0.63%	0	1.2	58	0
8	Dec_8_2017	147.72	154.37	154.36	153.55			154.7(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	1	-48	28.08	66%	0.07	-9.2	0.64%	0	0.3	54	0
9	Dec_7_2017	147.62	154.32	154.49	153.51			154.02(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-4	-42	32.67	66%	0.07	-2.6	0.65%	0	-0.3	49	0
10	Dec_6_2017	147.51	154.34	154.65	153.73			153.5(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-18	28.65	66%	0.07	11.8	0.65%	0	-0.7	56	0

11	Dec_5_2017	147.41	154.37	154.86	153.8			152.81(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-15	-10	40.6	63%	0.07	20	0.65%	0	-1.3	50	0
12	Dec_4_2017	147.3	154.43	155	154.56			152.71(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-7	-10000	-14	15	51.32	63%	0.07	49.3	0.66%	0	-1.5	48	0
13	Dec_1_2017	147.2	154.47	155.16	155.26			154.49(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-7	44	59.02	68%	0.1	78.6	0.65%	0	0	55	0
14	Nov_30_2017	147.06	154.35	155.18	155.61			155.15(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-2	64	56.6	72%	0.1	96.2	0.65%	0	0.7	57	0
15	Nov_29_2017	146.91	154.21	154.95	155.72			153.86(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	10	-10000	-6	56	71.99	70%	0.1	110.7	0.66%	0	-0.3	48	0

16	Nov_28_2017	146.76	154.13	154.92	156.05			156.59(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	12	78	25.23	78%	0.12	125.8	0.61%	0	1.8	65	0
17	Nov_27_2017	146.58	153.88	154.64	155.49			156.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	59	22.65	78%	0.12	132.2	0.61%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Nov_24_2017	146.4	153.63	154.38	155.05			156.26(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	8	45	8.28	78%	0.2	133.3	0.61%	0	2	67	0
19	Nov_22_2017	146.11	153.19	154.1	154.7			155.69(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	13	47	17.3	80%	0.07	75.9	0.61%	0	1.2	71	0
20	Nov_21_2017	146.01	152.79	153.96	154.08			155.5(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	9	36	20.15	80%	0.13	62	0.64%	0	1.2	68	0

21	Nov_20_2017	145.82	152.42	153.96	153.64			153.83(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	-0	29	21.14	79%	0.12	52.9	0.63%	0	0.6	62	0
22	Nov_17_2017	145.65	152.13	153.78	153.65			153.95(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	42	28.73	70%	0.11	50	0.63%	0	0.7	66	0
23	Nov_16_2017	145.49	151.88	153.71	153.6			154.54(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	50	34.79	70%	0.1	49.1	0.68%	0	1.1	71	0
24	Nov_15_2017	145.34	151.57	153.45	153.43			152.59(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-8	69	24.81	67%	0.1	49.1	0.66%	0	0.4	80	0
25	Nov_14_2017	145.19	151.39	153.42	153.81			153.31(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-2	111	25.17	70%		55.1	0.66%	0	0.8	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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